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Fernando Seabra
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cruzeiro
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'
T. Santos · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
54'
🔁
V. G. Tissi ◂ T. Santos
60'
🔁
K. Kenji ◂ F. Morais
65'
🔁
R. Rodrigues ◂ P. Rocha
65'
🔁
F. Jonatan ◂ Bruno Melo
66'
⚽
M. Pereira · assist Gerson0–1
69'
🔁
M. Henrique ◂ Gerson
70'
🔁
Marquinhos ◂ K. Arroyo
79'
🔁
Keno ◂ B. Lopes
79'
🔁
B. Ocampo ◂ S. Gomez
85'
🔁
B. Rodrigues ◂ K. Jorge
86'
🔁
L. Villalba ◂ G. Rojas
Full-time · 0–1
90'+2
M. Henrique · Foul
Coaches
Fernando SeabraArtur Jorge 
Recent form
CoritibaDARed Bull Bragantino0-0
LHPalmeiras1-3
LAFlamengo0-3
WHBahia3-2
WASantos3-0
CruzeiroLHBotafogo0-1
WAInternacional2-1
LHGrêmio1-3
WHDefensor Sporting2-0
DHFluminense1-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 1
GloboplayPremiereSportv
Arena Sport Premium 1
Arena Sport Premium 1
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
City
Curitiba
Referee
Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
Kickoff
31 Jul, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Coritiba
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cruzeiro
1
Pedro Morisco
7.5
2
Tinga
7.5
55
J. Maranhão
6.8
23
T. Cóser
6.7
6
F. Jonatan
6.4
↑ 65'
50
V. G. Tissi
6.7
↑ 54'
17
B. Ocampo
6.5
↑ 79'
11
L. Ronier
7.7
10
Josué
7.1
20
Keno
6.7
↑ 79'
99
R. Rodrigues
6.5
↑ 65'
81
Otávio
7.5
12
W. Furtado
7.4
15
F. Bruno
7.2
34
J. Jesus
7.7
25
L. Villalba
6.7
↑ 86'
29
L. Romero
7.6
7
M. Henrique
6.9
↑ 69'
11
Marquinhos
6.4
↑ 70'
10
M. Pereira
8.5
70
K. Kenji
6.4
↑ 60'
9
B. Rodrigues
6.8
↑ 85'
Top stats
50%Possession50%
0.97Expected goals (xG)2.32
19Total shots20
2Shots on target4
0Big chances3
4Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target8
8Blocked shots8
7Shots inside box11
12Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed2
0.83Goals prevented0.71
Attack
22Touches in box23
74Final third entries66
1Offsides0
18Free kicks13
0Fouled in final third2
Passing
409Passes419
336Accurate passes347
23/54 (43%)Long balls39/67 (58%)
6/25 (24%)Crosses3/25 (12%)
20Throw-ins18
Duels
50Duels49
29/63 (46%)Ground duels34/63 (54%)
17/29 (59%)Aerial duels11/29 (38%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles7/8 (88%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
7Tackles14
57Tackles won71
6Interceptions5
41Clearances30
39Recoveries44
Discipline
13Fouls18
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 43 bookmakers
Who winsCruzeiro to win (DNB) 58% · 1.62 @ Betsson
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.40 @ Interwetten
1X2Cruzeiro to win 40% · 2.35 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.65 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.24 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 30% · 3.20 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.91 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.46 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.74 @ Novibet
1X2Coritiba to win 30% · 3.47 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.07
Coritiba ▼
2.95
Draw ▼
2.30
Cruzeiro ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.60
Coritiba or Draw ▼
1.34
Coritiba or Cruzeiro ▼
1.31
Draw or Cruzeiro ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.92
Yes ▲
1.81
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.08
Over 0.50 ▲
7.47
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.43
Over 1.50 ▲
2.80
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.33
Over 2.50 ▲
1.60
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.25
Over 3.50 ▲
1.22
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.57
Over 4.50 ▲
1.06
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
2.12
Coritiba ▼
1.60
Cruzeiro ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
6.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50 ▲
4.21
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50 ▲
2.81
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50 ▼
2.11
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.03
Over 10.50 ▲
1.70
Under 10.50 ▼
1.1 – 1.3Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro to win (DNB)Who wins | 58% | 58% | 1.6 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 56% | 56% | 1.64 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 67% | 67% | 1.37 | Overpriced | medium |
| Cruzeiro to win1X2 | 40% | 40% | 2.31 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 58% | 58% | 1.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 77% | 77% | 1.21 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.1 | Overpriced | low |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.81 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 67% | 67% | 1.4 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Coritiba to win1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.06 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 10.5 corners — we say 63%, they say 54%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 69% | -2% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 43% | -1% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 20% | +3% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 48% | +1% | Yes |
| Home win | 30% | 48% | -18% | No |
| Draw | 30% | 27% | +3% | Yes |
| Away win | 40% | 25% | +15% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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