Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Empoli's been shaky at home, and Palermo just rolled into Serie B like they own the place.** This is the kind of matchup where form screams louder than history — the Rosanero are absolutely cooking right now. 🔥
Empoli have dropped points at the Castellani (losses to Arezzo, Modena), which is bad timing with Palermo firing on all cylinders. The visitors are 4-1-0 in their last five and looking genuinely dangerous.
Key storylines:
- **Palermo's attacking edge** with G. Strefezza and D. Johnsen in form against an Empoli backline that's been leaky
- **S. Romagnoli and M. Curto** tasked with holding the fort for the home side under real pressure
- **Home record anxiety** — Empoli need to flip the script at Carlo Castellani or risk falling further behind the pace
Expected lineups:
- **Empoli**: J. Seghetti, M. Curto, S. Romagnoli, G. Indragoli, F. Distefano, M. Egan, L. Belardinelli, E. Saporiti, G. Yepes, S. Monaco, B. Popov
- **Palermo**: M. Fortin, A. Bozzolan, P. Ceccaroni, F. Barba, T. Cassandro, C. Gomes, F. Ranocchia, D. Johnsen, A. Palumbo, G. Strefezza, D. Vavassori
Prediction:
**Palermo 2-0 Empoli.** The visitors have the slight edge in momentum and should capitalize on Empoli's home struggles.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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