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Alianza Valledupar FC
Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Llaneros FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Llaneros FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
Llaneros FC
José Flavio Torres Sierra
Alianza Valledupar FC
Llaneros FC
Alianza Valledupar FC
3-4-3 · 4-1-4-1
Llaneros FC
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Alianza Valledupar FC 1-2 Llaneros FC.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
90'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Offside, Alianza Valledupar FC.
89'
Attempt blocked. C. Vergara (Alianza Valledupar FC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.
85'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
78'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
69'
Attempt missed. Jhon Vásquez (Llaneros FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.
62'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Corner, Alianza Valledupar FC.
59'
Llaneros FC
Offside, Llaneros FC.
52'
Attempt missed. J. Castillo (Alianza Valledupar FC), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
49'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Corner, Alianza Valledupar FC.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Alianza Valledupar FC 1-2 Llaneros FC.
45+3'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Offside, Alianza Valledupar FC.
45+2'
Attempt missed. J. Lasso (Alianza Valledupar FC), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
45+2'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Corner, Alianza Valledupar FC.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
42'
Attempt blocked. F. Pardo (Alianza Valledupar FC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.15.
42'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Corner, Alianza Valledupar FC.
42'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Corner, Alianza Valledupar FC.
40'
Llaneros FC
Offside, Llaneros FC.
37'
Goal! Alianza Valledupar FC 1-2 Llaneros FC. Jhon Vásquez (Llaneros FC) converts the penalty.
35'
Attempt saved. Jhon Vásquez (Llaneros FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
34'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
30'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Offside, Alianza Valledupar FC.
27'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Corner, Alianza Valledupar FC.
20'
Goal! Alianza Valledupar FC 1-1 Llaneros FC. M. Martínez (Alianza Valledupar FC) scores, assisted by F. Pardo.
16'
Goal! Alianza Valledupar FC 0-1 Llaneros FC. J. Castilla (Llaneros FC) scores, assisted by J. Escobar.
14'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
12'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Corner, Alianza Valledupar FC.
10'
Alianza Valledupar FC
Corner, Alianza Valledupar FC.
7'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
1'
Kick-off: Alianza Valledupar FC vs Llaneros FC.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
61521 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
69.7%
-28.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
23.5%
+23.3 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
7.6%
+3.1 vs price
Half time
168 EUR
Draw
2.26 · implied 44.2%
97.3%
+53.0 vs price
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
59.7%
+38.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7294 EUR · live
Under
5.9 · implied 16.9%
50.8%
+33.8 vs price
Over
1.21 · implied 82.6%
49.4%
-33.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
40 EUR
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
100.0%
+90.5 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
J. Pertuz · Foul
16'
⚽
J. Castilla · assist J. Escobar0–1
20'
⚽
M. Martínez · assist F. Pardo1–1
35'
🔁
C. Vergara ◂ M. Martínez
37'
⚽
Jhon Vásquez (pen)1–2
40'
D. Quintero · Foul
Half-time · 1–2
46'
🔁
B. Viafara ◂ S. Quiñones
57'
🔁
J. Pérez ◂ E. Meza
64'
🔁
K. Osorio ◂ J. Castilla
64'
🔁
B. Chury ◂ J. Ramirez
70'
🔁
C. Cortés ◂ J. Contreras
70'
J. Castillo · Foul
74'
🔁
L. Palacios ◂ F. Pardo
74'
🔁
Y. Rosales ◂ J. Castillo
80'
🔁
J. Medranda ◂ Jhon Vásquez
80'
🔁
K. Rincón ◂ N. Ospina
84'
M. Sierra · Foul
Full-time · 1–2
90'+3
J. Pérez · Foul
Coaches
José Flavio Torres SierraWilmer Alberto Sandoval Galindo 
Recent form
Alianza Valledupar FCLAIndependiente Medellín1-2
LAOnce Caldas0-1
WHInternacional de Bogotá1-0
WADeportivo Pasto1-0
DHRionegro Águilas Doradas2-2
Llaneros FCWHJunior Barranquilla3-2
LAJaguares de Córdoba0-1
LHDeportivo Cali0-3
WHIndependiente Santa Fe1-0
LAInternacional de Bogotá1-4
About this match
**Valledupar looking to punish a Llaneros side that can't string together consistency** — the hosts have the head-to-head edge and play at home, but both squads are wobbling through Round 18. 🔴
Alianza's solid at the Estadio (won last time out vs Internacional) but just took a hammering away to Medellín and Caldas. Llaneros grabbed a wild 3-2 win over Junior but then got demolished 0-3 by Cali; they're basically a coin flip every week.
