Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Both teams are desperately hunting form** — Moquegua's hovering around the middle with 1W in five, while Grau's barely hanging on after three losses in their last four. 📉
Moquegua has at least steadied the ship with back-to-back draws, but Grau's leaking goals everywhere (conceded 6 in their last two away trips). Home advantage at altitude could be the edge Moquegua needs here.
Key storylines:
- **B. Angulo** leading the line for Moquegua will face a shaky Grau backline anchored by **G. Alfaro** and **L. Acevedo** — opportunity for the hosts
- **E. Lastre** orchestrating from midfield vs **R. Guarderas** and **P. Lavandeira** — controlling tempo will decide this
- Grau's **Y. Ruidiaz** is their only real spark up top, but the service from midfield has been dire
Expected lineups:
- **CD Moquegua**: C. Grados, J. D. Lojas, C. Enciso, A. Perleche, E. Montenegro, J. Granda, D. Ramírez, C. Mejia, R. Chipao, E. Lastre, B. Angulo
- **Club Atlético Grau**: P. Álvarez, R. Tapia, G. Alfaro, L. Acevedo, I. Tapia, R. Guarderas, P. Lavandeira, A. Fernández, D. Barreto, H. Espinoza, Y. Ruidiaz
Prediction:
**Moquegua 2–0 Grau**. Home form and Grau's defensive collapse should hand this one to the hosts. 🎯
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.2% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.