Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Two struggling sides hunt a win in Zarzis**, but don't expect a vintage performance — both teams are in freefall and desperately chasing points. 📉
ES Zarzis has managed just one win in five and conceded 6 goals in their last three games. ES Hammam-Sousse sit winless across their run, leaking three at home to Stade Tunisien last time out. The H2H is spicy though — dead even over the last four meetings, so neither outfit has a clear edge here.
Key storylines:
- **ES Zarzis** need to tighten their defense; they've been carved open repeatedly and can't afford another rout
- **ES Hammam-Sousse** are equally leaky but have a draw on their recent record — survival mode is the vibe
- Attacking outlet battle: **A. Oluwaseun** and **M. H. Jertila** for Zarzis vs **O. Smari** and **F. B. Slimane** for Hammam-Sousse will decide who steals it
Expected lineups:
- **ES Zarzis**: H. Ghanmi, J. Belkilani, K. Kassab, A. M. Yassine, L. Rjili, A. Tajouri, D. R. Nyengue, M. Chouchane, A. Oluwaseun, M. H. Jertila, A. Taous
- **ES Hammam-Sousse**: M. A. Hazgui, A. Chaabane, M. Baayou, N. E. Beji, J. Moussa, G. Abderrazzak, A. B. Hassine, A. Jaziri, M. A. Jarray, O. Smari, F. B. Slimane
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both offenses flicker enough to threaten, but the defenses are too fragile to hold anything clean. Coin flip for the win. ⚽
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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