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Fernando Diniz
Corinthians
Athletico
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Athletico
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
44'
G. Benavídez · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
45'+1
Jádson · Argument
46'
🔁
Leonardo Derik ◂ Claudinho
46'
🔁
Y. Alberto ◂ Dieguinho
46'
🔁
Kaio César ◂ Z. Labyad
65'
🔁
Dudu ◂ Leozinho
65'
🔁
J. Cruz ◂ S. Mendoza
77'
🔁
B. Bidon ◂ M. Pereira
78'
🔁
R. Garro ◂ Y. Alberto
82'
🔁
J. Rivaldo ◂ K. Viveros
83'
🔁
A. Luiz ◂ A. Carrillo
86'
J. Portilla · Argument
86'
A. Ramalho · Argument
87'
Matheuzinho · Argument
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
R. Garro · Foul
90'+3
🔁
J. F. Aguirre ◂ C. Terán
90'+5
Santos · Time wasting
-5'
F. Diniz · Argument
Coaches
Fernando DinizOdair Hellmann 
Recent form
CorinthiansDABahia1-1
WHRemo3-0
DACascavel1-1
WAGrêmio3-1
LHClub Atlético Platense0-2
AthleticoWHInternacional2-0
WASão Paulo2-1
LHRed Bull Bragantino1-2
LABoca Juniors0-1
WHMirassol1-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 1
PremiereRecordYouTube - CazéTV
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
Arena Sport Premium 1
Canal 11
Arena Sport Premium 1
Match facts
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
City
Sao Paulo
Referee
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva
Kickoff
30 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Athletico
1
H. Souza
7.0
20
P. Milans
6.7
5
A. Ramalho
7.6
14
Raniele
8.0
2
Matheuzinho
7.6
49
A. Luiz
6.5
↑ 83'
29
Allan
7.0
37
Kaio César
6.5
↑ 46'
7
B. Bidon
6.4
↑ 77'
9
Y. Alberto
6.6
↑ 46'
77
J. Lingard
6.7
23
Santos
8.5
29
G. Benavídez
6.9
33
J. F. Aguirre
↑ 90'
4
A. Dias
6.8
12
Gilberto
6.8
16
Jádson
7.1
27
J. Portilla
7.0
6
Leonardo Derik
7.0
↑ 46'
53
Dudu
6.7
↑ 65'
8
J. Cruz
6.7
↑ 65'
19
J. Rivaldo
6.5
↑ 82'
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.35Expected goals (xG)0.68
7Total shots5
4Shots on target1
2Big chances1
6Corners2
Shots
2Shots off target4
1Blocked shots0
4Shots inside box3
3Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances missed1
0.1Goals prevented1.41
Attack
6Touches in box8
55Final third entries34
1Offsides2
15Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
429Passes404
375Accurate passes331
23/38 (61%)Long balls16/39 (41%)
2/14 (14%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
23Throw-ins24
