Mexico 0-2 Chile: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 7, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Mexico 0-2 Chile.

90+6'

Mexico

Corner, Mexico.

90+5'

Chile

Corner, Chile.

90+3'

I. Reyes

Attempt blocked. I. Reyes (Mexico), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+2'

G. Tapia

Substitution, Chile: L. Cepeda comes on for G. Tapia.

90+2'

G. Suazo

Substitution, Chile: I. Lichnovsky comes on for G. Suazo.

90+1'

Mexico

Corner, Mexico.

90+1'

D. Garcia

Attempt blocked. D. Garcia (Mexico), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

89'

B. Brereton Díaz

Attempt missed. B. Brereton Díaz (Chile), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

85'

V. Pizarro

Substitution, Chile: M. Sepúlveda comes on for V. Pizarro.

84'

D. Osorio

Substitution, Chile: B. Brereton Díaz comes on for D. Osorio.

83'

S. Giménez

Attempt missed. S. Giménez (Mexico), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

82'

I. Reyes

Attempt missed. I. Reyes (Mexico), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

82'

Á. Fidalgo

Substitution, Mexico: J. Márquez comes on for Á. Fidalgo.

82'

Mexico

Corner, Mexico.

81'

H. Camberos

Attempt blocked. H. Camberos (Mexico), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

79'

I. Violante

Attempt missed. I. Violante (Mexico), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

78'

M. Gutiérrez

Substitution, Chile: C. Pérez comes on for M. Gutiérrez.

78'

D. Osorio

Yellow card for D. Osorio (Chile) for foul.

73'

E. López

Yellow card for E. López (Mexico) for argument.

72'

G. Berterame

Substitution, Mexico: H. Camberos comes on for G. Berterame.

72'

O. Vargas

Substitution, Mexico: S. Sandoval comes on for O. Vargas.

65'

V. Pizarro

Goal! Mexico 0-2 Chile. V. Pizarro (Chile) scores, assisted by D. Osorio.

64'

J. Gallardo

Substitution, Mexico: J. Vásquez comes on for J. Gallardo.

64'

D. Espinoza

Substitution, Mexico: J. Sánchez comes on for D. Espinoza.

64'

R. Alvarado

Substitution, Mexico: I. Violante comes on for R. Alvarado.

64'

E. Lira

Substitution, Mexico: D. Garcia comes on for E. Lira.

64'

A. González

Substitution, Mexico: S. Giménez comes on for A. González.

62'

Mexico

Corner, Mexico.

62'

E. Lira

Attempt blocked. E. Lira (Mexico), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

60'

G. Tapia

Attempt saved. G. Tapia (Chile), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

54'

M. Gutiérrez

Goal! Mexico 0-1 Chile. M. Gutiérrez (Chile) scores, assisted by G. Tapia.

51'

E. López

Attempt missed. E. López (Mexico), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

50'

O. Vargas

Attempt saved. O. Vargas (Mexico), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

50'

Á. Fidalgo

Attempt blocked. Á. Fidalgo (Mexico), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

48'

G. Tapia

Attempt missed. G. Tapia (Chile), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

46'

R. Echeverría

Substitution, Chile: V. F. Méndez comes on for R. Echeverría.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Mexico 0-0 Chile.

45+1'

A. González

Attempt missed. A. González (Mexico), header. xG 0.11.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

J. Gallardo

Yellow card for J. Gallardo (Mexico) for foul.

40'

Mexico

Offside, Mexico.

34'

Mexico

Offside, Mexico.

33'

D. Espinoza

Attempt missed. D. Espinoza (Mexico), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

32'

R. Alvarado

Attempt saved. R. Alvarado (Mexico), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

32'

Mexico

Corner, Mexico.

30'

Chile

Offside, Chile.

29'

M. Gutiérrez

Attempt missed. M. Gutiérrez (Chile), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

16'

O. Vargas

Attempt missed. O. Vargas (Mexico), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

12'

G. Tapia

Attempt blocked. G. Tapia (Chile), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

12'

G. Tapia

Attempt saved. G. Tapia (Chile), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

12'

Chile

Corner, Chile.

5'

J. Gallardo

Attempt saved. J. Gallardo (Mexico), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

5'

Mexico

Corner, Mexico.

1'

M. Gutiérrez

Attempt missed. M. Gutiérrez (Chile), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Mexico vs Chile.

Where the money is

419399 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 172642 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

76.1%

-22.9 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

17.5%

+17.4 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.4%

+6.3 vs price

Half time 1707 EUR · live

Draw 1.3 · implied 76.9%

60.9%

-16.0 vs price

Away 11.0 · implied 9.1%

37.5%

+28.4 vs price

Home 6.6 · implied 15.2%

1.5%

-13.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 63873 EUR · live

Under 1.1 · implied 90.9%

75.5%

-15.4 vs price

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

24.5%

+15.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 877 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

70.3%

-28.7 vs price

Over 150.0 · implied 0.7%

29.7%

+29.0 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

44' J. Gallardo · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 V. F. Méndez ◂ R. Echeverría

