FC Zbrojovka Brno 0-1 FK Jablonec: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FC Zbrojovka Brno 0-1 FK Jablonec.

90+6'

FC Zbrojovka Brno

Offside, FC Zbrojovka Brno.

90+5'

L. Jawo

Substitution, FK Jablonec: F. Novák comes on for L. Jawo.

90+5'

V. Chanturishvili

Substitution, FK Jablonec: D. Souček comes on for V. Chanturishvili.

90+1'

FK Jablonec

Corner, FK Jablonec.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

87'

L. Ezeh

Attempt saved. L. Ezeh (FC Zbrojovka Brno), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

87'

J. Zmrhal

Substitution, FC Zbrojovka Brno: F. Vedral comes on for J. Zmrhal.

85'

A. Růsek

Goal! FC Zbrojovka Brno 0-1 FK Jablonec. A. Růsek (FK Jablonec) scores, assisted by S. A. Moubarak.

84'

S. Nebyla

Substitution, FK Jablonec: N. Okeke comes on for S. Nebyla.

82'

FK Jablonec

Corner, FK Jablonec.

81'

FK Jablonec

Corner, FK Jablonec.

79'

FC Zbrojovka Brno

Offside, FC Zbrojovka Brno.

79'

A. Vaníček

Substitution, FC Zbrojovka Brno: M. Rymarenko comes on for A. Vaníček.

74'

S. A. Moubarak

Attempt saved. S. A. Moubarak (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

73'

J. Pokorný

Attempt blocked. J. Pokorný (FC Zbrojovka Brno), header from a set piece. xG 0.08.

73'

L. Ezeh

Attempt saved. L. Ezeh (FC Zbrojovka Brno), header from a set piece. xG 0.07.

70'

D. Hollý

Substitution, FK Jablonec: A. Růsek comes on for D. Hollý.

70'

G. Kuol

Substitution, FK Jablonec: S. A. Moubarak comes on for G. Kuol.

68'

Š. Langer

Yellow card for Š. Langer (FC Zbrojovka Brno) for argument.

68'

D. Hollý

Yellow card for D. Hollý (FK Jablonec) for argument.

65'

J. Zmrhal

Attempt missed. J. Zmrhal (FC Zbrojovka Brno), header from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

65'

P. Čavoš

Substitution, FC Zbrojovka Brno: Š. Langer comes on for P. Čavoš.

65'

D. Vašulín

Substitution, FC Zbrojovka Brno: T. Vachoušek comes on for D. Vašulín.

63'

FK Jablonec

Corner, FK Jablonec.

54'

R. Sedláček

Attempt blocked. R. Sedláček (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

51'

D. Hollý

Attempt blocked. D. Hollý (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

47'

G. Kuol

Attempt missed. G. Kuol (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot. xG 0.35.

46'

S. Afolabi

Substitution, FC Zbrojovka Brno: L. Ezeh comes on for S. Afolabi.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FC Zbrojovka Brno 0-0 FK Jablonec.

45+1'

S. Nebyla

Attempt blocked. S. Nebyla (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

FC Zbrojovka Brno

Offside, FC Zbrojovka Brno.

43'

G. Kuol

Attempt saved. G. Kuol (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

43'

A. Dante

Yellow card for A. Dante (FC Zbrojovka Brno) for argument.

42'

FK Jablonec

Corner, FK Jablonec.

39'

D. Hollý

Attempt saved. D. Hollý (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

39'

L. Jawo

Attempt blocked. L. Jawo (FK Jablonec), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

37'

L. Penxa

Attempt blocked. L. Penxa (FC Zbrojovka Brno), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

28'

M. Cedidla

Attempt saved. M. Cedidla (FK Jablonec), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

19'

V. Chanturishvili

Attempt missed. V. Chanturishvili (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

17'

FC Zbrojovka Brno

Offside, FC Zbrojovka Brno.

17'

D. Vašulín

Attempt missed. D. Vašulín (FC Zbrojovka Brno), header. xG 0.03.

16'

S. Afolabi

Attempt missed. S. Afolabi (FC Zbrojovka Brno), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

15'

M. Cedidla

Attempt missed. M. Cedidla (FK Jablonec), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

15'

R. Sedláček

Attempt blocked. R. Sedláček (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

11'

D. Hollý

Attempt missed. D. Hollý (FK Jablonec), right-footed shot. xG 0.27.

6'

J. Pokorný

Attempt saved. J. Pokorný (FC Zbrojovka Brno), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

6'

P. Čavoš

Attempt missed. P. Čavoš (FC Zbrojovka Brno), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.15.

5'

FK Jablonec

Corner, FK Jablonec.

3'

S. Nebyla

Attempt saved. S. Nebyla (FK Jablonec), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

1'

Kick-off: FC Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec.

