Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
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**Brazil is back in cruise control, and Japan's got to find a way to trouble a team that's won 6 of their last 7 matchups.** This friendly in Singapore feels like a classic David-vs-Goliath setup. 🇧🇷
Japan are riding decent form—three wins in five—but Brazil's last two months have been a different animal entirely: four-goal demolitions and dominant outings. The Seleção are missing **Danilo** and **G. Martinelli** through injury, which might be Japan's opening.
Key storylines:
- **Vinícius Jr.** and **Endrick** spearhead a Brazil attack that's been relentless; Japan's defense needs to stay compact or get picked apart
- **R. Doan** and **A. Tanaka** will be crucial if Japan want to generate any real threat on the counter
- **T. Tomiyasu** is out for Japan, forcing the back line to shuffle and potentially limiting their width
Expected lineups:
- **Japan**: Z. Suzuki, H. Itō, S. Taniguchi, T. Watanabe, Y. Sugawara, K. Sano, D. Kamada, A. Tanaka, K. Nakamura, A. Ueda, R. Doan
- **Brazil**: Alisson, D. Santos, Marquinhos, G. Magalhães, R. Ibañez, Fabinho, B. Guimarães, Casemiro, Vinícius Jr., Endrick, Rayan
Prediction:
**Brazil 2-0 Japan** — The Seleção's attacking class edges out Japan's grit. Slight favorite for the visitors. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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