Bohemians Praha 1905 1-0 Mladá Boleslav: Stats

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Bohemians Praha 1905 1-0 Mladá Boleslav.

90+4'

D. Lischka

Yellow card for D. Lischka (Bohemians Praha 1905) for foul.

90+3'

J. Buryán

Attempt missed. J. Buryán (Mladá Boleslav), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90+2'

A. Čermák

Substitution, Bohemians Praha 1905: D. Heidenreich comes on for A. Čermák.

90+1'

V. Pilař

Attempt missed. V. Pilař (Bohemians Praha 1905), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

90+1'

A. Čermák

Yellow card for A. Čermák (Bohemians Praha 1905) for foul.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

86'

S. Obinaya

Yellow card for S. Obinaya (Bohemians Praha 1905) for foul.

82'

L. Almási

Substitution, Bohemians Praha 1905: D. Vála comes on for L. Almási.

82'

V. Smrz

Substitution, Bohemians Praha 1905: S. Obinaya comes on for V. Smrz.

82'

O. Karafiat

Substitution, Mladá Boleslav: J. Buryán comes on for O. Karafiat.

78'

V. Pilař

Attempt blocked. V. Pilař (Bohemians Praha 1905), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

76'

V. Pilař

Attempt blocked. V. Pilař (Bohemians Praha 1905), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

75'

L. Almási

Attempt saved. L. Almási (Bohemians Praha 1905), header. xG 0.06.

73'

D. Langhamer

Substitution, Mladá Boleslav: M. Havran comes on for D. Langhamer.

71'

M. Šubert

Yellow card for M. Šubert (Mladá Boleslav) for foul.

70'

M. Šubert

Attempt saved. M. Šubert (Mladá Boleslav), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

70'

Mladá Boleslav

Corner, Mladá Boleslav.

68'

Š. Černý

Attempt blocked. Š. Černý (Bohemians Praha 1905), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

60'

T. Frühwald

Yellow card for T. Frühwald (Bohemians Praha 1905) for argument.

60'

J. Klíma

Yellow card for J. Klíma (Mladá Boleslav) for argument.

56'

L. Krobot

Substitution, Bohemians Praha 1905: V. Pilař comes on for L. Krobot.

56'

R. Kvet

Substitution, Bohemians Praha 1905: Š. Černý comes on for R. Kvet.

56'

F. Špatenka

Substitution, Mladá Boleslav: D. Kozel comes on for F. Špatenka.

53'

M. Šubert

Attempt saved. M. Šubert (Mladá Boleslav), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

50'

D. Langhamer

Attempt blocked. D. Langhamer (Mladá Boleslav), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

47'

V. Smrz

Attempt blocked. V. Smrz (Bohemians Praha 1905), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

47'

L. Krobot

Yellow card for L. Krobot (Bohemians Praha 1905) for foul.

46'

S. John

Substitution, Mladá Boleslav: J. Kolarik comes on for S. John.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Bohemians Praha 1905 1-0 Mladá Boleslav.

42'

J. Klíma

Attempt blocked. J. Klíma (Mladá Boleslav), right-footed shot. xG 0.26.

41'

D. Langhamer

Attempt saved. D. Langhamer (Mladá Boleslav), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

39'

J. Zika

Attempt blocked. J. Zika (Mladá Boleslav), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

39'

Mladá Boleslav

Corner, Mladá Boleslav.

38'

V. Smrz

Yellow card for V. Smrz (Bohemians Praha 1905) for foul.

33'

O. Karafiat

Attempt missed. O. Karafiat (Mladá Boleslav), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

29'

D. Langhamer

Attempt saved. D. Langhamer (Mladá Boleslav), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

27'

A. Majer

Yellow card for A. Majer (Mladá Boleslav) for argument.

23'

D. Langhamer

Attempt blocked. D. Langhamer (Mladá Boleslav), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

23'

O. Karafiat

Attempt saved. O. Karafiat (Mladá Boleslav), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

13'

A. Čermák

Goal! Bohemians Praha 1905 1-0 Mladá Boleslav. A. Čermák (Bohemians Praha 1905) scores.

