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Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport
FC Eindhoven
Helmond Sport
FC Eindhoven
Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport
FC Eindhoven
Helmond Sport
Joonas Kolkka
Helmond Sport
FC Eindhoven
Helmond Sport
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
FC Eindhoven
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Helmond Sport 3-2 FC Eindhoven.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
88'
Goal! Helmond Sport 2-2 FC Eindhoven. L. Golič (Helmond Sport) scores, assisted by K. Ekoli.
78'
Helmond Sport
Corner, Helmond Sport.
68'
Helmond Sport
Corner, Helmond Sport.
68'
Attempt saved. M. Ludwig (Helmond Sport), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
65'
Helmond Sport
Offside, Helmond Sport.
60'
Helmond Sport
Corner, Helmond Sport.
54'
FC Eindhoven
Corner, FC Eindhoven.
52'
Attempt missed. T. Essakkati (Helmond Sport), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.23.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Helmond Sport 0-2 FC Eindhoven.
45'
1 minute of added time.
42'
Attempt missed. B. Koglin (Helmond Sport), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
20'
Goal! Helmond Sport 0-1 FC Eindhoven. S. Baartmans (FC Eindhoven) scores, assisted by R. Buifrahi.
16'
Helmond Sport
Corner, Helmond Sport.
15'
FC Eindhoven
Corner, FC Eindhoven.
11'
Attempt missed. R. Buifrahi (FC Eindhoven), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
10'
Helmond Sport
Corner, Helmond Sport.
9'
Helmond Sport
Corner, Helmond Sport.
7'
FC Eindhoven
Corner, FC Eindhoven.
6'
Helmond Sport
Offside, Helmond Sport.
5'
Attempt blocked. T. Essakkati (Helmond Sport), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.16.
1'
Kick-off: Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
32263 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
49.8%
+49.7 vs price
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
31.4%
-66.7 vs price
Draw
55.0 · implied 1.8%
18.8%
+17.0 vs price
Half time
1 EUR
Home
2.78 · implied 36.0%
50.7%
+14.7 vs price
Away
3.7 · implied 27.0%
49.3%
+22.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7405 EUR · live
Over
1.39 · implied 71.9%
76.0%
+4.0 vs price
Under
3.6 · implied 27.8%
24.7%
-3.1 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
20'
⚽
S. Baartmans · assist R. Buifrahi0–1
36'
M. Lenaerts · Argument
37'
J. Poortvliet · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
45'+1
⚽
V. Besuijen0–2
56'
🔁
P. Llonch ◂ M. Lenaerts
56'
🔁
H. Ingason ◂ D. Huiberts
56'
D. Huiberts · Foul
61'
H. Ingason · Foul
63'
🔁
A. Bryson ◂ H. Deenen
63'
🔁
A. Baždarić ◂ V. Besuijen
63'
C. Essers · Foul
64'
⚽
O. Renfrum1–2
71'
🔁
K. Ekoli ◂ M. Ludwig
72'
A. Bryson · Foul
74'
🔁
L. Netten ◂ J. Poortvliet
80'
R. v. Bree · Foul
84'
🔁
L. Cicero ◂ R. v. Bree
84'
🔁
T. Landheer ◂ T. Poll
87'
🔁
R. Boon ◂ S. Baartmans
87'
🔁
N. Munsters ◂ R. Buifrahi
88'
⚽
L. Golič · assist K. Ekoli2–2
Full-time · 3–2
90'+4
⚽
K. Ekoli3–2
Coaches
Joonas KolkkaJan Poortvliet 
Recent form
Helmond SportLAJong AZ Alkmaar4-5
LHNAC Breda0-2
LATOP Oss1-3
DHHeracles Almelo2-2
LAMVV Maastricht0-2
FC EindhovenLHJong PSV Eindhoven1-2
LHVitesse0-1
LAAlmere City FC0-3
DHDe Graafschap2-2
LANAC Breda2-4
About this match
**Both teams are absolutely cooked right now** — zero wins in five for either side, which means this derby could genuinely get messy. 🔥
Helmond Sport have been leaking goals like a sieve (conceded 10 in their last three), while FC Eindhoven's home record is a disaster. The silver lining? Helmond own the recent H2H, so there's at least something to hang onto.
