Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Jablonec's been hot — Plzeň's been... well, rough.** This feels like a home side with momentum facing a visiting team that's dropped four of their last five. 🔥
Jablonec have steadied the ship with 2W-1D from their recent stretch, though the loss to Freiburg stung. Plzeň's collapse is real: just one win in five and back-to-back defeats to Ferencváros and Slavia. That's championship-contender business looking decidedly ordinary.
Key storylines:
- **Jablonec's home form** is holding up despite injuries to K. Milla and L. Jawo — they'll lean on the 3-4-2-1 setup to control midfield against a struggling visitor
- **Plzeň's defensive wobbles** continue without V. Jemelka; F. Wiegele and S. Dweh will face pressure from **G. Kuol** and the Jablonec attack
- **Midfield battle** between Jablonec's V. Chanturishvili and R. Sedláček against Plzeň's S. Pirgić and P. Hrošovský could decide the tempo
Expected lineups:
- **FK Jablonec**: J. Hanus, N. Tekijaški, D. Pavlović, M. Cedidla, V. Chanturishvili, R. Sedláček, S. Nebyla, G. Kuol, A. Růsek
- **FC Viktoria Plzeň**: F. Wiegele, C. Souaré, S. Dweh, F. Prebsl, S. Pirgić, P. Hrošovský, D. Višinský, T. Ladra, C. Kabongo
Prediction:
**Jablonec 2–1 Plzeň.** Home edge in a match where the visitors have nowhere to hide. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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