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Vagner Mancini
Red Bull Bragantino
Coritiba
Red Bull Bragantino
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Coritiba
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
L. Barbosa · Foul
29'
🔁
P. Henrique ◂ G. Marques
Half-time · 0–0
58'
V. Paulista · Foul
62'
🔁
V. G. Tissi ◂ V. Paulista
65'
🔁
I. Pitta ◂ L. Barbosa
65'
🔁
H. Mosquera ◂ J. Herrera
72'
🔁
J. Lavega ◂ L. Ronier
72'
🔁
Keno ◂ B. Lopes
83'
🔁
F. Jonatan ◂ Bruno Melo
83'
🔁
P. Roberto ◂ P. Rocha
84'
🔁
Vinicinho ◂ E. Sasha
84'
🔁
I. Sosa ◂ Fernando
86'
I. Sosa · Foul
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1
P. Roberto · Foul
-5'
G. Rodríguez · Argument
Coaches
Fernando Seabra 
Recent form
DAClub Sporting Cristal0-0
DAFluminense1-1
WAAthletico2-1
WHInternacional3-1
WHCarabobo FC2-0
LHPalmeiras1-3
LAFlamengo0-3
WHBahia3-2
WASantos3-0
LHSantos0-2
Where to watch
Premiere
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
City
Bragança Paulista
Referee
Felipe Fernandes de Lima
Kickoff
26 Jul, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
18
T. Volpi
7.6
34
J. A. Hurtado
7.1
4
A. Vinicius
6.8
14
P. Henrique
7.3
↑ 29'
29
J. Capixaba
7.4
20
Rodriguinho
6.7
7
E. Ramires
7.0
30
H. Mosquera
7.3
↑ 65'
9
I. Pitta
6.4
↑ 65'
15
I. Sosa
6.6
↑ 84'
17
Vinicinho
6.3
↑ 84'
22
P. Rangel
7.0
2
Tinga
6.8
55
J. Maranhão
7.5
23
T. Cóser
7.0
6
F. Jonatan
6.7
↑ 83'
50
V. G. Tissi
6.6
↑ 62'
21
T. Santos
6.7
18
P. Roberto
6.4
↑ 83'
10
Josué
7.0
7
J. Lavega
6.6
↑ 72'
20
Keno
6.6
↑ 72'
Top stats
56%Possession44%
0.9Expected goals (xG)0.29
20Total shots4
3Shots on target2
8Corners1
Shots
11Shots off target2
6Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box1
10Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork1
0.11Goals prevented0.5
Attack
17Touches in box3
48Final third entries60
0Offsides1
3Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
401Passes324
328Accurate passes248
42/72 (58%)Long balls19/63 (30%)
6/25 (24%)Crosses1/9 (0%)
20Throw-ins28
Duels
49Duels51
27/62 (44%)Ground duels34/61 (56%)
16/25 (64%)Aerial duels10/26 (38%)
10/14 (71%)Dribbles10/17 (59%)
4Dispossessed7
Defending
14Tackles8
79Tackles won63
5Interceptions15
20Clearances28
54Recoveries39
Discipline
17Fouls3
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
6Goal kicks13
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsRB Bragantino to win (DNB) 75% · 1.25 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ Unibet
1X2RB Bragantino to win 57% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.40 @ Betway
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.94 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 2.00 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 4.30 @ odibets
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.38 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Betway
1X2Coritiba to win 18% · 6.40 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.56
Red Bull Bragantino ▼
3.89
Draw ▲
5.73
Coritiba ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw ▼
1.22
Red Bull Bragantino or Coritiba ▼
2.25
Draw or Coritiba ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.90
Yes ▼
1.78
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50 ▲
9.86
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▼
3.44
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.87
Over 2.50 ▼
1.84
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.19
Over 3.50 ▼
1.30
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.05
Over 4.50 ▼
1.12
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.20
Red Bull Bragantino ▼
4.03
Coritiba ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.75
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50 ▼
9.60
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▲
6.15
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50 ▲
4.06
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50 ▲
2.83
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50 ▲
2.16
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.01
Over 10.50 ▼
1.72
Under 10.50 ▲
1.9 – 1.0Expected goals
1-0Most likely score
~10Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.29
we give it 73 chances out of 100 at a fair price
73%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino to win (DNB)Who wins | 75% | 75% | 1.24 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 58% | 58% | 1.59 | Overpriced | low |
| RB Bragantino to win1X2 | 57% | 57% | 1.65 | Fair | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 68% | 68% | 1.35 | Overpriced | medium |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 50% | 51% | 1.84 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.76 | Fair | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 71% | 72% | 1.3 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 73% | 72% | 1.29 | Fair | high |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 53% | 53% | 1.75 | Overpriced | low |
| Coritiba to win1X2 | 18% | 18% | 5.24 | Fair | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 10.5 corners — we say 59%, they say 53%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 69% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 43% | +7% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 20% | +9% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 48% | +1% | Yes |
| Home win | 57% | 48% | +9% | Yes |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | -2% | No |
| Away win | 18% | 25% | -7% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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