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Abel Ferreira
Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama
Palmeiras
3-4-1-2 · 4-1-4-1
Vasco da Gama
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
467245 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
80.4%
-18.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.7%
+14.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.9%
+4.8 vs price
Half time
4517 EUR · live
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
51.7%
+26.7 vs price
Away
7.4 · implied 13.5%
29.7%
+16.2 vs price
Draw
1.63 · implied 61.3%
18.6%
-42.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
39013 EUR · live
Under
3.3 · implied 30.3%
65.9%
+35.6 vs price
Over
1.45 · implied 69.0%
34.1%
-34.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3405 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
88.2%
-9.9 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
11.8%
+9.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
9'
M. Freitas · Foul
44'
A. Gómez · Persistent fouling
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Murilo ◂ A. Barboza
47'
⚽
J. López · assist Allan1–0
50'
T. Mendes · Argument
51'
⚽
V. Roque (pen)2–0
56'
⚽
Mauricio · assist A. Pereira3–0
58'
🔁
R. Rique ◂ T. Mendes
58'
🔁
R. A. d. S. Fortes ◂ Cuiabano
65'
🔁
F. Colidio ◂ David
65'
🔁
N. Moreira ◂ Adson
71'
🔁
E. Martínez ◂ M. Freitas
71'
🔁
J. Arias ◂ V. Roque
71'
🔁
F. Anderson ◂ Allan
72'
🔁
M. Hinestroza ◂ A. Gómez
83'
🔁
Khellven ◂ A. Giay
83'
R. Renan · Foul
89'
⚽
J. López · assist J. Arias4–0
Full-time · 4–1
90'+4
⚽
F. Colidio4–1
Coaches
Pedro Emanuel 
Recent form
WACerro Porteño1-0
LAFluminense2-3
DHCerro Porteño1-1
DHInternacional0-0
LAFortaleza2-3
WAOlimpia4-1
LHSantos0-3
DHOlimpia0-0
DABahia0-0
WAFluminense3-1
Where to watch
Globo Internacional
Arena Sport 2 SRB
Globo Internacional
GloboplayPremiereTV Globo
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
DAZNSportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Premier Sports Player
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Premier Sports Player
Arena Sport 2 SRB
Arena Sport 2 SRB
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Canal 11
Globo Internacional
Arena Sport 2 SRB
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Match facts
Stadium
Nubank Parque
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
23 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
1
C. Miguel
7.7
12
Khellven
6.2
↑ 83'
15
G. Gómez
6.9
26
Murilo
6.9
↑ 46'
11
J. Arias
6.6
↑ 71'
8
A. Pereira
7.5
32
E. Martínez
6.8
↑ 71'
56
A. Gabriel
6.6
18
Mauricio
7.6
7
F. Anderson
6.9
↑ 71'
42
J. López
9.5
1
L. Jardim
5.2
96
P. Henrique
6.1
46
C. Cuesta
5.8
30
R. Renan
6.0
82
R. A. d. S. Fortes
7.0
↑ 58'
5
S. Sosa
6.7
17
N. Moreira
6.7
↑ 65'
3
Tchê Tchê
6.1
83
R. Rique
6.7
↑ 58'
18
M. Hinestroza
6.6
↑ 72'
9
F. Colidio
7.0
↑ 65'
Top stats
57%Possession43%
1.74Expected goals (xG)2.15
13Total shots12
5Shots on target4
3Big chances3
5Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
0.95Goals prevented-1.38
Attack
17Touches in box14
49Final third entries50
1Offsides2
20Free kicks8
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
551Passes407
481Accurate passes349
17/45 (38%)Long balls10/32 (31%)
2/16 (13%)Crosses1/13 (8%)
24Throw-ins19
Duels
52Duels48
46/84 (55%)Ground duels38/84 (45%)
11/26 (42%)Aerial duels15/26 (58%)
8/16 (50%)Dribbles8/21 (38%)
15Dispossessed5
Defending
18Tackles23
83Tackles won61
7Interceptions9
11Clearances37
43Recoveries46
Discipline
8Fouls21
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
Who winsPalmeiras to win (DNB) 76% · 1.32 @ forbet
1X2Palmeiras to win 58% · 2.04 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.33 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.60 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 24% · 2.70 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.10 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.05 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.95 @ 10bet
1X2Vasco to win 18% · 6.00 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.61
Palmeiras ▼
3.82
Draw ▲
5.23
Vasco da Gama ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.15
Palmeiras or Draw ▲
1.24
Palmeiras or Vasco da Gama ▲
2.20
Draw or Vasco da Gama ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes ▼
1.86
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.20
YES
1.60
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.13
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.63
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.05
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▼
3.54
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50 ▲
1.89
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.11
Over 3.50 ▲
1.33
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.91
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.21
Palmeiras ▲
3.91
Vasco da Gama ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
2.95
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.54
Over 9.50
2.26
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Palmeiras to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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