Key storylines:
- **Helmond Sport's defensive meltdown** has made them vulnerable to anyone with a pulse; another heavy defeat would be brutal
- **FC Eindhoven's home struggles** — they've shipped six goals in two matches at their place — could leave them exposed
- **Helmond's historical edge** in this fixture offers a rare morale boost on an otherwise grim run
Expected lineups:
- **Helmond Sport**: Beelen, Porembski, Brenet, Schalk, Bakis, Berghuis
- **FC Eindhoven**: Stojkovic, Diks, El Bokhtaoui, Luckassen, Lappies, Nyuiadzi
Prediction:
**Helmond Sport 2–1 FC Eindhoven**. Both are dreadful, but Helmond's head-to-head record and Eindhoven's home curse give the hosts a slight edge. 📌
Where to watch
ESPN 4
ESPN 4
Match facts
Kickoff
30 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
FC Eindhoven
1
M. Bergsen
6.0
43
T. Landheer
6.8
↑ 84'
4
B. Koglin
7.6
14
L. Golič
7.6
11
L. Cicero
6.6
↑ 84'
19
H. Ingason
6.6
↑ 56'
44
X. v. d. Velde
7.0
30
K. Ekoli
8.3
↑ 71'
34
T. Essakkati
6.2
8
P. Llonch
7.2
↑ 56'
9
L. Bajrami
6.8
1
J. Borgmans
5.0
22
C. Essers
6.5
44
O. Renfrum
5.6
17
L. Netten
6.1
↑ 74'
20
R. v. d. Riet
6.2
5
R. Boon
6.0
↑ 87'
8
X. Blomme
7.4
6
G. Beaumont
6.3
13
A. Bryson
6.2
↑ 63'
14
N. Munsters
6.2
↑ 87'
18
A. Baždarić
6.4
↑ 63'
Top stats
57%Possession43%
1.63Expected goals (xG)0.54
15Total shots9
3Shots on target3
2Big chances1
6Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target3
5Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box4
8Shots outside box5
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
-0.61Goals prevented-1.85
Attack
17Touches in box11
56Final third entries52
2Offsides0
17Free kicks23
5Fouled in final third8
Passing
419Passes319
317Accurate passes220
29/57 (51%)Long balls22/68 (32%)
7/22 (32%)Crosses1/19 (5%)
41Throw-ins19
Duels
49Duels51
49/102 (48%)Ground duels53/102 (52%)
17/32 (53%)Aerial duels15/32 (47%)
14/27 (52%)Dribbles8/13 (62%)
11Dispossessed13
Defending
18Tackles24
56Tackles won67
6Interceptions12
26Clearances27
49Recoveries47
Discipline
23Fouls17
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
1Big saves1
4Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsHelmond Sport to win (DNB) 70% · 1.62 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.75 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.60 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.39 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.81 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.67 @ 1xBet
1X2Eindhoven to win 31% · 3.30 @ 1xBet
1X2Helmond Sport to win 44% · 2.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.50 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
Helmond Sport
3.50
Draw
2.97
FC Eindhoven
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Helmond Sport or Draw
1.25
Helmond Sport or FC Eindhoven
1.67
Draw or FC Eindhoven
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.40
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
13.85
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.55
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.47
Over 3.50
1.49
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.52
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.57
Helmond Sport
2.30
FC Eindhoven
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.65
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.68
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.08
Over 10.50
1.67
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.55
Over 11.50
1.42
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.60
Helmond Sport
2.30
Draw
3.50
FC Eindhoven
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.40
Helmond Sport
2.62
Draw
3.25
FC Eindhoven
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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