**Métlaoui and Zarzis both limping into this one** — both sides won just one of their last five, making for a proper six-pointer in the Ligue Pro 1 basement scrap 🔥
Form's rough all round, but **Métlaoui have the historical edge** here, holding a 6-3 record in the last 14 meetings. That said, neither team's exactly inspiring confidence: Zarzis did scrape a 2-0 win over Hammam-Sousse recently, while Métlaoui's picked up just a single W and been leaking goals.
Key storylines:
- **Métlaoui's creaky defense** has conceded heavily in their losing streak — tightening up at the back will be non-negotiable
- **Zarzis need to replicate their Hammam-Sousse display** and press for another away upset after some stodgy results
- **Head-to-head form favors Métlaoui**, but both teams are equally fragile right now
Expected lineups:
- **ES Métlaoui**: M. A. Bejaoui, Y. Soltani, O. Hichri, I. T. Glele, A. Ghrissi, K. Kouassi, M. A. Belghith, C. Bodian, A. Jouini, B. Hajji, B. Nana
- **ES Zarzis**: H. Ghanmi, J. Belkilani, A. M. Yassine, S. Diouf, L. Rjili, K. Kassab, D. R. Nyengue, A. Tajouri, A. Oluwaseun, M. H. Jertila, H. Labidi
Prediction:
**Métlaoui 1-1 Zarzis**. Coin flip — both teams are fragile enough that a stalemate feels apt, though the home edge and H2H lean slightly toward Métlaoui.
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.1% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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