Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Mladá Boleslav hosting Teplice in a stark form clash** — the hosts are stumbling badly, but Teplice's momentum could hit a wall on the road. 🔴
Boleslav's picked up just 2 wins in their last five and got battered 3-0 by Plzeň midweek. Teplice, meanwhile, are on fire with three straight wins and only one loss in five — but away form is always a different beast.
Key storylines:
- **Mladá Boleslav need to stop the bleeding** at home after back-to-back heavy defeats; **L. Letenay** and **J. Buryán** will be crucial going forward
- **Teplice's defensive solidity** has been their calling card, but **M. Trmal** will face a hungry host desperate for points
- Missing **A. Kadlec**, **D. Mareš**, and **F. Lehky** leaves Boleslav stretched; Teplice down **N. Audinis** but less exposed
Expected lineups:
- **Mladá Boleslav**: J. Floder, M. Králik, O. Karafiat, D. Donát, D. Langhamer, J. Zika, J. Klíma, L. Letenay
- **FK Teplice**: M. Trmal, M. Riznič, D. Večerka, J. Švanda, J. Fortelný, M. Bílek, D. Mareček, M. Radosta
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Boleslav scrapes a point at home but can't break through Teplice's well-drilled shape. 📊
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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