Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**New Mexico's on a roll at home, but Phoenix keeps the drama flowing** — two sides that can't quite separate, meeting at the Isotopes Park with opposite vibes. 🔥
New Mexico's clicking with three wins in their last five, while Phoenix are the unpredictable draw kings — drawing one and winning two of their own recent stretch. Head-to-head's been tight forever (6-7 edge Phoenix), so expect another cagey affair.
Key storylines:
- **New Mexico's home form** has them favored here, riding momentum off wins versus El Paso and Monterey Bay
- **Phoenix's attacking punch** showed up big against Orange County and Las Vegas — if **K. Arase** and **I. Sacko** get space, they'll threaten
- **G. Hurst** leading the line for the hosts needs to stay sharp against a solid Phoenix backline anchored by **P. M. Boye**
Expected lineups:
- **New Mexico United**: K. Shakes, C. Gloster, K. Keller, M. Howell, Z. Bailey, J. Quiah, C. Dennis, N. Reid-Stephen, G. Hurst
- **Phoenix Rising FC**: P. Rakovsky, D. Flores, P. M. Boye, A. Essengue, J. E. Moursou, J. Torres, D. Gómez, K. Arase, I. Sacko
Prediction:
**New Mexico 2-1 Phoenix**. Home-field advantage tips it, but don't sleep on Phoenix's late-game chaos. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.