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Paulo Pezzolano
Internacional
Flamengo
Internacional
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Flamengo
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
27'
⚽
Vitinho1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
E. Pulgar ◂ E. Araujo
46'
🔁
Danilo ◂ L. Pereira
63'
🔁
B. Henrique ◂ J. Carrascal
64'
Vitão · Foul
64'
🔁
E. Royal ◂ A. Sandro
68'
🔁
J. Juninho ◂ G. Maripán
68'
🔁
P. Paula ◂ B. Henrique
79'
⚽
S. Lino · assist B. Henrique1–1
81'
🔁
Calebe ◂ A. Patrick
84'
🔁
F. Torres ◂ R. Villagra
84'
🔁
Alerrandro ◂ J. Carbonero
84'
🔁
N. De la Cruz ◂ Jorginho
Full-time · 1–1
90'+4
E. Pulgar · Foul
90'+5
G. Mercado · Argument
90'+7
N. De la Cruz · Foul
Coaches
Leonardo Jardim 
Recent form
LAAthletico0-2
LHCruzeiro1-2
LARed Bull Bragantino1-3
LAVitória0-2
WHVasco da Gama4-1
DHSão Paulo1-1
WAChapecoense4-0
WHOlimpia4-2
WABenfica2-1
WAFC Lausanne-Sport2-0
Where to watch
Prime Video
Arena Sport Premium 2
Prime Video
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Canal 11
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Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Beira-Rio
City
Porto Alegre
Referee
Matheus Delgado Candançan
Kickoff
29 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
23
M. Cunha
7.7
15
B. Gomes
7.7
25
G. Mercado
6.8
18
J. Juninho
6.3
↑ 68'
28
Vitinho
7.9
4
F. Torres
6.9
↑ 84'
27
P. Paula
6.5
↑ 68'
6
M. Bahia
7.1
9
Alerrandro
6.5
↑ 84'
26
A. Bernabei
7.1
30
Calebe
6.6
↑ 81'
1
A. Rossi
7.1
2
G. Varela
6.3
44
Vitão
7.0
13
Danilo
7.4
↑ 46'
22
E. Royal
6.5
↑ 64'
5
E. Pulgar
7.0
↑ 46'
18
N. De la Cruz
6.6
↑ 84'
27
B. Henrique
6.8
↑ 63'
10
G. de Arrascaeta
6.8
16
S. Lino
6.9
9
Pedro
6.8
Substitutes
12GAnthoni
3DG. Maripán↓ 68'7.7
46DP. Kauã
53DL. Felipe
5MR. Villagra↓ 84'7.1
10MA. Patrick↓ 81'6.9
31MAllex
14MÁ. Rodríguez
52MG. V. O. d. Silva
8FB. Henrique↓ 68'6.8
7FJ. Carbonero↓ 84'6.3
49FJ. P. B. d. O. Lo
Coach: Paulo Pezzolano
Substitutes
42GAndrew
4DL. Pereira↓ 46'6.7
26DA. Sandro↓ 64'6.2
6DA. Lucas
3DL. Ortiz
15MJ. Carrascal↓ 63'6.8
52ME. Araujo↓ 46'6.4
21MJorginho↓ 84'6.4
8MS. Ñíguez
11MEverton
99MLorran
64FWallace
Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Top stats
27%Possession73%
1.38Expected goals (xG)1.45
16Total shots14
5Shots on target5
2Big chances2
2Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target4
4Blocked shots5
12Shots inside box10
4Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
0.94Goals prevented-0.09
Attack
19Touches in box21
41Final third entries101
2Offsides0
14Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
259Passes705
198Accurate passes645
14/45 (31%)Long balls31/42 (74%)
4/13 (31%)Crosses7/31 (23%)
19Throw-ins18
Duels
61Duels39
43/64 (67%)Ground duels21/64 (33%)
9/21 (43%)Aerial duels12/21 (57%)
3/6 (50%)Dribbles3/14 (21%)
5Dispossessed15
Defending
26Tackles8
54Tackles won63
12Interceptions7
32Clearances13
38Recoveries40
Discipline
11Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
Who winsFlamengo to win (DNB) 65% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
1X2Flamengo to win 48% · 2.15 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.45 @ Betway
1X2Draw 27% · 3.70 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.95 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.84 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
1X2Internacional to win 25% · 4.00 @ kto
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.75
Internacional ▼
3.43
Draw ▲
1.96
Flamengo ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.79
Internacional or Draw ▲
1.29
Internacional or Flamengo ▼
1.25
Draw or Flamengo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.97
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50 ▲
9.27
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.39
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.93
Over 2.50
1.83
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.31
Over 3.50 ▲
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50 ▲
1.11
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
2.68
Internacional ▼
1.42
Flamengo ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
19.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▲
5.86
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50 ▲
3.68
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50 ▲
2.57
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.72
Over 9.50 ▼
1.98
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.16
Over 10.50 ▲
1.60
Under 10.50 ▼
1.3 – 1.4Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo to win (DNB)Who wins | 65% | 65% | 1.42 | Overpriced | medium |
| Flamengo to win1X2 | 48% | 48% | 1.96 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.72 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 64% | 64% | 1.43 | Overpriced | medium |
| Draw1X2 | 27% | 27% | 3.43 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 51% | 51% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 53% | 53% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 72% | 72% | 1.3 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 73% | 72% | 1.29 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Internacional to win1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.75 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Internacional to win (DNB) — we say 43%, they say 35%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 69% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 43% | +6% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 20% | +8% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 48% | +5% | Yes |
| Home win | 25% | 48% | -23% | No |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 0% | No |
| Away win | 48% | 25% | +23% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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