Duels
49Duels51
31/67 (46%)Ground duels36/67 (54%)
8/12 (67%)Aerial duels5/14 (36%)
3/10 (30%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
14Tackles14
64Tackles won57
16Interceptions6
32Clearances16
34Recoveries39
Discipline
16Fouls15
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
0Big saves1
2Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 63% · 1.55 @ BTI Sports
BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.70 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 82% · 1.18 @ betfair
Who winsCorinthians to win (DNB) 69% · 1.42 @ betfair
1X2Draw 30% · 3.30 @ betfair
1X2Corinthians to win 48% · 2.04 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54%
1X2Athletico to win 22% · 4.70 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 62% · 1.60 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.94
Corinthians
3.12
Draw
4.31
Athletico
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Corinthians or Draw
1.34
Corinthians or Athletico
1.81
Draw or Athletico
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.24
Yes
1.59
No
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.51
Over 1.50
2.44
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.58
Over 2.50
1.47
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.10
Over 3.50
1.14
Under 3.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.36
Corinthians
2.96
Athletico
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.92
Over
1.82
E
Red Card in Matchconsensus
3.42
Yes
1.22
No
PENconsensus
1.34
NO
3.01
YES
PLAYERconsensus
181.75
ALEJANDRO-GARCIA ▲
1.25
ALEJANDRO-GARCIA-0-5 ▲
2.10
ALEJANDRO-GARCIA-1-5
5.45
ALEJANDRO-GARCIA-2-5 ▼
15.00
ALEJANDRO-GARCIA-3-5 ▲
15.00
ALEJANDRO-GARCIA-CASTILLO
24.33
ALEX-PAULO-MENEZES-SANTANA ▼
1.13
ALEX-PAULO-MENEZES-SANTANA-0-5 ▼
1.80
ALEX-PAULO-MENEZES-SANTANA-1-5 ▲
3.58
ALEX-PAULO-MENEZES-SANTANA-2-5 ▼
7.50
ALEX-PAULO-MENEZES-SANTANA-3-5 ▲
11.00
ALEX-SANTANA
5.70
ALLAN ▲
1.56
ALLAN-0-5 ▼
4.05
ALLAN-1-5 ▼
9.80
ALLAN-2-5 ▼
11.50
ALLAN-RODRIGUES-DE-SOUZA
4.38
ALLAN-RODRIGUES-DE-SOUZA-0-5
10.00
ALLAN-RODRIGUES-SOUZA ▲
1.50
ALLAN-RODRIGUES-SOUZA-0-5 ▲
3.10
ALLAN-RODRIGUES-SOUZA-1-5 ▼
4.00
ALLAN-RODRIGUES-SOUZA-2-5
21.00
ALLAN-RODRIGUES-SOUZA-3-5 ▲
3.21
ANDRADE-LIMA-KAIO-CESAR ▲
1.08
ANDRADE-LIMA-KAIO-CESAR-0-5
16.00
ANDRADE-LIMA-KAIO-CESAR-1-5
1.90
ANDRADE-LIMA-KAIO-CESAR-2-5 ▼
4.07
ANDRADE-LIMA-KAIO-CESAR-3-5 ▲
4.00
ANDRE ▼
1.17