11'

J. Zika

Yellow card for J. Zika (Mladá Boleslav) for foul.

9'

V. Smrz

Attempt blocked. V. Smrz (Bohemians Praha 1905), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

5'

S. John

Attempt blocked. S. John (Mladá Boleslav), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

3'

L. Krobot

Attempt missed. L. Krobot (Bohemians Praha 1905), header. xG 0.05.

1'

Kick-off: Bohemians Praha 1905 vs Mladá Boleslav.

Where the money is

149151 EUR matched · captured 5 days, 18 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 68816 EUR · live

Home 1.03 · implied 97.1%

80.5%

-16.6 vs price

Away 150.0 · implied 0.7%

12.1%

+11.5 vs price

Draw 34.0 · implied 2.9%

7.5%

+4.5 vs price

Half time 2089 EUR · live

Home 1.28 · implied 78.1%

92.1%

+14.0 vs price

Away 25.0 · implied 4.0%

4.4%

+0.4 vs price

Draw 5.5 · implied 18.2%

3.5%

-14.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 19202 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

60.0%

-39.0 vs price

Over 26.0 · implied 3.8%

40.3%

+36.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2094 EUR · live

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

87.9%

+2.4 vs price

Over 5.9 · implied 16.9%

12.0%

-4.9 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

11' J. Zika · Foul

13' ⚽ A. Čermák1–0

27' A. Majer · Argument

38' V. Smrz · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 J. Kolarik ◂ S. John

47' L. Krobot · Foul

56' 🔁 D. Kozel ◂ F. Špatenka

56' 🔁 Š. Černý ◂ R. Kvet

56' 🔁 V. Pilař ◂ L. Krobot

60' J. Klíma · Argument

60' T. Frühwald · Argument

71' M. Šubert · Foul

73' 🔁 M. Havran ◂ D. Langhamer

82' 🔁 J. Buryán ◂ O. Karafiat

82' 🔁 S. Obinaya ◂ V. Smrz

82' 🔁 D. Vála ◂ L. Almási

86' S. Obinaya · Foul

Full-time · 1–0

90'⁺¹ A. Čermák · Foul

90'⁺² 🔁 D. Heidenreich ◂ A. Čermák

90'⁺⁴ D. Lischka · Foul

Coaches

Jaroslav Vesely

Ales Majer

Recent form

Bohemians Praha 1905

WHBaník Ostrava1-0

DABohemian FC0-0

LAFK Pardubice1-2

WH1. FC Slovácko2-0

LASK Sigma Olomouc0-3

Mladá Boleslav

LAFC Viktoria Plzeň0-3

WH1.FK Příbram3-1

WHFC Zbrojovka Brno2-0

LAFC Slovan Liberec0-3

WHBaník Ostrava4-0

About this match

**Bohemians' home turf meets Boleslav's hot streak** — Praha's been grinding, but the visitors are the ones firing on all cylinders. 🔥

Bohemians' mixed form (2W-1D-2L) keeps them scrappy at Dolicek, while Mladá Boleslav arrive on a **3-win run** despite that heavy loss to Plzeň. This is the classic clash between a solid home side and an in-form visitor.

Key storylines:

- **V. Pilař and L. Almási** lead Praha's attack at home; expect Bohemians to lean on possession and set pieces with their 3-4-1-2 shape
- **M. Šubert and J. Klíma** anchor Boleslav's midfield — they'll be crucial to shutting down Praha's creative outlets
- Bohemians miss **M. Yasser** (Physical Discomfort), while Boleslav are without three: **A. Kadlec, D. Mareš, and F. Lehky**

Expected lineups:

- **Bohemians Praha 1905**: T. Frühwald, M. Kadlec, D. Lischka, V. Pilař, L. Almási, A. Čermák, V. Smrz, M. Havel
- **Mladá Boleslav**: J. Floder, M. Králik, M. Hybš, F. Matoušek, M. Šubert, J. Klíma, D. Kozel, L. Letenay

