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Artur Jorge
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Flamengo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
378766 EUR · live
Away
1.42 · implied 70.4%
75.8%
+5.4 vs price
Home
10.0 · implied 10.0%
15.2%
+5.2 vs price
Draw
5.1 · implied 19.6%
9.0%
-10.6 vs price
Half time
601 EUR
Draw
2.34 · implied 42.7%
49.3%
+6.5 vs price
Away
2.96 · implied 33.8%
30.3%
-3.5 vs price
Home
4.4 · implied 22.7%
20.1%
-2.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
46684 EUR · live
Under
2.68 · implied 37.3%
65.6%
+28.3 vs price
Over
1.61 · implied 62.1%
34.4%
-27.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
578 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
78.7%
-10.6 vs price
Over
8.6 · implied 11.6%
21.3%
+9.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
20'
F. Bruno · Foul
22'
⚽
Pedro · assist G. de Arrascaeta0–1
36'
J. Marcelo · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
Wesley ◂ J. Costa
55'
⚽
K. Arroyo · assist M. Henrique1–1
63'
🔁
Jorginho ◂ G. de Arrascaeta
63'
🔁
G. Plata ◂ S. Lino
72'
🔁
E. Araujo ◂ E. Pulgar
72'
🔁
B. Henrique ◂ L. Paquetá
75'
🔁
K. Kenji ◂ K. Arroyo
75'
🔁
Gerson ◂ L. Romero
76'
🔁
N. Villarreal ◂ K. Jorge
82'
B. Henrique · Foul
83'
🔁
L. Araújo ◂ Pedro
86'
🔁
Zé Lucas ◂ M. Henrique
86'
Wesley · Foul
Full-time · 2–1
90'+5
⚽
M. Pereira · assist L. Villalba2–1
Coaches
Artur JorgeLeonardo Jardim 
Recent form
CruzeiroLAFlamengo1-2
WACorinthians2-1
DHFlamengo1-1
WHMirassol3-1
WHChapecoense2-0
FlamengoWHCruzeiro2-1
WAMirassol5-1
DACruzeiro1-1
WHVitória2-0
DAInternacional1-1
Where to watch
Prime Video
Prime Video
PremierePrime Video
Prime Video
Canal 11
Prime Video
Match facts
Stadium
Governador Magalhães Pinto
City
Belo Horizonte
Kickoff
22 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Flamengo
81
Otávio
6.2
23
Fagner
6.7
15
F. Bruno
6.7
43
J. Marcelo
6.6
25
L. Villalba
7.2
8
Gerson
7.0
↑ 75'
5
Zé Lucas
6.8
↑ 86'
70
K. Kenji
6.4
↑ 75'
10
M. Pereira
8.5
20
Wesley
7.2
↑ 46'
22
N. Villarreal
6.6
↑ 76'
1
A. Rossi
7.2
2
G. Varela
6.3
3
L. Ortiz
7.1
13
Danilo
7.1
6
A. Lucas
6.2
52
E. Araujo
6.5
↑ 72'
27
B. Henrique
6.2
↑ 72'
15
J. Carrascal
6.7
21
Jorginho
6.8
↑ 63'
19
G. Plata
6.7
↑ 63'
7
L. Araújo
6.4
↑ 83'
Substitutes
41GL. Aragão
27DG. Rojas
12DW. Furtado
99MK. Arroyo↓ 75'7.7
7MM. Henrique↓ 86'6.9
29ML. Romero↓ 75'6.5
67MJ. Costa↓ 46'6.4
38MF. Morais
16ML. Silva
19FK. Jorge↓ 76'7.0
9FB. Rodrigues
97FL. Rodríguez
Coach: Artur Jorge
Substitutes
49GD. Alves
42GAndrew
77DJ. Góes
61DJ. Victor
22DE. Royal
16MS. Lino↓ 63'7.2
20ML. Paquetá↓ 72'6.9
10MG. de Arrascaeta↓ 63'6.8
5ME. Pulgar↓ 72'6.7
99MLorran
8MS. Ñíguez
9FPedro↓ 83'7.5
Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.05Expected goals (xG)1.24
24Total shots14
6Shots on target3
0Big chances2
3Corners3
Shots
11Shots off target6
7Blocked shots5
11Shots inside box9
13Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.65Goals prevented-0.2
Attack
28Touches in box27
69Final third entries51
1Offsides0
7Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
497Passes562
439Accurate passes505
10/24 (42%)Long balls29/45 (64%)
8/24 (33%)Crosses3/11 (27%)
25Throw-ins8
Duels
50Duels50
37/71 (52%)Ground duels34/71 (48%)
7/17 (41%)Aerial duels10/17 (59%)
14/22 (64%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)
6Dispossessed10
Defending
16Tackles14
63Tackles won71
12Interceptions10
14Clearances26
51Recoveries50
Discipline
13Fouls7
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves1
9Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsFlamengo to win (DNB) 55% · 1.73 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.17 @ 888Sport
1X2Flamengo to win 39% · 2.80 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.32 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 29% · 2.55 @ fonbet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.30 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.50 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.16 @ 1xBet
1X2Cruzeiro to win 32% · 3.38 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.00
Cruzeiro ▲
3.25
Draw ▼
2.31
Flamengo ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.56
Cruzeiro or Draw ▲
1.31
Cruzeiro or Flamengo
1.36
Draw or Flamengo ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes ▼
1.96
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.50
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.88
YES
1.36
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.90
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.35
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50 ▼
3.24
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.98
Over 2.50 ▼
1.77
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.42
Over 3.50 ▼
1.28
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.08
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.05
Cruzeiro
1.68
Flamengo
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.46
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.93
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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