ANDRE-0-5 ▼
1.63
ANDRE-1-5 ▼
2.98
ANDRE-2-5 ▼
9.00
ANDRE-3-5 ▲
3.15
ANDRE-CARRILLO ▲
1.50
ANDRE-CARRILLO-0-5 ▲
2.97
ANDRE-CARRILLO-1-5 ▼
8.00
ANDRE-CARRILLO-2-5
37.50
ANDRE-RAMALHO-SILVA ▲
4.77
ANDRE-RAMALHO-SILVA-0-5 ▼
126.00
ANTONIO-FELIPINHO
21.50
ANTONIO-FILIPINHO
1.10
ANTONIO-FILIPINHO-0-5
1.55
ANTONIO-FILIPINHO-1-5
3.50
ANTONIO-FILIPINHO-2-5 ▼
17.60
ARTHUR-DIAS
6.62
ARTHUR-DIAS-0-5
9.00
ARTHUR-DIAS-1-5
3.10
ARTHUR-MONTEIRO
175.50
B-MATHEUS ▲
2.90
BAHIA
3.04
BRENO-BIDON ▲
1.08
BRENO-BIDON-0-5 ▼
1.46
BRENO-BIDON-1-5 ▼
2.38
BRENO-BIDON-2-5 ▼
26.00
BRUNINHO
4.00
BRUNO-BRAGA-RAMOS ▲
1.22
BRUNO-BRAGA-RAMOS-0-5 ▼
2.04
BRUNO-BRAGA-RAMOS-1-5 ▼
4.18
BRUNO-BRAGA-RAMOS-2-5 ▼
14.30
BRUNO-BRAGA-RAMOS-3-5
183.67
BRUNO-ZAPELLI ▲
1.19
BRUNO-ZAPELLI-0-5 ▲
1.98
BRUNO-ZAPELLI-1-5 ▲
3.75
BRUNO-ZAPELLI-2-5 ▼
50.75
CAMARGO-KAUE ▲
29.00
CAMARGO-KAUE-0-5
4.52
CAMARGO-KAUE-3-5 ▲
9.78
CAMARGO-KAUE-4-5
81.00
CARLOS-EDUARDO
28.80
CARLOS-TERAN ▼
13.50
CARLOS-TERAN-0-5 ▲
5.50
CARLOS-TERAN-1-5
19.00
CARLOS-TERAN-2-5 ▼
35.00
CHARLES-RIGON-MATOS
21.67
CHIQUETI ▼
1.26
CHIQUETI-0-5 ▼
2.20
CHIQUETI-1-5 ▼
4.59
CHIQUETI-2-5 ▼
11.40
CHIQUETI-3-5
27.80
CHIQUETI-BANDEIRA ▼
5.05
CLAUDINHO ▲
1.13
CLAUDINHO-0-5 ▲
2.00
CLAUDINHO-1-5 ▼
3.90
CLAUDINHO-2-5 ▼
8.17
CLAUDINHO-3-5 ▼
1.07
CLAUDINHO-DE-JESUS-0-5
4.00
CLAUDINHO-DE-JESUS-3-5
208.67
CLAUDIO-HENRIQUE-DE-JESUS-PASSOS ▼
24.33
COELHO-VITINHO ▼
3.75
COELHO-VITINHO-0-5
20.00
COELHO-VITINHO-1-5
2.70
COELHO-VITINHO-2-5
5.22
COELHO-VITINHO-3-5
25.33
DANIEL-AGUILAR ▼
1.14
DANIEL-AGUILAR-0-5
1.67
DANIEL-AGUILAR-1-5
3.00
DANIEL-AGUILAR-2-5
6.50
DANIEL-AGUILAR-3-5
2.65
DANTAS-DE-OLIVEIRA ▼
6.25
DANTAS-DE-OLIVEIRA-0-5 ▲
5.87
DIEGO-DA-CRUZ-LOPES
2.70
DIEGO-DA-CRUZ-LOPES-0-5
8.08
DIEGUINHO
1.88
DIEGUINHO-0-5
2.85
DIEGUINHO-2-5
44.50
DIEGUINHO-LOPES
1.41
DIEGUINHO-LOPES-0-5 ▼
2.36
DIEGUINHO-LOPES-1-5
4.82
DIEGUINHO-LOPES-2-5
3.50
DIOGO-RIQUELME
15.47
DIOGO-RIQUELME-RIVAS-DO-NASCIMENTO ▼
1.18
DIOGO-RIQUELME-RIVAS-DO-NASCIMENTO-0-5
1.82
DIOGO-RIQUELME-RIVAS-DO-NASCIMENTO-1-5 ▼
3.58
DIOGO-RIQUELME-RIVAS-DO-NASCIMENTO-2-5 ▼
9.00
EDUARDO-KOGITZKI-ANASTACIO
1.50
EDUARDO-KOGITZKI-ANASTACIO-0-5 ▲
2.60
EDUARDO-KOGITZKI-ANASTACIO-1-5 ▼
6.00
EDUARDO-KOGITZKI-ANASTACIO-2-5 ▼
26.00
FABRIZIO-ANGILERI
3.90
FABRIZIO-ANGILERI-0-5 ▲
5.23
FARIAS-HUGO ▲
1.24
FARIAS-HUGO-0-5
5.38
FARIAS-HUGO-1-5 ▲
4.04
FARIAS-HUGO-2-5 ▼
65.67
FELIPE-LONGO ▲
7.65
FELIPINHO ▲
1.15
FELIPINHO-0-5 ▲
