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Rogério Ceni
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
Bahia
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Vasco da Gama
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
475226 EUR · live
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
65.0%
+64.0 vs price
Away
48.0 · implied 2.1%
18.3%
+16.3 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
17.9%
-79.2 vs price
Half time
2572 EUR · live
Draw
1.2 · implied 83.3%
46.5%
-36.9 vs price
Home
16.0 · implied 6.2%
27.3%
+21.0 vs price
Away
26.0 · implied 3.8%
26.2%
+22.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
78131 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.9%
-12.1 vs price
Over
110.0 · implied 0.9%
13.1%
+12.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5889 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.5%
-8.5 vs price
Over
110.0 · implied 0.9%
9.5%
+8.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
VAR
Goal not given after review · David
31'
Cuiabano · Foul
36'
T. Mendes · Argument
43'
🔁
K. Furquim ◂ Ademir
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
J. Guilherme ◂ L. Juba
46'
🔁
A. Saldivia ◂ C. Cuesta
46'
🔁
M. Hinestroza ◂ Brenner
64'
🔁
M. Araújo ◂ W. José
64'
🔁
C. Alexandre ◂ J. Lucas
72'
🔁
C. Spinelli ◂ Adson
74'
🔁
R. Rique ◂ David
76'
Ademir · Argument
86'
🔁
M. Sanabria ◂ R. Nestor
86'
🔁
C. Barros ◂ Jair
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Rogério CeniPedro Emanuel 
Recent form
BahiaDAFluminense0-0
DHCorinthians1-1
DAAtlético Mineiro1-1
WHChapecoense2-0
LAFluminense0-2
Vasco da GamaWAFluminense3-1
DHFluminense0-0
WHIndependiente Medellín1-0
DHMirassol1-1
DAIndependiente Medellín2-2
Where to watch
PremiereTV Globo
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
City
Salvador
Kickoff
09 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Bahia
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Vasco da Gama
1
Ronaldo
7.0
31
R. Gómez
7.7
33
D. Duarte
7.7
21
S. R. Mingo
7.3
66
J. Guilherme
6.5
↑ 46'
57
K. Furquim
6.5
↑ 43'
5
N. Acevedo
6.9
15
M. Araújo
6.6
↑ 64'
23
M. Sanabria
6.6
↑ 86'
8
C. Alexandre
6.8
↑ 64'
9
A. Véliz
6.6
1
L. Jardim
6.9
96
P. Henrique
7.1
4
A. Saldivia
7.1
↑ 46'
30
R. Renan
8.0
66
Cuiabano
7.8
3
Tchê Tchê
7.0
88
C. Barros
6.9
↑ 86'
77
C. Spinelli
6.4
↑ 72'
23
T. Mendes
6.6
83
R. Rique
6.5
↑ 74'
18
M. Hinestroza
6.8
↑ 46'
Substitutes
17GG. Herrera
46DL. Juba↓ 46'6.7
4DKanu
3DM. Moreno
44DM. Victor
11MR. Nestor↓ 86'7.1
6MJ. Lucas↓ 64'6.7
63MD. Martins
12FW. José↓ 64'6.8
7FAdemir↓ 43'6.4
99FC. Olivera
27FEveraldo
Coach: Rogério Ceni
Substitutes
13GD. Fuzato
37GPablo
46DC. Cuesta↓ 46'7.0
6DL. Piton
64DWalace
43DL. Freitas
2DP. Rodríguez
8MJair↓ 86'7.3
10MJ. Rojas
28FAdson↓ 72'7.1
20FBrenner↓ 46'6.5
7FDavid↓ 74'6.3
Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.68Expected goals (xG)0.64
11Total shots14
2Shots on target3
4Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target4
5Blocked shots7
8Shots inside box10
3Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0.12Goals prevented0.24
Attack
19Touches in box28
37Final third entries63
3Offsides4
10Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
396Passes363
322Accurate passes300
25/53 (47%)Long balls18/33 (55%)
4/17 (24%)Crosses6/23 (26%)
20Throw-ins27
Duels
49Duels51
33/74 (45%)Ground duels41/74 (55%)
17/28 (61%)Aerial duels11/28 (39%)
7/19 (37%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)
12Dispossessed10
Defending
16Tackles24
69Tackles won42
20Interceptions9
28Clearances20
47Recoveries39
Discipline
13Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
7Goal kicks8
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 38 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.43 @ Betway
Who winsBahia to win (DNB) 64% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 27% · 3.60 @ Bwin
1X2Bahia to win 47% · 2.11 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.35 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
1X2Vasco to win 26% · 3.74 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.75 @ Interwetten
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.02
Bahia
3.41
Draw ▼
3.61
Vasco da Gama ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
Bahia or Draw
1.28
Bahia or Vasco da Gama
1.77
Draw or Vasco da Gama ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes ▼
2.02
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.56
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.48
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.98
Over 2.50 ▲
1.85
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.38
Over 3.50 ▲
1.32
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50 ▲
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Bahia ▼
2.57
Vasco da Gama ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
23.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
12.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.83
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
4.07
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.80
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50
2.11
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.04
Over 10.50 ▲
1.68
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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