Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Pasto host Junior in a dead-even midtable scrap** — two teams stuck in the middle of the Colombian table with wildly inconsistent form. 🔴
Pasto are all over the place: hammered 5-0 at home last time, then turned around to smash Jaguares. Junior look marginally steadier with a 2W-2D-1L run, though they just blew a 2-0 lead against Llaneros. Both sides need the points badly.
Key storylines:
- **Deportivo Pasto** riding a confidence spike after the Jaguares win, but that Santa Fe shellacking still stinks
- **Junior Barranquilla** unbeaten in their last three but sloppy defensively — gave up 3 at home to a bottom-half side
- The H2H is split 6-6-7 across 19 games; no edge either way
Expected lineups:
- **Deportivo Pasto**: Alderson Martínez, Flórez, Mosquera, Moreno, Yeboah, Arboleda, Mejía
- **Junior Barranquilla**: Viera, Herrera, Cantillo, Borja, Teófilo, Morelo, Quintero
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — neither team confident enough to push for three, both too brittle at the back. Classic Colombian midtable coin flip. 🤝
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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