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Odair Hellmann
Athletico
Red Bull Bragantino
Athletico
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Red Bull Bragantino
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
863337 EUR · live
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
61.7%
+58.4 vs price
Away
29.0 · implied 3.4%
25.7%
+22.2 vs price
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
12.6%
-80.9 vs price
Half time
11942 EUR · live
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
53.4%
-44.6 vs price
Home
800.0 · implied 0.1%
25.3%
+25.2 vs price
Away
15.5 · implied 6.5%
21.3%
+14.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
239896 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
89.1%
-5.3 vs price
Over
15.5 · implied 6.5%
10.9%
+4.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
692 EUR
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
87.0%
-4.7 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
12.9%
+3.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
61'
🔁
K. C. Vargas ◂ Leozinho
67'
⚽
P. Henrique · assist A. Sant Anna0–1
75'
⚽
K. C. Vargas · assist K. Viveros1–1
76'
🔁
Fabinho ◂ G. Girotto
76'
🔁
E. Ramires ◂ M. Fernandes
76'
🔁
E. Sasha ◂ J. Herrera
77'
🔁
Dudu ◂ J. Cruz
78'
E. Sasha · Argument
88'
🔁
Y. A. d. Aquino ◂ Vinicinho
Full-time · 1–1
90'
🔁
Bruno Zapelli ◂ Dudu
90'+1
🔁
J. Rivaldo ◂ Gilberto
Coaches
Odair HellmannVagner Mancini 
Recent form
AthleticoWASantos2-0
LAVitória0-4
WHVitória2-0
DACorinthians0-0
WHInternacional2-0
Red Bull BragantinoLHAtlético Mineiro0-1
LHCorinthians0-2
WHClub Sporting Cristal1-0
DHCoritiba0-0
DAClub Sporting Cristal0-0
Where to watch
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Match facts
Stadium
Arena da Baixada
City
Curitiba
Kickoff
15 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Athletico
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Red Bull Bragantino
23
Santos
7.8
29
G. Benavídez
7.5
33
J. F. Aguirre
6.6
4
A. Dias
7.0
10
Bruno Zapelli
↑ 90'
16
Jádson
7.3
14
L. Gustavo
7.0
7
S. Mendoza
7.0
18
K. C. Vargas
7.8
↑ 61'
53
Dudu
6.6
↑ 77'
9
K. Viveros
6.8
18
T. Volpi
8.9
23
A. Sant Anna
8.0
14
P. Henrique
8.6
16
G. Marques
7.1
29
J. Capixaba
6.8
7
E. Ramires
6.7
↑ 76'
5
Fabinho
6.6
↑ 76'
8
E. Sasha
6.4
↑ 76'
21
L. Barbosa
7.6
41
Y. A. d. Aquino
6.6
↑ 88'
9
I. Pitta
6.9
Substitutes
1GMycael
12DGilberto↓ 90'7.2
25DDantas
2DG. Junior
3DLéo
8MJ. Cruz↓ 77'6.3
5MFelipinho
47MF. Chiqueti
27MJ. Portilla
21FLeozinho↓ 61'6.5
19FJ. Rivaldo↑ 90'
70FR. P. Nepomuceno
Coach: Odair Hellmann
Top stats
50%Possession50%
2.63Expected goals (xG)1.25
20Total shots16
7Shots on target5
7Big chances3
8Corners5
Shots
11Shots off target9
2Blocked shots2
17Shots inside box11
3Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
6Big chances missed2
1.13Goals prevented1.31
Attack
36Touches in box18
71Final third entries45
2Offsides0
8Free kicks7
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
459Passes460
398Accurate passes383
27/53 (51%)Long balls36/69 (52%)
8/28 (29%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
26Throw-ins24
Duels
42Duels58
28/57 (49%)Ground duels29/57 (51%)
8/28 (29%)Aerial duels20/28 (71%)
9/19 (47%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
12Tackles16
58Tackles won63
14Interceptions11
32Clearances39
48Recoveries45
Discipline
7Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves6
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
Who winsAthletico to win (DNB) 67% · 1.53 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.73 @ betonline
1X2Draw 29% · 2.44 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.03 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60%
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.91 @ betinasia
1X2Athletico to win 48% · 2.51 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.44 @ betfair
1X2RB Bragantino to win 23% · 4.20 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.01
Athletico
3.17
Draw
3.87
Red Bull Bragantino
Double Chanceconsensus
1.23
Athletico or Draw
1.33
Athletico or Red Bull Bragantino ▲
1.76
Draw or Red Bull Bragantino
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.92
Yes
1.80
No
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.88
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.17
Over 2.50
1.63
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.98
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.41
Athletico
2.70
Red Bull Bragantino
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
4.98
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
5.56
Over 13.50
1.10
Under 13.50
Total Corners (O/U) 14.50consensus
8.76
Over 14.50
1.04
Under 14.50
European Handicap 2.00consensus
1.06
Athletico +2
12.65
Draw +2
18.75
Red Bull Bragantino -2
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.90
Over
1.80
E
Total Cards 7.50consensus
3.30
Over 7.50
1.24
Under 7.50
Total Yellow Cards 5.50consensus
2.24
OVER
1.54
UNDER
Red Card in Matchconsensus
3.38
Yes
1.16
No
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.60
Athletico ▼
2.03
Draw
4.31
Red Bull Bragantino
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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