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Rogério Ceni
Bahia
Corinthians
Bahia
3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Corinthians
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
F. Angileri · assist A. Luiz0–1
16'
F. Angileri · Foul
19'
D. Duarte · Argument
28'
J. Guilherme · Foul
35'
Raniele · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
45'+4
⚽
D. Duarte · assist R. Nestor1–1
67'
B. Bidon · Foul
69'
🔁
P. Milans ◂ F. Angileri
69'
🔁
K. Furquim ◂ A. Véliz
69'
🔁
L. Juba ◂ J. Guilherme
69'
🔁
W. José ◂ Ademir
70'
🔁
Z. Labyad ◂ B. Bidon
77'
🔁
E. Ribeiro ◂ J. Lucas
77'
🔁
M. Pereira ◂ Raniele
77'
🔁
Allan ◂ A. Luiz
85'
🔁
A. Carrillo ◂ Y. Alberto
86'
🔁
M. Sanabria ◂ E. Pulga
Full-time · 1–1
90'+6
Allan · Foul
-5'
Kauê · Argument
-5'
R. Ceni · Argument
Coaches
Rogério CeniFernando Diniz 
Recent form
BahiaDAAtlético Mineiro1-1
WHChapecoense2-0
LAFluminense0-2
WHMontevideo City Torque4-1
WHBotafogo2-1
CorinthiansWHRemo3-0
DACascavel1-1
WAGrêmio3-1
LHClub Atlético Platense0-2
WHAtlético Mineiro1-0
Where to watch
GE TVGloboplayPremiereTV Globo
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
City
Salvador
Referee
Ramon Abatti Abel
Kickoff
26 Jul, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Bahia
3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Corinthians
1
Ronaldo
6.2
31
R. Gómez
7.3
33
D. Duarte
7.8
21
S. R. Mingo
6.3
5
N. Acevedo
6.7
46
L. Juba
6.5
↑ 69'
11
R. Nestor
6.7
10
E. Ribeiro
6.8
↑ 77'
57
K. Furquim
6.7
↑ 69'
12
W. José
6.4
↑ 69'
23
M. Sanabria
6.7
↑ 86'
1
H. Souza
6.4
2
Matheuzinho
6.5
3
G. Paulista
6.9
13
G. Henrique
7.5
20
P. Milans
6.9
↑ 69'
29
Allan
6.6
↑ 77'
23
M. Pereira
6.6
↑ 77'
37
Kaio César
6.8
8
R. Garro
6.8
52
Z. Labyad
6.3
↑ 70'
19
A. Carrillo
6.9
↑ 85'
Substitutes
17GG. Herrera
66DJ. Guilherme↓ 69'6.6
4DKanu
44DM. Victor
6MJ. Lucas↓ 77'6.5
77MR. Pablo
15MM. Araújo
63MD. Martins
16FE. Pulga↓ 86'6.9
7FAdemir↓ 69'6.7
9FA. Véliz↓ 69'6.3
27FEveraldo
Coach: Rogério Ceni
Substitutes
51GKauê
26DF. Angileri↓ 69'7.7
4DJ. Pedro
5DA. Ramalho
14MRaniele↓ 77'6.5
49MA. Luiz↓ 77'6.5
7MB. Bidon↓ 70'6.0
61MDieguinho
35MCharles
9FY. Alberto↓ 85'6.1
77FJ. Lingard
18FP. Raul
Coach: Fernando Diniz
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.65Expected goals (xG)0.17
12Total shots5
2Shots on target2
7Corners2
Shots
8Shots off target1
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box2
4Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
-0.89Goals prevented-0.17
Attack
18Touches in box7
49Final third entries39
2Offsides1
18Free kicks17
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
472Passes322
415Accurate passes259
20/51 (39%)Long balls15/37 (41%)
4/23 (17%)Crosses1/4 (25%)
20Throw-ins15
Duels
46Duels53
43/85 (51%)Ground duels41/83 (49%)
5/20 (25%)Aerial duels13/19 (68%)
11/26 (42%)Dribbles4/8 (50%)
6Dispossessed11
Defending
16Tackles20
50Tackles won55
6Interceptions4
14Clearances30
37Recoveries33
Discipline
17Fouls18
2Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
3Goal kicks12
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.52 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 29% · 3.40 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.73 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.27 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.91 @ Bet365
1X2Corinthians to win 32% · 3.48 @ 1xBet
Who winsBahia to win (DNB) 55% · 1.67 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.40 @ 1xBet
1X2Bahia to win 39% · 2.41 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.22
Bahia ▼
3.16
Draw ▲
3.14
Corinthians ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.35
Bahia or Draw ▼
1.34
Bahia or Corinthians ▲
1.54
Draw or Corinthians ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes ▲
1.90
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50 ▲
8.05
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50 ▼
3.15
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50 ▼
1.73
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.70
Over 3.50 ▼
1.27
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.60
Over 4.50 ▲
1.11
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.63
Bahia ▲
2.05
Corinthians ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
19.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50 ▼
10.33
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▼
5.78
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50 ▲
3.63
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50 ▼
2.57
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50 ▼
1.94
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50 ▼
1.58
Under 10.50 ▼
1.5 – 1.0Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.28
we give it 73 chances out of 100 at a fair price
73%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 64% | 64% | 1.44 | Overpriced | medium |
| Draw1X2 | 29% | 29% | 3.21 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 53% | 53% | 1.77 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 73% | 73% | 1.28 | Fair | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 53% | 53% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Corinthians to win1X2 | 32% | 32% | 2.95 | Overpriced | low |
| Bahia to win (DNB)Who wins | 55% | 55% | 1.68 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 71% | 71% | 1.31 | Overpriced | high |
| Bahia to win1X2 | 39% | 39% | 2.39 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 58% | 58% | 1.59 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Bahia to win (DNB) — we say 68%, they say 55%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 69% | +2% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 43% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 20% | +7% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 48% | +5% | Yes |
| Home win | 39% | 48% | -9% | No |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | +2% | Yes |
| Away win | 32% | 25% | +7% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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