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Marcão
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Palmeiras
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
600208 EUR · live
Away
710.0 · implied 0.1%
44.4%
+44.3 vs price
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
44.0%
-55.0 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
14.2%
+13.2 vs price
Half time
293 EUR
Draw
2.18 · implied 45.9%
93.6%
+47.7 vs price
Away
3.4 · implied 29.4%
5.2%
-24.2 vs price
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
1.7%
-23.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
238986 EUR · live
Under
1.59 · implied 62.9%
67.0%
+4.1 vs price
Over
2.68 · implied 37.3%
33.0%
-4.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
78 EUR
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
95.0%
+86.3 vs price
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
3.9%
-88.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
G. Gómez · assist J. Piquerez0–1
34'
J. Piquerez · Foul
42'
⚽
Hulk · assist A. Canobbio1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
R. Sosa ◂ V. Roque
46'
🔁
A. Gabriel ◂ J. Piquerez
54'
🔁
J. Millán ◂ I. Rabello
61'
Guga · Foul
63'
A. Canobbio · Foul
69'
🔁
G. Cano ◂ Hulk
69'
🔁
L. Acosta ◂ Ganso
73'
🔁
Mauricio ◂ A. Pereira
73'
🔁
E. Martínez ◂ J. Arias
73'
A. Gabriel · Foul
78'
L. Acosta · Foul
79'
🔁
Nonato ◂ Hércules
79'
🔁
K. Serna ◂ Y. Soteldo
80'
🔁
F. Anderson ◂ R. Sosa
82'
⚽
Mauricio · assist J. López1–2
85'
⚽
K. Serna2–2
86'
Martinelli · Foul
Full-time · 3–2
90'+2
⚽
G. Cano · assist Martinelli3–2
90'+5
G. Gómez · Argument
Coaches
MarcãoAbel Ferreira 
Recent form
FluminenseDHIndependiente Rivadavia0-0
DABotafogo1-1
LHVasco da Gama1-3
DAVasco da Gama0-0
DHBahia0-0
PalmeirasDHCerro Porteño1-1
DHInternacional0-0
LAFortaleza2-3
WHFortaleza3-0
WAVitória4-0
Where to watch
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital FUSSBALL2Sportdigital+
Canal 11
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Maracanã
City
Rio de Janeiro
Kickoff
15 Aug, 19:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Fluminense
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Palmeiras
1
Fábio
7.1
23
Guga
7.6
29
J. Millán
6.3
↑ 54'
44
Jemmes
6.7
6
Renê
6.3
90
K. Serna
7.3
↑ 79'
8
Martinelli
6.7
17
A. Canobbio
7.5
32
L. Acosta
6.3
↑ 69'
16
Nonato
6.5
↑ 79'
14
G. Cano
6.7
↑ 69'
1
C. Miguel
7.0
4
A. Giay
6.2
26
Murilo
6.2
15
G. Gómez
7.1
56
A. Gabriel
6.4
↑ 46'
40
Allan
6.7
18
Mauricio
7.3
↑ 73'
17
M. Freitas
6.7
32
E. Martínez
6.6
↑ 73'
42
J. López
7.6
19
R. Sosa
6.8
↑ 46'
Top stats
60%Possession40%
2.72Expected goals (xG)1.68
17Total shots16
6Shots on target7
5Big chances2
5Corners5
Shots
8Shots off target6
3Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box10
4Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
-0.1Goals prevented-0.57
Attack
27Touches in box27
46Final third entries44
0Offsides1
17Free kicks16
4Fouled in final third6
Passing
486Passes317
430Accurate passes260
20/32 (63%)Long balls28/49 (57%)
4/19 (21%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
11Throw-ins13
Duels
52Duels48
47/90 (52%)Ground duels43/90 (48%)
12/24 (50%)Aerial duels12/24 (50%)
10/19 (53%)Dribbles11/27 (41%)
9Dispossessed5
Defending
21Tackles18
71Tackles won67
5Interceptions13
27Clearances27
47Recoveries38
Discipline
16Fouls17
4Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
1Big saves1
5Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.70 @ Bwin
Who winsPalmeiras to win (DNB) 53% · 1.80 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.43 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.70 @ betfair
1X2Palmeiras to win 37% · 3.00 @ granmadrid
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.03 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 30% · 2.40 @ hardrock
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 2.00 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.46 @ 1xBet
1X2Fluminense to win 32% · 3.50 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.90
Fluminense
3.03
Draw
2.45
Palmeiras
Double Chanceconsensus
1.48
Fluminense or Draw
1.33
Fluminense or Palmeiras
1.36
Draw or Palmeiras
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes ▲
1.80
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.08
Over 0.50
7.49
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.83
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.19
Over 2.50
1.61
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.04
Over 3.50
1.20
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.19
Over 4.50 ▲
1.06
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.99
Fluminense
1.70
Palmeiras
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
23.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
12.33
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50 ▼
3.94
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.81
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50
2.12
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.04
Over 10.50
1.68
Under 10.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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