Key storylines:
- **Alianza's home fortress** vs a Llaneros outfit that can't defend on the road (0-1 away to Jaguares, 0-3 at home to Cali on form)
- **C. Vergara and F. Pardo** spearheading Alianza's attack against **J. Loaiza**'s leaky Llaneros backline
- **R. Romaña** out for Llaneros creates gaps in midfield that **J. Castillo and W. Fernández** can exploit
Expected lineups:
- **Alianza Valledupar FC**: E. Beltrán, J. Lasso, J. Viveros, J. Figueroa, I. Alba, J. Castillo, W. Fernández, L. Palacios, F. Pardo, C. Vergara
- **Llaneros FC**: J. Loaiza, J. Escobar, F. Meza, H. Mena, J. Pertuz, M. Sierra, Jhon Vásquez, J. Castilla, K. Osorio, N. Ospina, Y. Mena
Prediction:
**Alianza Valledupar 2–0 Llaneros** — the hosts lean on home form and superior recent head-to-head while Llaneros' leaky defense crumbles under pressure. ⚪
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
City
Valledupar
Kickoff
09 Nov, 01:15 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Alianza Valledupar FC
3-4-3 · 4-1-4-1
Llaneros FC
40
E. Beltrán
7.1
11
B. Viafara
6.4
↑ 46'
3
K. Moreno
6.0
5
P. Franco
6.5
23
I. Alba
8.0
60
Y. Rosales
6.8
↑ 74'
25
J. Pérez
6.2
↑ 57'
33
J. Lasso
6.5
88
L. Palacios
6.6
↑ 74'
18
C. Vergara
6.4
↑ 35'
8
J. Muñoz
6.6
12
J. Loaiza
7.1
4
J. Pertuz
7.2
21
F. Meza
7.2
26
D. Quintero
6.5
16
J. Escobar
6.9
6
M. Sierra
6.8
20
B. Chury
6.7
↑ 64'
94
J. Medranda
7.0
↑ 80'
33
K. Osorio
6.5
↑ 64'
9
C. Cortés
6.8
↑ 70'
14
K. Rincón
6.3
↑ 80'
Substitutes
13GA. Simancas
2DS. Quiñones↓ 46'6.1
7MJ. Castillo↓ 74'7.9
17MF. Pardo↓ 74'7.6
6ME. Meza↓ 57'6.3
77FM. Martínez↓ 35'7.3
21FS. Nieto
14FC. Villegas
20L. Luna
Coach: José Flavio Torres Sierra
Substitutes
22GR. Romaña
31DE. Pardo
95MJhon Vásquez↓ 80'7.9
13MJ. Castilla↓ 64'7.4
10MN. Ospina↓ 80'6.7
8MJ. Ramirez↓ 64'6.4
70FJ. Contreras↓ 70'6.8
Coach: Wilmer Alberto Sandoval Galindo
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.46Expected goals (xG)1.42
18Total shots17
3Shots on target6
6Big chances3
8Corners6
Shots
10Shots off target8
5Blocked shots3
11Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box8
1Big chances scored1
5Big chances missed2
0.1Goals prevented-0.15
Attack
26Touches in box16
68Final third entries70
3Offsides3
12Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third4
Passing
440Passes324
364Accurate passes244
26/55 (47%)Long balls32/71 (45%)
8/28 (29%)Crosses7/14 (50%)
17Throw-ins19
Duels
49Duels51
21/45 (47%)Ground duels24/45 (53%)
13/25 (52%)Aerial duels12/25 (48%)
2/6 (33%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)
5Dispossessed4
Defending
8Tackles9
50Tackles won89
9Interceptions6
16Clearances19
46Recoveries47
Discipline
10Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
9Goal kicks16
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.12 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.25 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 29% · 2.33 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.49 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 1xBet
Who winsAlianza Valledupar to win (DNB) 60% · 1.63 @ Novibet
1X2Alianza Valledupar to win 43% · 2.60 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
1X2Llaneros to win 28% · 3.72 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.30 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.12
Alianza Valledupar FC
3.17
Draw
3.33
Llaneros FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Alianza Valledupar FC or Draw
1.30
Alianza Valledupar FC or Llaneros FC
1.63
Draw or Llaneros FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.84
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
3.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50
1.66
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.03
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.60
Alianza Valledupar FC
2.25
Llaneros FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.34
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.89
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.34
Over 10.50
1.51
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.14
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.75
Alianza Valledupar FC
2.04
Draw
4.00
Llaneros FC
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.50
Alianza Valledupar FC
2.30
Draw
3.60
Llaneros FC
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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