1.55
FELIPINHO-1-5 ▼
10.13
FELIPINHO-2-5 ▼
4.64
FONSECA-RENAN
3.40
GABRIEL-PAULISTA ▼
1.66
GABRIEL-PAULISTA-0-5 ▼
2.42
GABRIEL-PAULISTA-1-5 ▼
5.22
GABRIEL-PAULISTA-2-5 ▼
37.40
GASTON-BENAVIDEZ ▼
1.42
GASTON-BENAVIDEZ-0-5 ▼
3.25
GASTON-BENAVIDEZ-1-5 ▼
8.50
GASTON-BENAVIDEZ-2-5 ▼
5.75
GILBERTO ▼
1.07
GILBERTO-0-5
1.45
GILBERTO-1-5 ▲
2.39
GILBERTO-2-5 ▲
12.50
GILBERTO-MORAES ▲
1.36
GILBERTO-MORAES-0-5
6.62
GILBERTO-MORAES-1-5
5.00
GILBERTO-MORAES-JUNIOR-0-5
22.67
GUI-NEGAO ▲
1.07
GUI-NEGAO-0-5
1.30
GUI-NEGAO-1-5 ▲
1.93
GUI-NEGAO-2-5 ▼
3.32
GUI-NEGAO-3-5 ▲
35.00
GUILHERME-WILLIAM-SILVA-INACIO
1.09
GUILHERME-WILLIAM-SILVA-INACIO-0-5 ▲
1.56
GUILHERME-WILLIAM-SILVA-INACIO-1-5 ▼
2.53
GUILHERME-WILLIAM-SILVA-INACIO-2-5 ▼
4.16
GUILHERME-WILLIAM-SILVA-INACIO-3-5
30.67
GUIMARAES-KAYKE ▲
1.36
GUIMARAES-KAYKE-0-5
2.63
GUIMARAES-KAYKE-1-5
6.50
GUIMARAES-KAYKE-2-5
17.00
GUIMARAES-KAYKE-3-5
7.37
GUSTAVO-HENRIQUE ▲
2.12
GUSTAVO-HENRIQUE-0-5 ▼
6.50
GUSTAVO-HENRIQUE-1-5 ▼
3.93
GUSTAVO-HENRIQUE-2-5 ▼
13.12
GUSTAVO-HENRIQUE-3-5 ▲
26.00
GUSTAVO-HENRIQUE-VERNES
5.00
GUSTAVO-HENRIQUE-VERNES-0-5 ▲
3.00
HAYEN-PALACIOS
21.23
HAYEN-SANTIAGO-PALACIOS-SANCHEZ
25.00
IAGO-MACHADO ▲
24.00
ISAAC ▼
1.34
ISAAC-0-5
2.52
ISAAC-1-5 ▼
5.78
ISAAC-2-5 ▼
156.00
ISAAC-RODRIGUES-DE-LIMA ▼
1.24
ISAAC-RODRIGUES-DE-LIMA-0-5 ▲
19.00
ISAAC-RODRIGUES-DE-LIMA-1-5
29.00
JACARE ▼
1.44
JACARE-0-5 ▼
6.25
JACARE-1-5 ▲
25.00
JACARE-2-5 ▲
26.33
JADSON ▼
1.21
JADSON-0-5 ▼
5.17
JADSON-1-5 ▼
3.60
JADSON-2-5 ▼
2.63
JADSON-ALVES ▼
1.91
JADSON-ALVES-0-5 ▼
5.30
JADSON-ALVES-1-5 ▲
3.42
JESSE-LINGARD ▲
1.11
JESSE-LINGARD-0-5 ▼
26.25
JESSE-LINGARD-1-5 ▼
2.14
JESSE-LINGARD-2-5 ▼
4.84
JESSE-LINGARD-3-5 ▲
30.80
JOAO-CRUZ ▼
1.16
JOAO-CRUZ-0-5 ▲
29.00
JOAO-CRUZ-1-5
5.00
JOAO-CRUZ-2-5 ▼
183.67
JOAO-DANTAS ▲
1.21
JOAO-DANTAS-0-5 ▲
1.96
JOAO-DANTAS-1-5 ▲
2.54
JOAO-DANTAS-2-5 ▼
7.30
JOAO-PEDRO ▲
4.12
JOAO-PEDRO-0-5 ▲
7.53
JOAO-PEDRO-DE-SOUSA-RODRIGUES ▲
5.08
JOAO-PEDRO-DE-SOUSA-RODRIGUES-0-5
25.00
JOAO-VITOR
108.33
JORGE-LUIS-RIVALDO-PINTO ▼
1.06
JORGE-LUIS-RIVALDO-PINTO-0-5 ▼
1.37
JORGE-LUIS-RIVALDO-PINTO-1-5
2.14
JORGE-LUIS-RIVALDO-PINTO-2-5 ▲
3.82
JORGE-LUIS-RIVALDO-PINTO-3-5 ▲
7.67
JORGE-LUIS-RIVALDO-PINTO-4-5
4.56
JORGE-RIVALDO ▲
1.44
JORGE-RIVALDO-0-5
3.00
JORGE-RIVALDO-1-5 ▼
2.10
JORGE-RIVALDO-2-5 ▼
3.83
JORGE-RIVALDO-3-5
2.90
JUAN-AGUIRRE ▼
2.07
JUAN-AGUIRRE-0-5 ▼
2.64
JUAN-AGUIRRE-1-5 ▲
5.62
JUAN-AGUIRRE-2-5 ▼
11.00
