Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
M. Hongla
9'
C. Zafeiris
10'
C. Pérez
31'
A. Vogliacco
45'
🔁I. Michailidis ◂ A. Vogliacco
54'
🔁Taison ◂ K. Despodov
57'
🔁A. Donis ◂ Dudu
59'
🔁C. Kouamé ◂ L. Morón
59'
🔁B. Garré ◂ C. Pérez
72'
🔁M. M. Camara ◂ C. Zafeiris
83'
🔁A. Jeremejeff ◂ G. Giakoumakis
83'
🔁M. Alfarela ◂ F. Jensen
88'
Taison
90'
Á. Tejero
90'
C. Kouamé
90'
Form
Aris Thessaloniki
WDLDW
PAOK
WWWLW
Match facts
Stadium
Kleanthis Vikelides
City
Thessaloniki
Referee
Sascha Stegemann
Kickoff
08 Feb, 17:00 UTC
Aris Thessaloniki
4-2-3-1
33
G. Athanasiadis
9.3
15
Á. Tejero
7.0
20
N. S. Sundberg
7.4
4
F. Leismann
7.5
27
N. Fadiga
6.7
10
U. Račić
6.6
78
M. Hongla
6.4
7
C. Pérez
6.6
97
F. Jensen
6.7
28
Dudu
6.3
80
L. Morón
6.5
Substitutes
11
A. Donis
6.4
31
C. Kouamé
6.8
90
B. Garré
6.4
19
M. Alfarela
6.5
49
O. Boussaid
92
L. Rose
25
M. Gning
88
M. Kerkez
91
E. Karaj
22
M. Voriazidis
17
M. Frýdek
13
S. Dioudis
PAOK
4-2-3-1
1
J. Pavlenka
7.5
3
J. Kenny
7.6
4
A. Vogliacco
7.0
6
D. Lovren
6.9
21
A. R. Baba
7.1
20
C. Zafeiris
6.5
27
M. Ozdoev
6.5
77
K. Despodov
7.0
10
D. Pelkas
6.9
14
A. Živković
7.2
7
G. Giakoumakis
6.5
Substitutes
5
I. Michailidis
6.9
11
Taison
6.7
2
M. M. Camara
6.5
19
A. Jeremejeff
6.4
43
M. Balde
22
A. Bianco
41
D. Monastirlis
23
J. Sastre
99
A. Tsiftsis
16
T. Kędziora
32
G. Taylor
56
A. Mythou
Coach: Michalis Grigoriou
Coach: Razvan Lucescu
39%Possession61%
0.38Expected goals (xG)1.41
8Total shots13
2Shots on target4
0Big chances2
4Corners4
12Fouls10
4Yellow cards3