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Franclim Carvalho
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fluminense
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
507237 EUR · live
Home
330.0 · implied 0.3%
60.7%
+60.4 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
19.7%
-78.4 vs price
Away
65.0 · implied 1.5%
19.6%
+18.1 vs price
Half time
3903 EUR · live
Draw
1.76 · implied 56.8%
46.1%
-10.7 vs price
Away
5.8 · implied 17.2%
45.4%
+28.1 vs price
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
8.6%
-15.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
222460 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
78.7%
-17.4 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
21.3%
+19.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2029 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
81.7%
-16.3 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
18.2%
+15.7 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
34'
L. Zubeldia · Argument
44'
⚽
A. Telles1–0
Half-time · 1–0
54'
Ignácio · Foul
58'
⚽
Ignácio · assist K. Serna1–1
59'
🔁
J. Barrera ◂ K. Toledo
60'
🔁
M. Martins ◂ L. Villalba
68'
N. Ferraresi · Argument
70'
🔁
Paulinho ◂ A. Telles
70'
🔁
Hércules ◂ Ganso
70'
🔁
A. Canobbio ◂ K. Serna
76'
Nonato · Foul
77'
S. Xavier · Argument
79'
🔁
L. Acosta ◂ Y. Soteldo
79'
🔁
J. Savarino ◂ Nonato
85'
🔁
L. Emanuel ◂ J. Barrera
85'
🔁
Danilo ◂ Á. Montoro
85'
🔁
Hulk ◂ R. Castillo
Full-time · 1–1
90'
Marçal · Argument
90'
Marçal · Argument
90'+2
G. Justino · Argument
Coaches
Franclim CarvalhoLuis Zubeldia 
Recent form
BotafogoWACruzeiro1-0
DHVitória0-0
WHSantos2-1
LABahia1-2
WACaracas F.C.3-1
FluminenseLHVasco da Gama1-3
DAVasco da Gama0-0
DHBahia0-0
DAGrêmio1-1
DHRed Bull Bragantino1-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 1
Sporty TV
GloboplayPremiereSportvSportv 4K
Sporty TV
Win Sports
Arena Sport Premium 1
Canal 11
Arena Sport Premium 1
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
City
Rio de Janeiro
Kickoff
09 Aug, 00:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Botafogo
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fluminense
17
Warleson
6.8
2
Vitinho
6.6
34
G. Justino
6.6
5
N. Ferraresi
7.0
29
Paulinho
7.1
↑ 70'
6
C. Medina
6.4
8
D. Santos
7.3
14
J. Barrera
6.4
↑ 59'
9
Danilo
6.5
↑ 85'
11
M. Martins
6.8
↑ 59'
19
A. Cabral
6.2
1
Fábio
7.2
2
S. Xavier
7.1
4
Ignácio
8.7
44
Jemmes
7.1
6
Renê
7.3
94
Otávio
6.9
32
L. Acosta
6.5
↑ 79'
11
J. Savarino
6.5
↑ 79'
35
Hércules
6.7
↑ 70'
17
A. Canobbio
6.8
↑ 70'
7
Hulk
6.7
↑ 85'
Substitutes
12GG. Batista
13DA. Telles↓ 70'7.5
33DL. Monzón
4DM. Ponte
21DMarçal
10MÁ. Montoro↓ 85'8.4
59MK. Toledo↓ 59'6.8
77ML. Villalba↓ 59'6.3
88MEdenilson
91MD. Andrade
79FL. Emanuel↑ 85'6.3
37FK. Barría
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Top stats
41%Possession59%
1.39Expected goals (xG)1.0
22Total shots14
7Shots on target4
2Big chances2
7Corners7
Shots
8Shots off target5
7Blocked shots5
11Shots inside box11
11Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
-0.25Goals prevented-0.16
Attack
25Touches in box30
44Final third entries49
0Offsides1
18Free kicks16
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
329Passes474
279Accurate passes408
12/28 (43%)Long balls12/36 (33%)
6/20 (30%)Crosses9/24 (38%)
20Throw-ins16
Duels
44Duels56
41/90 (46%)Ground duels49/90 (54%)
11/29 (38%)Aerial duels18/29 (62%)
11/25 (44%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)
13Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles27
58Tackles won59
7Interceptions5
31Clearances33
49Recoveries43
Discipline
16Fouls18
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks10
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.53 @ Betway
1X2Draw 30% · 3.20 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.78 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.30 @ Betano
Who winsBotafogo to win (DNB) 59% · 1.65 @ 888Sport
1X2Fluminense to win 28% · 3.44 @ Pinnacle
1X2Botafogo to win 42% · 2.33 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.37 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.28
Botafogo ▲
3.13
Draw
3.26
Fluminense ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Botafogo or Draw ▲
1.32
Botafogo or Fluminense
1.61
Draw or Fluminense ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.78
Yes
1.95
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.35
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.18
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.09
Over 2.50 ▲
1.73
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.63
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.75
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.60
Botafogo ▲
2.24
Fluminense ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
17.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.28
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.41
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50 ▲
2.41
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.84
Over 9.50
1.87
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.35
Over 10.50
1.52
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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