JUAN-CAMILO-PORTILLA-OROZCO
16.00
JUAN-FELIPE-AGUIRRE-TABARES
183.83
JUAN-PORTILLA ▼
1.12
JUAN-PORTILLA-0-5 ▲
1.58
JUAN-PORTILLA-1-5 ▼
4.30
JUAN-PORTILLA-2-5 ▼
5.20
KAIO
40.50
KAUE-CAMARGO ▲
29.00
KAUE-CAMARGO-0-5
1.40
KAUE-CAMARGO-1-5
2.25
KAUE-CAMARGO-2-5
4.52
KAUE-CAMARGO-3-5 ▲
9.78
KAUE-CAMARGO-4-5
3.25
KAYKE-AYRTON
5.55
KAYKE-FERRARI-GUIMARAES
8.00
KEVIN-STIVEN-VIVEROS-RODALLEGA
31.00
KEVIN-VIVEROS ▼
1.11
KEVIN-VIVEROS-0-5 ▼
1.14
KEVIN-VIVEROS-1-5
9.01
KEVIN-VIVEROS-2-5
3.21
KEVIN-VIVEROS-3-5 ▼
3.70
KOGITZKI-DUDU ▼
1.28
KOGITZKI-DUDU-0-5 ▼
2.33
KOGITZKI-DUDU-1-5 ▼
5.10
KOGITZKI-DUDU-2-5
8.62
KOGITZKI-DUDU-3-5 ▼
32.00
LEITE-DOS-SANTOS-GILBERTO-JUNIOR ▲
1.74
LEITE-DOS-SANTOS-GILBERTO-JUNIOR-0-5 ▼
4.95
LEITE-DOS-SANTOS-GILBERTO-JUNIOR-1-5 ▼
14.77
LEITE-DOS-SANTOS-GILBERTO-JUNIOR-2-5 ▼
29.00
LEO ▼
1.25
LEO-0-5 ▼
9.27
LEO-1-5 ▼
212.50
LEO-PELE
13.00
LEONARDO-DERIK ▲
1.80
LEONARDO-DERIK-0-5 ▲
2.28
LEONARDO-DERIK-1-5 ▲
4.50
LEONARDO-DERIK-2-5 ▲
32.60
LEONARDO-PINHEIRO-DA-CONCEICAO
4.42
LEOZINHO ▲
1.25
LEOZINHO-0-5 ▲
2.24
LEOZINHO-1-5 ▲
2.50
LEOZINHO-2-5 ▼
5.10
LEOZINHO-3-5 ▼
35.67
LUCAS-ESQUIVEL ▲
23.33
LUCAS-ESQUIVEL-0-5 ▲
2.82
LUCAS-ESQUIVEL-1-5 ▼
7.00
LUCAS-ESQUIVEL-2-5 ▼
18.00
LUIZ-GUSTAVO ▲
1.20
LUIZ-GUSTAVO-0-5
1.91
LUIZ-GUSTAVO-1-5
3.75
LUIZ-GUSTAVO-2-5
9.00
LUIZ-GUSTAVO-3-5
3.15
LUIZ-GUSTAVO-DIAS ▲
1.38
LUIZ-GUSTAVO-DIAS-0-5
10.17
LUIZ-GUSTAVO-DIAS-1-5
3.80
LUIZ-GUSTAVO-DIAS-2-5
3.40
MATHEUS-BIDU ▼
1.12
MATHEUS-BIDU-0-5 ▲
2.30
MATHEUS-BIDU-1-5 ▼
2.75
MATHEUS-BIDU-2-5 ▼
15.00
MATHEUS-BIDU-3-5 ▲
62.33
MATHEUS-DONELLI ▲
28.00
MATHEUS-PEREIRA ▲
1.26
MATHEUS-PEREIRA-0-5
2.00
MATHEUS-PEREIRA-1-5 ▼
4.45
MATHEUS-PEREIRA-2-5 ▼
13.17
MATHEUS-PEREIRA-3-5 ▲
69.00
MATHEUS-SOARES ▲
25.00
MATHEUZINHO ▼
1.60
MATHEUZINHO-0-5 ▼
1.92
MATHEUZINHO-1-5 ▼
4.30
MATHEUZINHO-2-5 ▲
16.00
MATTOS-CHARLES ▼
1.48
MATTOS-CHARLES-0-5
2.90
MATTOS-CHARLES-1-5 ▲
7.75
MATTOS-CHARLES-2-5 ▲
31.00
MEMPHIS-DEPAY ▼
2.24
MEMPHIS-DEPAY-0-5 ▼
1.27
MEMPHIS-DEPAY-1-5
6.15
MEMPHIS-DEPAY-2-5 ▼
15.50
MEMPHIS-DEPAY-3-5
6.50
MEMPHIS-DEPAY-4-5
65.67
MYCAEL ▲
43.80
PEDRO-MILANS ▼
1.32
PEDRO-MILANS-0-5 ▲
2.30
PEDRO-MILANS-1-5
18.75
PEDRO-MILANS-2-5
14.67
PEDRO-RAUL ▼
1.20
PEDRO-RAUL-0-5 ▲
1.18
PEDRO-RAUL-1-5 ▲
1.60
PEDRO-RAUL-2-5 ▲
2.48
PEDRO-RAUL-3-5 ▲
5.60
RAMALHO ▲
1.36
RAMALHO-0-5 ▼
2.76
RAMALHO-1-5
15.20
RAMALHO-2-5 ▲
3.15
RANIELE ▲
1.09
RANIELE-0-5 ▲
1.52
RANIELE-1-5 ▲
2.58
RANIELE-2-5 ▲
2.90
RANIELE-ALMEIDA-MELO ▼
