Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Teplice's on a roll, but Olomouc just smashed Plzeň** — this Czech First League clash pits a hot home side against visitors who can flip a switch in a heartbeat. 🔥
Teplice have been basically unbeatable at Na Stinadlech (4W in their last 5), though that loss to Slavia showed they're mortal. Olomouc's form is spicy — they demolished Žilina 4-0, then got hammered by Sparta 3-0, then turned around and beat Plzeň. Completely bipolar outfit.
Key storylines:
- **M. Náprstek** leads Teplice's attack and will have the home crowd behind him; the hosts rarely falter in their own backyard
- **A. Ghali** anchors Olomouc's midfield in a 3-4-3 that thrives on transitions — if Teplice give them space, it gets messy
- Teplice's **J. Fortelný** and **D. Mareček** need to control the tempo early or Olomouc's explosive passing lanes will punish them
Expected lineups:
- **FK Teplice**: K. Lichtenberg, J. Harustak, D. Večerka, J. Švanda, J. Fortelný, A. Badamosi, M. Náprstek
- **SK Sigma Olomouc**: M. Hruška, A. Sylla, L. Borges, A. Ghali, J. Šíp, J. Kliment
Prediction:
**Teplice 2-1 Olomouc**. Home advantage and consistency lean Teplice's way, but Olomouc will make it uncomfortable.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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