54' ⚽ M. Gutiérrez · assist G. Tapia0–1

64' 🔁 S. Giménez ◂ A. González

64' 🔁 D. Garcia ◂ E. Lira

64' 🔁 I. Violante ◂ R. Alvarado

64' 🔁 J. Sánchez ◂ D. Espinoza

64' 🔁 J. Vásquez ◂ J. Gallardo

65' ⚽ V. Pizarro · assist D. Osorio0–2

72' 🔁 S. Sandoval ◂ O. Vargas

72' 🔁 H. Camberos ◂ G. Berterame

73' E. López · Argument

78' 🔁 C. Pérez ◂ M. Gutiérrez

78' D. Osorio · Foul

82' 🔁 J. Márquez ◂ Á. Fidalgo

84' 🔁 B. Brereton Díaz ◂ D. Osorio

85' 🔁 M. Sepúlveda ◂ V. Pizarro

Full-time · 0–2

90'⁺² 🔁 I. Lichnovsky ◂ G. Suazo

90'⁺² 🔁 L. Cepeda ◂ G. Tapia

Coaches

Rafael Márquez

Nicolas Andres Cordova

Recent form

Mexico

LAUSA0-3

DHPeru1-1

DHColombia1-1

LHEngland2-3

WHEcuador2-0

Chile

LAUSA2-4

LACanada0-1

WADR Congo2-1

LAPortugal1-2

WHPeru2-1

About this match

**Mexico hosting Chile in a friendly that could go either way — both teams are hungry, both teams are messy.** 🇲🇽

Mexico's pulled together a decent run lately (1W 2D), but they're banged up defensively and just got hammered 3-0 by the USA. Chile's in worse shape form-wise (2W 3L in the last five), but they've got the edge in head-to-head history and nothing to lose on the road.

Key storylines:

- **Mexico's injury crisis** has hit their back line hard — A. Dominguez, J. Araujo, and M. Ruíz all out, which means E. Lira and J. Vásquez need to step up.
- **Chile's attacking threat** rests on **B. Brereton Díaz** up front; if he's sharp, Mexico's makeshift defense could be in trouble.
- **Mexico's midfield** with I. Reyes and R. Rangel needs to control tempo and shield the back four.

Expected lineups:

- **Mexico**: G. Ochoa, M. Chávez, J. Vásquez, E. Lira, J. Sánchez, I. Reyes, R. Rangel, E. Álvarez, G. Mora, J. Quiñones, R. Alvarado
- **Chile**: L. Vigouroux, G. Suazo, I. Román, G. Maripán, F. Hormazábal, F. Loyola, R. Echeverría, L. Cepeda, B. Brereton Díaz

Prediction:

**Mexico 1–1 Chile.** Even money — injuries keep Mexico honest, Chile's form too shaky to pull off the away win.

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

City

Los Angeles

Referee

Filip Dujic

4.23 yellows/match · 47 matches

Kickoff

07 Oct, 02:30 UTC

Competition

International Friendly Games

Highlights & clips

Mexico 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 Chile

29 Á. Padilla 6.0 5 J. Vásquez 6.2 ↑ 64' 15 I. Reyes 6.5 27 E. López 6.3 2 J. Sánchez 6.4 ↑ 64' 28 S. Sandoval 6.6 ↑ 72' 26 I. Violante 6.5 ↑ 64' 16 J. Márquez 6.5 ↑ 82' 19 D. Garcia 7.1 ↑ 64' 11 S. Giménez 6.6 ↑ 64' 21 H. Camberos 6.7 ↑ 72' 12 L. Vigouroux 7.0 26 D. Ulloa 7.6 27 J. Villagra 7.2 5 P. Díaz 7.9 13 I. Lichnovsky ↑ 90' 20 M. Sepúlveda 6.7 ↑ 85' 8 F. Loyola 7.1 15 C. Pérez 6.5 ↑ 78' 14 V. F. Méndez 6.7 ↑ 46' 22 B. Brereton Díaz 6.7 ↑ 84' 7 L. Cepeda ↑ 90'

Top stats

64%Possession36%

0.66Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.14

15Total shots9

3Shots on target4

0Big chances2

6Corners2

Shots

7Shots off target4

5Blocked shots1

6Shots inside box8

9Shots outside box1

0Big chances scored2

Attack

16Touches in box14

54Final third entries59

2Offsides1

10Free kicks9

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

600Passes330

518Accurate passes253

30/64 (47%)Long balls37/63 (59%)

4/12 (33%)Crosses1/11 (9%)

13Throw-ins17

Duels

40Duels60

18/45 (40%)Ground duels27/45 (60%)

6/15 (40%)Aerial duels9/15 (60%)

1/10 (10%)Dribbles5/7 (71%)

4Dispossessed5

Defending

7Tackles13

86Tackles won69

14Interceptions8

17Clearances22

45Recoveries37

Discipline

9Fouls10

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

4Goal kicks10

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Mexico 59%

24%

Chile 18%

Who winsMexico to win (DNB) 78% · 1.25 @ Betano

1X2Mexico to win 59% · 1.95 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.40 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.05 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 24% · 2.67 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.50 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ betfair

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.24 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle

1X2Chile to win 18% · 5.50 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.58

Mexico

3.95

Draw

5.25

Chile

Double Chanceconsensus

1.14

Mexico or Draw

1.22

Mexico or Chile

2.31

Draw or Chile

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.88

Yes

1.81

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.62

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

9.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

10.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

3.65

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.05

Over 3.50

1.35

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.03

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.21

Mexico

4.00

Chile

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.52

Over 7.50

2.30

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.94

Over 8.50

1.81

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.49

Over 9.50

1.44

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.05

Over 10.50

1.24

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.02

Over 11.50

1.13

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Mexico to win or draw

✗

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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