Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 32%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 93% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 75%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 43%
Timeline
⚽D. Chatsidis
14'
D. Batubinsika
34'
🔁A. Tsiftsis ◂ J. Pavlenka
46'
🔁G. Kakuta ◂ P. Sisto
59'
⚽Á. Sagal
62'
J. Atanasov
63'
🔁M. M. Camara ◂ M. Ozdoev
68'
🔁A. Jeremejeff ◂ D. Chatsidis
68'
Y. Maçon
74'
A. Anagnostopoulos
75'
🔁S. Mourgos ◂ Á. Sagal
82'
🔁J. Kenny ◂ J. Sánchez
87'
🔁F. Pérez ◂ Ľ. Tupta
89'
🔁K. Apostolakis ◂ Y. Maçon
89'
Form
AEL Novibet
WWWLD
PAOK
LWDDL
Match facts
Stadium
AEL FC Arena
City
Larissa
Referee
Stavros Tsimenteridis
Kickoff
22 Feb, 16:00 UTC
AEL Novibet
3-4-3
94
A. Anagnostopoulos
6.6
4
T. Iliadis
7.1
28
D. Batubinsika
6.7
14
E. Ferigra
7.1
27
Y. Maçon
6.3
31
J. Atanasov
7.2
15
G. Naor
6.8
20
D. K. Ólafsson
6.7
29
Ľ. Tupta
6.6
25
Á. Sagal
⚽1
7.6
77
P. Sisto
6.7
Substitutes
5
G. Kakuta
7.0
11
S. Mourgos
6.5
2
K. Apostolakis
6.5
8
F. Pérez
6.8
12
A. O. Kossonou
1
N. Melissas
23
L. Garate
18
Z. Chatzistravos
7
J. Ngoy
33
L. Rosić
19
G. Pasas
PAOK
4-2-3-1
1
J. Pavlenka
6.8
35
J. Sánchez
6.2
16
T. Kędziora
7.3
5
I. Michailidis
8.1
21
A. R. Baba
6.4
20
C. Zafeiris
6.9
27
M. Ozdoev
6.2
14
A. Živković
7.5
11
Taison
6.9
52
D. Chatsidis
⚽1
6.7
7
G. Giakoumakis
5.3
Substitutes
99
A. Tsiftsis
5.9
19
A. Jeremejeff
6.1
2
M. M. Camara
6.5
3
J. Kenny
6.6
39
D. Berdos
43
M. Balde
32
G. Taylor
22
A. Bianco
4
A. Vogliacco
25
K. Thymianis
56
A. Mythou
41
D. Monastirlis
Coach: Gianluca Festa
Coach: Razvan Lucescu
40%Possession60%
0.87Expected goals (xG)2.26
7Total shots10
2Shots on target1
1Big chances3
4Corners5
13Fouls12
5Yellow cards0