Peru 2-0 Bolivia: Stats, xG & Lineups – Nov 14, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Peru 2-0 Bolivia.

90'

R. Vaca

Attempt missed. R. Vaca (Bolivia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

87'

M. Castro

Goal! Peru 2-0 Bolivia. M. Castro (Peru) scores, assisted by J. Pretell.

84'

A. Polo

Substitution, Peru: M. Lazo comes on for A. Polo.

83'

P. Magallanes

Substitution, Peru: B. Soyer comes on for P. Magallanes.

78'

R. Vaca

Attempt blocked. R. Vaca (Bolivia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

74'

N. Nacif

Substitution, Bolivia: J. Flores comes on for N. Nacif.

74'

Ó. López

Substitution, Bolivia: J. E. Lovera comes on for Ó. López.

69'

P. Magallanes

Attempt blocked. P. Magallanes (Peru), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

68'

A. Polo

Attempt missed. A. Polo (Peru), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

68'

Ó. López

Yellow card for Ó. López (Bolivia) for argument.

67'

O. Mora

Substitution, Peru: E. Ramirez comes on for O. Mora.

67'

R. Vilca

Substitution, Peru: J. Pretell comes on for R. Vilca.

67'

J. Vidales

Substitution, Peru: M. Castro comes on for J. Vidales.

66'

Miguelito

Yellow card for Miguelito (Bolivia) for foul.

64'

R. Vaca

Attempt blocked. R. Vaca (Bolivia), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

62'

Miguelito

Attempt blocked. Miguelito (Bolivia), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

62'

M. López

Yellow card for M. López (Peru) for foul.

58'

Miguelito

Attempt missed. Miguelito (Bolivia), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

55'

G. Lapadula

Substitution, Peru: A. Ugarriza comes on for G. Lapadula.

46'

R. Matheus

Substitution, Bolivia: C. Melgar comes on for R. Matheus.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Peru 1-0 Bolivia.

45+1'

M. López

Attempt missed. M. López (Peru), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

39'

R. Matheus

Attempt saved. R. Matheus (Bolivia), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

37'

R. Vaca

Attempt saved. R. Vaca (Bolivia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

36'

H. Cuellar

Attempt missed. H. Cuellar (Bolivia), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

27'

G. Lapadula

Attempt missed. G. Lapadula (Peru), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

26'

G. Lapadula

Attempt saved. G. Lapadula (Peru), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

24'

Miguelito

Attempt saved. Miguelito (Bolivia), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

24'

Miguelito

Attempt saved. Miguelito (Bolivia), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.11.

21'

R. Fernández

Attempt blocked. R. Fernández (Bolivia), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

20'

P. Magallanes

Attempt missed. P. Magallanes (Peru), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

13'

G. Lapadula

Goal! Peru 1-0 Bolivia. G. Lapadula (Peru) converts the penalty.

10'

R. Vilca

VAR: no penalty for Peru.

9'

Miguelito

Attempt missed. Miguelito (Bolivia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

5'

G. Lapadula

Attempt saved. G. Lapadula (Peru), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

1'

Kick-off: Peru vs Bolivia.

Where the money is

215653 EUR matched · captured 11 hours, 30 minutes ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 66762 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

76.9%

-22.1 vs price

Away 500.0 · implied 0.2%

12.8%

+12.6 vs price

Draw 20.0 · implied 5.0%

10.4%

+5.4 vs price

Half time 9 EUR

Draw 2.26 · implied 44.2%

99.8%

+55.5 vs price

Away 6.0 · implied 16.7%

90.3%

+73.6 vs price

Home 2.5 · implied 40.0%

0.1%

-39.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 69375 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

85.2%

-11.0 vs price

Over 26.0 · implied 3.8%

14.8%

+11.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6 EUR

Under 1.1 · implied 90.9%

100.0%

+9.1 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

10' VAR Penalty check · R. Vilca

13' ⚽ G. Lapadula (pen)1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 C. Melgar ◂ R. Matheus

55' 🔁 A. Ugarriza ◂ G. Lapadula

62' M. López · Foul

66' Miguelito · Foul

67' 🔁 M. Castro ◂ J. Vidales

67' 🔁 J. Pretell ◂ R. Vilca

67' 🔁 E. Ramirez ◂ O. Mora

68' Ó. López · Argument

74' 🔁 J. E. Lovera ◂ Ó. López

74' 🔁 J. Flores ◂ N. Nacif

83' 🔁 B. Soyer ◂ P. Magallanes

84' 🔁 M. Lazo ◂ A. Polo

87' ⚽ M. Castro · assist J. Pretell2–0

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Mano Menezes

Oscar Villegas

Recent form

Peru

LAColombia0-2

LACanada0-2

DAMexico1-1

LAUSA1-4

LASpain1-3

Bolivia

LAArgentina0-4

LHParaguay0-2

LHAlgeria0-4

LHScotland0-4

WHTrinidad and Tobago3-0

About this match

**Peru's mired in a rough patch at home — can they snap a four-game losing streak against a Bolivia side that's barely better?** Both teams are limping into Lima, but the Peruvian crowd and home advantage could be the difference. 🏟️

