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Artur Jorge
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Botafogo
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
26'
Warleson · Time wasting
35'
Huguinho · Foul
39'
🔁
Wanderson ◂ L. Sinisterra
41'
⚽
G. Justino · assist A. Telles0–1
Half-time · 0–1
45'+3
Fagner · Foul
45'+4
N. Ferraresi · Foul
56'
J. Jesus · Foul
60'
🔁
K. Arroyo ◂ Marquinhos
60'
🔁
J. Marcelo ◂ F. Bruno
69'
🔁
K. Toledo ◂ D. Santos
77'
🔁
K. Moraes ◂ G. Rojas
77'
🔁
W. Furtado ◂ Fagner
82'
🔁
K. Barría ◂ A. Cabral
82'
🔁
S. Rodríguez ◂ Á. Montoro
88'
A. Telles · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
90'
🔁
L. Villalba ◂ M. Martins
90'
🔁
Marçal ◂ A. Telles
90'+4
K. Barría · Foul
90'+7
K. Arroyo · Argument
90'+8
K. Jorge · Argument
Coaches
Artur JorgeFranclim Carvalho 
Recent form
CruzeiroWAInternacional2-1
LHGrêmio1-3
WHDefensor Sporting2-0
DHFluminense1-1
WHBarcelona SC Guayaquil4-0
BotafogoDHVitória0-0
WHSantos2-1
LABahia1-2
WACaracas F.C.3-1
DASão Paulo1-1
Where to watch
Globo Internacional
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Globo Internacional
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DAZNSportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Globo Internacional
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Premier Sports 2 HD
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Premier Sports 2 HD
Arena 4 Premium
Arena 4 Premium
Globo Internacional
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Canal 11
Globo Internacional
Arena 4 Premium
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Match facts
Stadium
Governador Magalhães Pinto
City
Belo Horizonte
Referee
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Kickoff
26 Jul, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Cruzeiro
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Botafogo
81
Otávio
7.5
12
W. Furtado
7.1
↑ 77'
43
J. Marcelo
6.7
↑ 60'
34
J. Jesus
7.0
2
K. Moraes
6.5
↑ 77'
99
K. Arroyo
6.7
↑ 60'
29
L. Romero
7.0
7
M. Henrique
7.4
94
Wanderson
7.2
↑ 39'
9
B. Rodrigues
6.9
19
K. Jorge
6.2
17
Warleson
8.9
2
Vitinho
8.1
34
G. Justino
8.4
5
N. Ferraresi
7.4
21
Marçal
↑ 90'
75
Huguinho
6.5
6
C. Medina
6.6
23
S. Rodríguez
6.7
↑ 82'
59
K. Toledo
6.4
↑ 69'
77
L. Villalba
↑ 90'
37
K. Barría
6.3
↑ 82'
Substitutes
51GV. Lamounier
15DF. Bruno↓ 60'6.8
27DG. Rojas↓ 77'6.6
23DFagner↓ 77'6.5
25DL. Villalba↑ 90'
11MMarquinhos↓ 60'6.6
16ML. Silva
57MR. Lelis
5MZé Lucas
38MF. Morais
17FL. Sinisterra↓ 39'6.9
40FRhuan
Coach: Artur Jorge
Substitutes
12GG. Batista
13DA. Telles↓ 90'6.9
4DM. Ponte
29DPaulinho
33DL. Monzón
10MÁ. Montoro↓ 82'7.8
8MD. Santos↓ 69'6.5
14MJ. Barrera
88MEdenilson
11FM. Martins↓ 90'6.9
19FA. Cabral↓ 82'6.3
79FL. Emanuel
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Top stats
61%Possession39%
1.52Expected goals (xG)0.4
15Total shots8
6Shots on target4
3Big chances1
9Corners1
Shots
3Shots off target2
6Blocked shots2
11Shots inside box5
4Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed1
0.26Goals prevented1.53
Attack
32Touches in box13
63Final third entries52
2Offsides0
18Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
448Passes285
378Accurate passes210
18/42 (43%)Long balls17/47 (36%)
4/22 (18%)Crosses2/7 (29%)
22Throw-ins22
Duels
49Duels51
37/76 (49%)Ground duels39/76 (51%)
8/15 (53%)Aerial duels7/15 (47%)
6/15 (40%)Dribbles10/19 (53%)
6Dispossessed4
Defending
13Tackles15
62Tackles won73
7Interceptions4
14Clearances26
55Recoveries52
Discipline
14Fouls18
2Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 51 bookmakers
Who winsCruzeiro to win (DNB) 70% · 1.35 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Cruzeiro to win 53% · 1.83 @ Betano
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.78 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.80 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.26 @ betfair
1X2Draw 25% · 4.00 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.45 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 888Sport
1X2Botafogo to win 22% · 4.90 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.74
Cruzeiro
3.73
Draw
4.31
Botafogo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Cruzeiro or Draw
1.24
Cruzeiro or Botafogo
1.97
Draw or Botafogo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.07
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▲
11.03
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
3.95
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.03
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.75
Over 3.50
1.39
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.30
Over 4.50 ▲
1.16
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.31
Cruzeiro
3.16
Botafogo
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
17.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
11.33
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
5.42
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50 ▼
3.76
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50 ▼
2.62
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50 ▼
2.00
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.15
Over 10.50 ▼
1.62
Under 10.50 ▲
1.4 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.39
we give it 68 chances out of 100 at a fair price
68%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro to win (DNB)Who wins | 70% | 70% | 1.33 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 53% | 53% | 1.73 | Overpriced | low |
| Cruzeiro to win1X2 | 53% | 53% | 1.77 | Fair | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 64% | 64% | 1.43 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 55% | 55% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 52% | 54% | 1.75 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 75% | 76% | 1.23 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.74 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 68% | 67% | 1.39 | Fair | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Botafogo to win1X2 | 22% | 22% | 4.32 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 3.5 goals — we say 76%, they say 67%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 69% | +6% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 43% | +9% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 20% | +12% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 48% | +7% | Yes |
| Home win | 53% | 48% | +5% | Yes |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | -2% | No |
| Away win | 22% | 25% | -3% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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