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Fernando Diniz
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Cruzeiro
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
595386 EUR · live
Home
3.55 · implied 28.2%
65.3%
+37.1 vs price
Away
5.5 · implied 18.2%
27.0%
+8.8 vs price
Draw
1.87 · implied 53.5%
7.7%
-45.7 vs price
Half time
10595 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
66.7%
-32.3 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
21.7%
+18.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.6%
+11.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
151600 EUR · live
Under
2.22 · implied 45.0%
80.2%
+35.1 vs price
Over
1.82 · implied 54.9%
19.8%
-35.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
20650 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.9%
-2.1 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
3.1%
+0.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
36'
⚽
B. Rodrigues0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
J. Lingard ◂ B. Bidon
51'
F. Morais · Foul
54'
🔁
J. Pedro ◂ G. Paulista
58'
⚽
G. Henrique1–1
58'
🔁
K. Arroyo ◂ F. Morais
58'
🔁
M. Pereira ◂ K. Jorge
58'
🔁
Gerson ◂ Zé Lucas
67'
J. Jesus · Persistent fouling
70'
🔁
L. Rodríguez ◂ B. Rodrigues
70'
🔁
G. Negão ◂ P. Raul
71'
🔁
Dieguinho ◂ Kaio César
79'
🔁
Wanderson ◂ J. Costa
80'
🔁
M. Pereira ◂ A. Carrillo
82'
⚽
Wanderson · assist L. Rodríguez1–2
Full-time · 1–2
90'
L. Rodríguez · Time wasting
90'
L. Villalba · Foul
90'+1
R. Garro · Foul
Coaches
Fernando DinizArtur Jorge 
Recent form
CorinthiansDARosario Central0-0
WARed Bull Bragantino2-0
WHInternacional2-1
LAInternacional0-2
DHAthletico0-0
CruzeiroDHFlamengo1-1
WHMirassol3-1
WHChapecoense2-0
DAChapecoense0-0
WACoritiba1-0
Where to watch
Prime Video
Prime Video
PremierePrime Video
Prime Video
Prime Video
Match facts
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
16 Aug, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Cruzeiro
1
H. Souza
6.8
2
Matheuzinho
7.0
4
J. Pedro
7.3
↑ 54'
13
G. Henrique
7.8
21
M. Bidu
6.5
23
M. Pereira
6.6
↑ 80'
29
Allan
7.0
61
Dieguinho
6.6
↑ 71'
8
R. Garro
7.2
77
J. Lingard
6.3
↑ 46'
56
G. Negão
6.8
↑ 70'
81
Otávio
6.7
23
Fagner
6.8
43
J. Marcelo
7.3
34
J. Jesus
6.9
25
L. Villalba
6.5
94
Wanderson
7.6
↑ 79'
8
Gerson
6.6
↑ 58'
29
L. Romero
7.1
99
K. Arroyo
6.8
↑ 58'
97
L. Rodríguez
6.5
↑ 70'
10
M. Pereira
6.6
↑ 58'
Top stats
53%Possession47%
1.36Expected goals (xG)1.28
20Total shots15
6Shots on target6
1Big chances1
3Corners8
Shots
5Shots off target3
9Blocked shots6
11Shots inside box10
9Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
-0.04Goals prevented0.47
Attack
23Touches in box21
52Final third entries52
0Offsides3
14Free kicks16
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
457Passes414
394Accurate passes339
16/36 (44%)Long balls24/57 (42%)
9/24 (38%)Crosses3/15 (20%)
22Throw-ins32
Duels
59Duels41
45/75 (60%)Ground duels30/75 (40%)
11/20 (55%)Aerial duels9/20 (45%)
8/10 (80%)Dribbles4/16 (25%)
8Dispossessed11
Defending
23Tackles10
57Tackles won80
9Interceptions10
23Clearances23
48Recoveries50
Discipline
16Fouls14
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
1Big saves1
6Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 62% · 1.10 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 82% · 1.02 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.80 @ fanatics
Who winsCorinthians to win (DNB) 65% · 1.50 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.83 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 31% · 2.35 @ hardrock
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
1X2Corinthians to win 42% · 2.83 @ efbet.net
1X2Cruzeiro to win 27% · 4.90 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 1.56 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.91
Corinthians
3.15
Draw
4.28
Cruzeiro
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Corinthians or Draw
1.32
Corinthians or Cruzeiro
1.81
Draw or Cruzeiro
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.12
Yes
1.65
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.10
Over 0.50
7.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.47
Over 1.50
2.56
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.44
Over 2.50
1.50
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.70
Over 3.50
1.16
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.54
Over 4.50 ▲
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.34
Corinthians
2.92
Cruzeiro
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.15
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.61
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.49
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.49
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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