1.72
RANIELE-ALMEIDA-MELO-0-5 ▲
26.25
RENAN-PEIXOTO-NEPOMUCENO ▼
1.14
RENAN-PEIXOTO-NEPOMUCENO-0-5
5.32
RENAN-PEIXOTO-NEPOMUCENO-1-5 ▼
2.72
RENAN-PEIXOTO-NEPOMUCENO-2-5 ▼
25.33
RENAN-VIANA ▼
1.05
RENAN-VIANA-0-5
1.29
RENAN-VIANA-1-5
1.83
RENAN-VIANA-2-5
3.00
RENAN-VIANA-3-5
13.00
RENAN-VIANA-5-5
200.00
RENATO-SANTOS ▼
3.36
RODRIGO-GARRO ▲
1.04
RODRIGO-GARRO-0-5 ▼
4.49
RODRIGO-GARRO-1-5
6.08
RODRIGO-GARRO-2-5 ▼
39.50
STIVEN-MENDOZA ▼
1.19
STIVEN-MENDOZA-0-5
1.75
STIVEN-MENDOZA-1-5
6.95
STIVEN-MENDOZA-2-5 ▼
31.00
TCHOCA ▲
1.66
TCHOCA-0-5 ▼
2.26
TCHOCA-1-5 ▼
5.55
TCHOCA-2-5 ▼
451.00
VICTOR-FERRAZ
476.00
VICTOR-VINICIUS-TEODORO-FERRAZ ▲
4.23
YURI-ALBERTO ▲
1.14
YURI-ALBERTO-0-5 ▼
4.45
YURI-ALBERTO-1-5 ▼
5.26
YURI-ALBERTO-2-5
2.23
YURI-ALBERTO-3-5 ▲
32.00
ZAKARIA-LABYAD ▼
3.28
ZAKARIA-LABYAD-0-5 ▼
32.88
ZAKARIA-LABYAD-1-5 ▲
3.05
ZAKARIA-LABYAD-2-5 ▲
5.50
ZAKARIA-LABYAD-3-5
AOU 1.75consensus
6.48
OVER
1.09
UNDER
HOU 2.25consensus
4.82
OVER
1.15
UNDER
YC 6.50consensus
2.98
OVER
1.30
UNDER
1.2 – 1.0Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 63% | 64% | 1.47 | Overpriced | medium |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 58% | 58% | 1.59 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 82% | 82% | 1.14 | Overpriced | high |
| Corinthians to win (DNB)Who wins | 69% | 69% | 1.36 | Overpriced | medium |
| Draw1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.12 | Overpriced | low |
| Corinthians to win1X2 | 48% | 48% | 1.94 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 58% | — | — | — | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 65% | — | — | — | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 54% | — | — | — | low |
| Athletico to win1X2 | 22% | 22% | 4.31 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 62% | 62% | 1.51 | Fair | medium |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Athletico to win (DNB) — we say 42%, they say 31%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 69% | -7% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 43% | -6% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 20% | -2% | No |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 48% | -6% | No |
| Home win | 48% | 48% | 0% | No |
| Draw | 30% | 27% | +3% | Yes |
| Away win | 22% | 25% | -3% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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