Where the money is

23725 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 5363 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

48.2%

-50.8 vs price

Draw 11.0 · implied 9.1%

30.9%

+21.8 vs price

Home 120.0 · implied 0.8%

21.8%

+21.0 vs price

Half time 141 EUR · live

Home 3.6 · implied 27.8%

78.6%

+50.9 vs price

Draw 1.76 · implied 56.8%

21.3%

-35.6 vs price

Away 3.3 · implied 30.3%

0.0%

-30.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 6585 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

68.1%

-30.9 vs price

Over 27.0 · implied 3.7%

35.5%

+31.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1494 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

99.8%

+0.8 vs price

Over 8.6 · implied 11.6%

0.2%

-11.4 vs price

5 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

43' A. Dante · Argument

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 L. Ezeh ◂ S. Afolabi

65' 🔁 T. Vachoušek ◂ D. Vašulín

65' 🔁 Š. Langer ◂ P. Čavoš

68' Š. Langer · Argument

68' D. Hollý · Argument

70' 🔁 S. A. Moubarak ◂ G. Kuol

70' 🔁 A. Růsek ◂ D. Hollý

79' 🔁 M. Rymarenko ◂ A. Vaníček

84' 🔁 N. Okeke ◂ S. Nebyla

85' ⚽ A. Růsek · assist S. A. Moubarak0–1

87' 🔁 F. Vedral ◂ J. Zmrhal

Full-time · 0–1

90'⁺⁵ 🔁 D. Souček ◂ V. Chanturishvili

90'⁺⁵ 🔁 F. Novák ◂ L. Jawo

Coaches

Martin Svedik

Lubos Kozel

Recent form

FC Zbrojovka Brno

WHMFK Skalica5-1

LAMladá Boleslav0-2

WHSK Artis Brno2-1

LASK Slavia Praha0-4

WHFC Hradec Králové1-0

FK Jablonec

DHFC Zlín1-1

LAAC Sparta Praha0-2

WHBaník Ostrava3-0

LHFC Slovan Liberec1-2

DABohemians Praha 19051-1

About this match

**Zbrojovka's hot streak meets Jablonec's inconsistency** — this is a vintage David-vs-Goliath moment in the Czech First League, except the underdog's on fire. 🔥

Brno's rolling with **3 wins in their last 5**, including a 5-1 demolition of Skalica. Jablonec, meanwhile, can't find their feet—just 1 win in their last 5 and a 2-0 spanking from Sparta last time out.

Key storylines:

- **M. Rymarenko and L. Ezeh** lead Brno's attack; they'll be hunting space against a Jablonec backline that's been leaky
- **N. Okeke and M. Cedidla** anchor Jablonec's midfield but have struggled to control tempo in recent games
- Home advantage at **Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska** could be the difference for a Brno side riding confidence

Expected lineups:

- **FC Zbrojovka Brno**: A. Stejskal, D. Granečný, E. Hunal, F. Vedral, J. Klíma, J. Janetzký, P. Čavoš, A. Vaníček, P. Žitný, L. Ezeh, M. Rymarenko
- **FK Jablonec**: J. Hanus, E. Sobol, N. Tekijaški, D. Pavlović, M. Cedidla, N. Okeke, R. Sedláček, S. Nebyla, V. Chanturishvili, L. Jawo, J. Suchan

Prediction:

**Zbrojovka 2-1 Jablonec**. Brno's momentum at home is too much for a struggling visitor. Lean Brno.

Match facts

Stadium

Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska

City

Brno

Referee

Daniel Vokoun

Kickoff

10 Oct, 13:00 UTC

Competition

Czech First League

Highlights & clips

FC Zbrojovka Brno 3-4-3 · 4-4-1-1 FK Jablonec

1 A. Hrdina 7.3 39 J. Klíma 6.8 38 J. Pokorný 7.5 3 K. C. Kaka 7.6 6 L. Penxa 6.4 14 T. Vachoušek 6.4 ↑ 65' 26 F. Vedral 6.7 ↑ 87' 44 A. Dante 6.8 11 M. Rymarenko 6.5 ↑ 79' 7 Š. Langer 6.7 ↑ 65' 77 L. Ezeh 6.5 ↑ 46' 1 J. Hanus 8.5 18 M. Cedidla 7.0 4 N. Tekijaški 8.4 15 D. Pavlović 7.7 23 E. Sobol 7.8 57 F. Novák ↑ 90' 13 R. Sedláček 7.8 6 N. Okeke 6.5 ↑ 84' 17 S. A. Moubarak 7.2 ↑ 70' 9 A. Růsek 7.8 ↑ 70' 14 D. Souček ↑ 90'

Top stats

49%Possession51%

0.56Expected goals (xG)1.26

9Total shots15

3Shots on target6

0Big chances2

6Corners6

Shots

4Shots off target4

2Blocked shots5

9Shots inside box7

0Shots outside box8

0Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed1

0.06Goals prevented1.06

Attack

26Touches in box23

47Final third entries63

3Offsides2

12Free kicks15

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

405Passes427

343Accurate passes348

23/44 (52%)Long balls35/67 (52%)

8/22 (36%)Crosses8/25 (32%)

28Throw-ins21

Duels

43Duels57

27/63 (43%)Ground duels36/63 (57%)

15/34 (44%)Aerial duels19/34 (56%)

1/12 (8%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)

9Dispossessed6

Defending

14Tackles20

57Tackles won90

11Interceptions7

29Clearances28

39Recoveries45

Discipline

15Fouls12

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves3

2Big saves0

8Goal kicks6

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Zbrojovka Brno 38%

28%

Jablonec 34%

Who winsJablonec to win (DNB) 55% · 1.95 @ Betway

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79%

1X2Draw 28% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Jablonec to win 34% · 2.70 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.73 @ Betway

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68%

1X2Zbrojovka Brno to win 38% · 2.45 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.45

FC Zbrojovka Brno

3.25

Draw

2.70

FK Jablonec

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.67

Yes

2.10

No

Draw No Betconsensus

1.80

FC Zbrojovka Brno

1.91

FK Jablonec

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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