Peru's winless in five (1D, 4L) and nursing multiple injury absences, while Bolivia's sitting at 1W, 4L — so neither squad screams confidence. The head-to-head tells the real story though: Peru's dominated this fixture historically (10 wins in 19), and they'll be desperate to remember how.

Key storylines:

- **Peru's injury crisis** vs. missing J. Vélez, M. Huaman, and M. Araujo could force lineup shuffles in a must-need-momentum moment
- **Home soil pressure** — Peru desperate to break their slump in front of their own fans at Estadio Monumental
- **Bolivia's defensive fragility** — conceded 10 goals in their last three games; Peru's attack (R. Vilca, P. Magallanes, J. Vidales) should find chances

Expected lineups:

- **Peru**: P. Gallese, M. López, Y. Yotún, F. Gruber, O. Sonne, E. Noriega, A. Barco, B. Soyer, R. Vilca, P. Magallanes, J. Vidales
- **Bolivia**: G. Viscarra, R. Fernández, M. Torrez, E. Morales, D. Medina, G. Villamil, H. Cuellar, R. Matheus, F. Nava, E. Monteiro, Miguelito

Prediction:

**Peru 2–0 Bolivia**. Peru's got the edge on history and home turf; Bolivia's leaking goals for fun. 🔥

Where to watch

América TVGOAmérica Televisión

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Monumental

City

Lima

Kickoff

14 Nov, 01:00 UTC

Competition

International Friendly Games

Highlights & clips

Peru 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3 Bolivia

1 P. Gallese 7.2 94 M. Lazo 6.7 ↑ 84' 99 F. Gruber 7.3 8 E. Noriega 8.5 4 M. López 7.6 97 E. Ramirez 7.2 ↑ 67' 19 Y. Yotún 7.3 24 B. Soyer 6.5 ↑ 83' 6 J. Pretell 6.8 ↑ 67' 93 M. Castro 7.5 ↑ 67' 7 A. Ugarriza 6.5 ↑ 55' 1 C. Lampe 6.3 21 Y. Rocha 6.7 5 E. Morales 6.7 6 H. Cuellar 6.6 17 R. Fernández 6.5 20 C. Melgar 6.5 ↑ 46' 9 J. Flores 6.4 ↑ 74' 10 R. Vaca 7.4 7 Miguelito 6.5 15 J. E. Lovera 6.5 ↑ 74' 13 M. Paniagua 6.4

Top stats

41%Possession59%

1.28Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.63

9Total shots12

4Shots on target4

3Big chances0

6Corners4

Shots

4Shots off target4

1Blocked shots4

5Shots inside box4

4Shots outside box8

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed0

Attack

19Touches in box14

44Final third entries55

10Free kicks8

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

356Passes525

305Accurate passes472

31/48 (65%)Long balls21/40 (53%)

4/12 (33%)Crosses2/12 (17%)

10Throw-ins21

Duels

56Duels44

32/60 (53%)Ground duels28/60 (47%)

7/10 (70%)Aerial duels3/10 (30%)

1/6 (17%)Dribbles5/18 (28%)

10Dispossessed7

Defending

20Tackles15

60Tackles won47

10Interceptions7

20Clearances14

45Recoveries37

Discipline

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

1Big saves2

4Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers

Peru 59%

24%

Bolivia 16%

Who winsPeru to win (DNB) 78% · 1.33 @ 10bet

1X2Peru to win 59% · 2.24 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.26 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.12 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 24% · 2.54 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.38 @ William Hill

1X2Bolivia to win 16% · 4.81 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.72

Peru

3.50

Draw

4.60

Bolivia

Double Chanceconsensus

1.18

Peru or Draw

1.26

Peru or Bolivia

2.04

Draw or Bolivia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.00

Yes

1.72

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.70

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.36

Over 1.50

3.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.18

Over 2.50

1.65

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.00

Over 3.50

1.22

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.25

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.30

Peru

3.25

Bolivia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.42

Over 7.50

2.84

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.69

Over 8.50

2.09

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.17

Over 9.50

1.67

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.94

Over 10.50

1.40

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.23

Over 11.50

1.23

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Peru to win or draw

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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