Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 19% · Pick: BTTS No
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 83% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 24%
Timeline
⚽D. Chatsidis
7'
T. Tzandaris
35'
🔁O. Alagbe ◂ T. Tzandaris
46'
🔁K. Pomonis ◂ I. Sylla
46'
🔁N. Gioacchini ◂ F. Macheda
63'
R. Ivanov
64'
🔁D. Emmanouilidis ◂ N. Kaltsas
72'
🔁L. Ivanušec ◂ D. Chatsidis
73'
🔁G. Konstantelias ◂ A. Bianco
73'
🔁M. Ozdoev ◂ M. M. Camara
77'
🔁J. Mendieta ◂ J. Bartolo
84'
🔁A. Mythou ◂ A. Jeremejeff
87'
🔁J. Sánchez ◂ J. Kenny
87'
⚽A. Živković
assist A. Mythou
assist A. Mythou
89'
Form
PAOK
DDLDL
Asteras Aktor
LLWLL
Match facts
Stadium
Toumba Stadium
City
Thessaloniki
Referee
Anastasios Papapetrou
Kickoff
01 Mar, 17:00 UTC
PAOK
4-2-3-1
99
A. Tsiftsis
6.7
3
J. Kenny
8.0
4
A. Vogliacco
8.2
5
I. Michailidis
8.4
32
G. Taylor
7.3
2
M. M. Camara
7.5
20
C. Zafeiris
7.0
14
A. Živković
⚽1
8.1
22
A. Bianco
5.7
52
D. Chatsidis
⚽1
7.4
19
A. Jeremejeff
6.6
Substitutes
18
L. Ivanušec
7.2
65
G. Konstantelias
7.1
27
M. Ozdoev
6.8
35
J. Sánchez
7.0
56
A. Mythou
6.8
41
D. Monastirlis
21
A. R. Baba
7
G. Giakoumakis
43
M. Balde
25
K. Thymianis
81
V. Nikolakoulis
23
J. Sastre
Asteras Aktor
4-4-2
61
V. Chatziemmanouil
6.8
64
P. Deligiannidis
6.1
13
K. Triantafyllopoulos
6.3
2
R. Ivanov
7.3
4
I. Sylla
6.4
20
N. Kaltsas
6.4
5
E. Yablonski
6.8
8
T. Tzandaris
6.5
75
S. Mitrović
6.4
41
F. Macheda
6.5
7
J. Bartolo
6.6
Substitutes
29
K. Pomonis
6.3
69
O. Alagbe
6.5
9
N. Gioacchini
6.2
11
D. Emmanouilidis
6.3
32
J. Mendieta
6.3
1
N. Papadopoulos
17
N. Alho
40
K. Ketu
49
G. Charalampoglou
16
P. Tsintotas
10
E. González
14
J. Chicco
Coach: Razvan Lucescu
Coach: Georgios Antonopoulos
64%Possession36%
2.28Expected goals (xG)0.1
22Total shots3
9Shots on target1
4Big chances0
6Corners1
11Fouls18
0Yellow cards2