Prediction:

**1-1 draw.** Boleslav have the edge in form, but Praha's home fortress keeps them competitive. Tight, tactical affair. ⚪

Match facts

Stadium

Dolicek Stadium

City

Prague

Referee

Michal Pansky

Kickoff

14 Oct, 16:00 UTC

Competition

Czech First League

Highlights & clips

Bohemians Praha 1905 5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1 Mladá Boleslav

23 T. Frühwald 8.8 32 P. Mirvald 7.1 24 M. Havel 7.1 27 D. Lischka 7.1 3 M. Kadlec 7.3 37 D. Javorček 7.0 8 D. Heidenreich ↑ 90' 18 D. Vála 6.6 ↑ 82' 70 Š. Černý 6.7 ↑ 56' 11 V. Pilař 7.2 ↑ 56' 62 S. Obinaya 6.7 ↑ 82' 59 J. Floder 6.2 13 D. Donát 7.2 70 J. Buryán 6.5 ↑ 82' 3 M. Králik 7.8 11 M. Hybš 6.9 19 D. Kozel 6.8 ↑ 56' 76 J. Zika 7.0 49 J. Kolarik 6.6 ↑ 46' 18 M. Havran 6.4 ↑ 73' 21 M. Šubert 6.7 23 J. Klíma 6.3

Substitutes

12GM. Reichl 25DP. Karim 15DM. Banda 22DJ. Vondra 47MA. Čermák↓ 90'7.9 42MV. Smrz↓ 82'7.4 16MR. Kvet↓ 56'6.6 13MV. Zeman 19MJ. Kovařík 9FL. Krobot↓ 56'6.6 99FL. Almási↓ 82'6.6

Coach: Jaroslav Vesely

Substitutes

42GV. Vorel 44DO. Karafiat↓ 82'7.2 5DJ. Harustak 32DF. Matoušek 26DM. Zachoval 28MD. Langhamer↓ 73'7.1 20MS. John↓ 46'6.7 17MF. Špatenka↓ 56'6.1 14MS. Grygar 77MD. Pech 9FL. Letenay

Coach: Ales Majer

Top stats

38%Possession62%

0.63Expected goals (xG)0.86

9Total shots12

2Shots on target5

0Big chances1

1Corners3

Shots

2Shots off target2

5Blocked shots5

5Shots inside box7

4Shots outside box5

0Big chances missed1

1.35Goals prevented-0.55

Attack

12Touches in box16

51Final third entries87

7Free kicks18

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

354Passes599

268Accurate passes507

28/63 (44%)Long balls20/36 (56%)

4/10 (40%)Crosses1/12 (8%)

18Throw-ins27

Duels

51Duels49

40/81 (49%)Ground duels41/81 (51%)

9/15 (60%)Aerial duels6/15 (40%)

11/22 (50%)Dribbles6/21 (29%)

6Dispossessed7

Defending

22Tackles17

68Tackles won59

15Interceptions10

21Clearances15

51Recoveries52

Discipline

18Fouls7

6Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves1

1Big saves0

6Goal kicks5

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Bohemians 42%

27%

Mladá Boleslav 32%

Who winsMladá Boleslav to win (DNB) 57% · 2.62 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 67%

BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 1.57 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 1.73 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.30 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.22 @ Bet365

1X2Mladá Boleslav to win 32% · 3.50 @ Bet365

1X2Bohemians to win 42% · 2.88 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56%

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.20

Bohemians Praha 1905

3.40

Draw

2.90

Mladá Boleslav

Double Chanceconsensus

1.40

Bohemians Praha 1905 or Draw

1.30

Bohemians Praha 1905 or Mladá Boleslav

1.67

Draw or Mladá Boleslav

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.48

Yes

2.45

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.73

Over 2.50

2.08

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.75

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.50

Bohemians Praha 1905

2.42

Mladá Boleslav

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.88

Bohemians Praha 1905

2.30

Draw

3.50

Mladá Boleslav

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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