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Fernando Diniz
Corinthians
Remo
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Remo
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
26'
⚽
Y. Alberto · assist A. Luiz1–0
40'
⚽
Kaio César · assist B. Bidon2–0
Half-time · 3–0
45'+2
⚽
Y. Alberto · assist Z. Labyad3–0
46'
🔁
Zé Ricardo ◂ V. Bueno
72'
🔁
G. Taliari ◂ A. Manga
72'
🔁
J. Lingard ◂ Z. Labyad
73'
🔁
A. Carrillo ◂ Kaio César
80'
🔁
F. Angileri ◂ M. Bidu
80'
🔁
M. Pereira ◂ A. Luiz
80'
🔁
M. Alexandre ◂ Y. Pikachu
80'
🔁
L. Picco ◂ Patrick
86'
🔁
Dieguinho ◂ B. Bidon
86'
Marllon · Argument
86'
G. Paulista · Argument
89'
🔁
Tico ◂ Jajá
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Fernando DinizLéo Condé 
Recent form
CorinthiansDACascavel1-1
WAGrêmio3-1
LHClub Atlético Platense0-2
WHAtlético Mineiro1-0
DAPeñarol1-1
RemoWHSão Paulo1-0
LHAthletico1-2
WAChapecoense3-2
WHBahia2-1
DHPalmeiras1-1
Where to watch
GloboplayPremiereSportv
Betclic
Betclic
FanatizPremiere
Match facts
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
City
Sao Paulo
Referee
Lucas Casagrande
Kickoff
23 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Remo
1
H. Souza
6.5
2
Matheuzinho
7.4
3
G. Paulista
7.3
13
G. Henrique
7.3
26
F. Angileri
6.9
↑ 80'
29
Allan
6.9
23
M. Pereira
6.9
↑ 80'
19
A. Carrillo
6.5
↑ 73'
61
Dieguinho
6.6
↑ 86'
77
J. Lingard
6.7
↑ 72'
9
Y. Alberto
8.6
88
M. Rangel
5.9
79
Marcelinho
6.1
13
Marllon
5.9
27
Z. Ivaldo
6.4
77
Mayk
5.8
2
M. Alexandre
6.6
↑ 80'
14
L. Picco
6.6
↑ 80'
28
Zé Welison
6.8
61
Tico
↑ 89'
55
Zé Ricardo
6.7
↑ 46'
19
G. Taliari
6.5
↑ 72'
Substitutes
51GKauê
21DM. Bidu↓ 80'7.2
5DA. Ramalho
20DP. Milans
4DJ. Pedro
7MB. Bidon↓ 86'7.9
52MZ. Labyad↓ 72'7.1
49MA. Luiz↓ 80'6.9
35MCharles
80MA. Santana
37FKaio César↓ 73'7.9
18FP. Raul
Coach: Fernando Diniz
Top stats
56%Possession44%
1.67Expected goals (xG)0.17
15Total shots3
7Shots on target0
3Big chances0
3Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box2
5Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
0.0Goals prevented-1.11
Attack
18Touches in box9
42Final third entries47
4Offsides2
9Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
516Passes398
454Accurate passes325
26/46 (57%)Long balls23/53 (43%)
4/15 (27%)Crosses1/16 (6%)
23Throw-ins16
Duels
55Duels45
29/58 (50%)Ground duels29/58 (50%)
13/18 (72%)Aerial duels5/18 (28%)
10/15 (67%)Dribbles4/7 (57%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
10Tackles14
80Tackles won50
7Interceptions7
24Clearances12
39Recoveries32
Discipline
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
7Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 83% · 1.94 @ betfair
Who winsCorinthians to win (DNB) 82% · 1.20 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.53 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.33 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 34% · 4.50 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.92 @ 1xBet
1X2Corinthians to win 51% · 1.55 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.34 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
1X2Remo to win 15% · 8.40 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.46
Corinthians ▼
4.16
Draw ▲
7.11
Remo ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.10
Corinthians or Draw
1.21
Corinthians or Remo ▼
2.59
Draw or Remo ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.07
Yes
1.69
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.47
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.93
Over 2.50 ▼
1.84
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.31
Over 3.50 ▼
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.40
Over 4.50 ▼
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.14
Corinthians
5.16
Remo ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.50
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.86
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50 ▲
9.00
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50 ▼
5.08
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50 ▼
3.26
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.50
Over 9.50 ▲
2.39
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.83
Over 10.50 ▲
1.87
Under 10.50 ▼
1.7 – 0.9Expected goals
1-0Most likely score
~11Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 83% | 86% | 1.07 | Overpriced | high |
| Corinthians to win (DNB)Who wins | 82% | 82% | 1.14 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 62% | 1.49 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 71% | 72% | 1.28 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 34% | 34% | 2.63 | Overpriced | low |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 55% | 55% | 1.69 | Overpriced | low |
| Corinthians to win1X2 | 51% | 51% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 72% | 72% | 1.3 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 73% | 72% | 1.29 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 49% | 1.87 | Fair | low |
| Remo to win1X2 | 15% | 15% | 5.99 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Over 2.5 goals — we say 48%, they say 14%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 69% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 43% | -26% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 20% | +8% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 48% | -3% | No |
| Home win | 51% | 48% | +3% | Yes |
| Draw | 34% | 27% | +7% | Yes |
| Away win | 15% | 25% | -10% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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