Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Wednesday's looking to bounce back on home turf, and Cambridge are showing real fight in the middle of the pack.** This feels like a classic cup-tie vibe despite being League One. 🔴
Wednesday have been all over the place — demolished Wimbledon 5-0 at home, then got absolutely battered twice on the road. Cambridge, though? Solid form with two wins in their last five, including a comeback against Plymouth. The hosts should have the edge here, but they've got to show they can do it consistently.
Key storylines:
- **Barry Bannan** will be Wednesday's tempo-setter in midfield; the visitors will need **Paul Mpanzu** to disrupt that rhythm
- **Josh Lowe** leading the Wednesday attack against a Cambridge back three built around **Heffernan and Perry**
- Home advantage and superior H2H record should count, but Cambridge's resilience makes this a trap game
Expected lineups:
- **Sheffield Wednesday**: Lumley, Valery, Otegbayo, Santos, Cooper, Bannan, Slattery, James, Mitchell, Gray, Lowe
- **Cambridge United**: Eastwood, Watts, Heffernan, Perry, Bradshaw, Mpanzu, Ball, Bennett, Knight, Ahadme, Kaikai
Prediction:
**Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Cambridge United** — Wednesday should control it, but Cambridge will fight hard enough to grab one on the break.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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