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Rodrigo Bellão
Botafogo
Athletico
Botafogo
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Athletico
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
299485 EUR · live
Away
1.22 · implied 82.0%
76.0%
-6.0 vs price
Home
21.0 · implied 4.8%
18.1%
+13.3 vs price
Draw
7.0 · implied 14.3%
5.9%
-8.4 vs price
Half time
4976 EUR · live
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
69.0%
-26.3 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
23.2%
+18.7 vs price
Home
170.0 · implied 0.6%
7.8%
+7.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
87322 EUR · live
Over
1.24 · implied 80.6%
59.9%
-20.8 vs price
Under
5.2 · implied 19.2%
40.1%
+20.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
37574 EUR · live
Under
1.94 · implied 51.5%
82.9%
+31.4 vs price
Over
2.04 · implied 49.0%
17.1%
-31.9 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
J. Cruz0–1
13'
⚽
K. Viveros · assist Dantas0–2
35'
K. Toledo · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
J. Portilla ◂ L. Gustavo
46'
🔁
K. C. Vargas ◂ Leozinho
46'
🔁
J. Santos ◂ K. Toledo
61'
🔁
Dudu ◂ J. Cruz
63'
🔁
K. Barría ◂ C. Medina
63'
🔁
Huguinho ◂ Allan
68'
Edenilson · Argument
72'
🔁
S. Rodríguez ◂ Edenilson
77'
Dantas · Foul
78'
⚽
K. Viveros · assist K. C. Vargas0–3
80'
🔁
M. Martins ◂ Á. Montoro
85'
⚽
S. Rodríguez1–3
85'
🔁
R. P. Nepomuceno ◂ K. Viveros
Full-time · 2–3
90'+2
⚽
S. Rodríguez · assist Danilo2–3
Coaches
Rodrigo BellãoOdair Hellmann 
Recent form
BotafogoWHCienciano1-0
LAVitória0-1
LACienciano1-6
DHFluminense1-1
WACruzeiro1-0
AthleticoDHRed Bull Bragantino1-1
WASantos2-0
LAVitória0-4
WHVitória2-0
DACorinthians0-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 2
PremiereSportv
Arena Sport Premium 2
Canal 11
Arena Sport Premium 2
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
City
Rio de Janeiro
Kickoff
24 Aug, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Botafogo
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Athletico
12
G. Batista
5.5
2
Vitinho
6.6
5
N. Ferraresi
6.9
34
G. Justino
6.1
13
A. Telles
6.3
75
Huguinho
6.7
↑ 63'
37
K. Barría
6.7
↑ 63'
23
S. Rodríguez
8.3
↑ 72'
11
M. Martins
6.8
↑ 80'
7
J. Santos
6.6
↑ 46'
9
Danilo
7.0
23
Santos
8.9
25
Dantas
7.0
33
J. F. Aguirre
6.8
4
A. Dias
7.2
29
G. Benavídez
6.8
16
Jádson
6.7
18
K. C. Vargas
7.6
↑ 46'
7
S. Mendoza
6.8
27
J. Portilla
6.4
↑ 46'
53
Dudu
6.5
↑ 61'
70
R. P. Nepomuceno
6.5
↑ 85'
Substitutes
62GC. Lucas
32GRhyan
42DK. Santos
4DM. Ponte
21DMarçal
25MAllan↓ 63'6.8
88MEdenilson↓ 72'6.6
10MÁ. Montoro↓ 80'6.5
6MC. Medina↓ 63'6.3
59MK. Toledo↓ 46'5.8
77ML. Villalba
91MD. Andrade
Coach: Rodrigo Bellão
Substitutes
1GMycael
2DG. Junior
3DLéo
22DC. Terán
14ML. Gustavo↓ 46'6.7
8MJ. Cruz↓ 61'6.6
47MF. Chiqueti
5MFelipinho
10MBruno Zapelli
9FK. Viveros↓ 85'8.5
21FLeozinho↓ 46'6.4
19FJ. Rivaldo
Coach: Odair Hellmann
Top stats
55%Possession45%
2.79Expected goals (xG)1.18
33Total shots7
8Shots on target6
4Big chances3
13Corners2
Shots
15Shots off target1
10Blocked shots0
17Shots inside box5
16Shots outside box2
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored3
3Big chances missed0
-0.69Goals prevented-0.32
Attack
34Touches in box8
72Final third entries50
2Offsides2
9Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
489Passes414
432Accurate passes347
23/42 (55%)Long balls34/64 (53%)
9/41 (22%)Crosses1/9 (11%)
28Throw-ins15
Duels
45Duels55
29/64 (45%)Ground duels35/64 (55%)
10/22 (45%)Aerial duels12/22 (55%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
15Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles19
60Tackles won74
5Interceptions13
12Clearances44
54Recoveries40
Discipline
12Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 58 bookmakers
1X2Draw 30% · 2.55 @ hardrock
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.44 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ 10bet
Who winsBotafogo to win (DNB) 62% · 1.59 @ hardrock
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
1X2Athletico to win 29% · 3.71 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.20 @ 888Sport
1X2Botafogo to win 41% · 2.63 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.11 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.23
Botafogo ▼
3.04
Draw ▼
3.37
Athletico ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Botafogo or Draw ▲
1.35
Botafogo or Athletico ▲
1.60
Draw or Athletico ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes ▼
1.97
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.80
YES
1.38
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.62
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50 ▲
3.21
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50 ▲
1.75
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.47
Over 3.50 ▲
1.27
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.96
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.49
Botafogo
2.41
Athletico
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
5.29
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.69
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.64
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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