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Rafael Guanaes
Mirassol
Flamengo
Mirassol
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Flamengo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
720100 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.1%
-12.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.9%
+10.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.0%
+2.9 vs price
Half time
22101 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.5%
-14.5 vs price
Home
880.0 · implied 0.1%
10.1%
+10.0 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
5.4%
+1.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
91966 EUR · live
Under
3.35 · implied 29.9%
52.9%
+23.1 vs price
Over
1.42 · implied 70.4%
47.1%
-23.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
14912 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.4%
-8.7 vs price
Over
65.0 · implied 1.5%
9.6%
+8.1 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 7 clips
Player of the match
Match events
17'
🔁
Alesson ◂ E. Carioca
22'
⚽
J. Carrascal · assist G. Plata0–1
Half-time · 0–1
45'+3
Denilson · Foul
46'
🔁
Eduardo ◂ Wallisson Luiz
51'
G. Cazonatti · Foul
53'
⚽
L. Araújo · assist J. Carrascal0–2
54'
🔁
N. Moura ◂ G. Cazonatti
54'
🔁
Japa ◂ Denilson
56'
⚽
Pedro · assist A. Lucas0–3
63'
🔁
E. Araujo ◂ E. Pulgar
63'
🔁
Jorginho ◂ G. Plata
63'
🔁
S. Lino ◂ L. Araújo
66'
⚽
Pedro · assist J. Carrascal0–4
69'
🔁
G. Silva ◂ Fernandinho
69'
🔁
J. Góes ◂ A. Lucas
74'
⚽
S. Lino · assist G. de Arrascaeta0–5
74'
🔁
G. de Arrascaeta ◂ L. Paquetá
77'
⚽
J. Victor · assist Reinaldo1–5
85'
N. Moura · Foul
Full-time · 1–5
Coaches
Leonardo Jardim 
Recent form
DHLDU1-1
LACruzeiro1-3
LAGrêmio0-1
DHGrêmio1-1
WHRemo2-1
DACruzeiro1-1
WHVitória2-0
DAInternacional1-1
DHSão Paulo1-1
WAChapecoense4-0
Where to watch
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Canal 11
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Match facts
Stadium
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
City
Mirassol
Kickoff
16 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
22
Walter
6.4
32
Igor Formiga
5.6
34
J. Victor
6.3
3
W. Machado
6.0
6
Reinaldo
6.4
25
N. Moura
6.8
↑ 54'
33
Eduardo
6.4
↑ 46'
5
Japa
6.3
↑ 54'
77
Alesson
6.6
↑ 17'
30
B. Santos
6.4
19
G. Silva
6.4
↑ 69'
1
A. Rossi
6.5
2
G. Varela
7.3
13
Danilo
6.8
4
L. Pereira
7.1
77
J. Góes
6.5
↑ 69'
52
E. Araujo
6.6
↑ 63'
10
G. de Arrascaeta
6.7
↑ 74'
21
Jorginho
6.9
↑ 63'
15
J. Carrascal
8.6
16
S. Lino
7.4
↑ 63'
9
Pedro
8.0
Substitutes
23GA. Muralha
44DGabriel
18DElias
2DL. Oliveira
12DV. Luis
55MG. Cazonatti↓ 54'6.7
8MDenilson↓ 54'6.6
17MFernandinho↓ 69'6.5
80MWallisson Luiz↓ 46'6.4
10MChico
95FE. Carioca↓ 17'6.3
9FA. Luis
Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Substitutes
49GD. Alves
42GAndrew
6DA. Lucas↓ 69'8.0
22DE. Royal
3DL. Ortiz
20ML. Paquetá↓ 74'8.1
7ML. Araújo↓ 63'7.7
19MG. Plata↓ 63'6.8
5ME. Pulgar↓ 63'6.7
99MLorran
8MS. Ñíguez
64FWallace
Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.15Expected goals (xG)2.4
16Total shots15
5Shots on target8
2Big chances6
4Corners3
Shots
8Shots off target2
3Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box12
7Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored5
1Big chances missed1
-0.66Goals prevented-0.26
Attack
14Touches in box34
41Final third entries38
4Offsides1
4Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
399Passes540
349Accurate passes469
11/24 (46%)Long balls27/45 (60%)
7/22 (32%)Crosses3/10 (30%)
26Throw-ins13
Duels
38Duels62
22/65 (34%)Ground duels43/65 (66%)
8/14 (57%)Aerial duels6/14 (43%)
6/14 (43%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
18Dispossessed4
Defending
12Tackles26
58Tackles won77
6Interceptions12
13Clearances25
34Recoveries34
Discipline
12Fouls4
3Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
Who winsFlamengo to win (DNB) 68% · 1.47 @ merkurxtip
1X2Flamengo to win 50% · 2.34 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.16 @ msport
1X2Draw 27% · 2.62 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.36 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.88 @ betcity
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.34 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
1X2Mirassol to win 23% · 4.50 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.32
Mirassol
3.44
Draw
1.81
Flamengo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.94
Mirassol or Draw
1.29
Mirassol or Flamengo
1.20
Draw or Flamengo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.79
Yes
1.93
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.03
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.38
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.93
Over 2.50
1.82
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.31
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.40
Over 4.50 ▼
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.13
Mirassol
1.33
Flamengo
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
5.55
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.59
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.56
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.76
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50
1.59
Under 10.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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