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Odair Hellmann
Athletico
Fluminense
Athletico
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fluminense
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
324448 EUR · live
Home
22.0 · implied 4.5%
52.6%
+48.1 vs price
Away
34.0 · implied 2.9%
31.1%
+28.2 vs price
Draw
1.08 · implied 92.6%
16.3%
-76.3 vs price
Half time
2359 EUR · live
Draw
1.56 · implied 64.1%
44.9%
-19.2 vs price
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
44.1%
+28.9 vs price
Home
5.1 · implied 19.6%
10.9%
-8.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
59247 EUR · live
Under
3.65 · implied 27.4%
64.4%
+37.0 vs price
Over
1.36 · implied 73.5%
35.6%
-37.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
15038 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.8%
-3.3 vs price
Over
65.0 · implied 1.5%
4.2%
+2.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 8 clips
Player of the match
Match events
35'
⚽
Leozinho · assist S. Mendoza1–0
38'
⚽
Hulk1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'+5
Ganso · Foul
48'
⚽
G. Benavídez2–1
49'
G. Benavídez · Time wasting
59'
🔁
K. Serna ◂ Y. Soteldo
59'
🔁
L. Acosta ◂ Ganso
64'
⚽
A. Canobbio2–2
71'
🔁
Dudu ◂ Leozinho
71'
🔁
K. C. Vargas ◂ J. Cruz
75'
Nonato · Foul
78'
⚽
Ignácio · assist Hulk2–3
80'
K. Viveros · Argument
83'
🔁
J. Rivaldo ◂ J. F. Aguirre
83'
🔁
Bruno Zapelli ◂ L. Gustavo
87'
VAR
Goal not given after review · K. Viveros
89'
🔁
J. Savarino ◂ A. Canobbio
Full-time · 3–3
90'
🔁
Jemmes ◂ Hulk
90'+5
⚽
K. Viveros (pen)3–3
Coaches
Odair HellmannMarcão 
Recent form
AthleticoWABotafogo3-2
DHRed Bull Bragantino1-1
WASantos2-0
LAVitória0-4
WHVitória2-0
FluminenseWHRemo2-1
DAIndependiente Rivadavia1-1
WHPalmeiras3-2
DHIndependiente Rivadavia0-0
DABotafogo1-1
Where to watch
Premiere
Arena Sport 6 SRB
Match facts
Stadium
Arena da Baixada
City
Curitiba
Kickoff
30 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Athletico
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fluminense
23
Santos
5.2
25
Dantas
6.1
10
Bruno Zapelli
6.9
↑ 83'
4
A. Dias
6.5
29
G. Benavídez
7.9
16
Jádson
6.7
19
J. Rivaldo
6.5
↑ 83'
7
S. Mendoza
7.1
53
Dudu
6.7
↑ 71'
18
K. C. Vargas
7.1
↑ 71'
9
K. Viveros
7.3
1
Fábio
7.6
23
Guga
5.6
4
Ignácio
7.4
29
J. Millán
6.2
6
Renê
6.5
16
Nonato
7.4
8
Martinelli
6.9
11
J. Savarino
6.6
↑ 89'
32
L. Acosta
6.4
↑ 59'
90
K. Serna
6.3
↑ 59'
44
Jemmes
6.2
↑ 90'
Substitutes
1GMycael
33DJ. F. Aguirre↓ 83'6.1
2DG. Junior
22DC. Terán
3DLéo
8MJ. Cruz↓ 71'6.7
14ML. Gustavo↓ 83'6.5
63MD. Riquelme
11MIsaac
5MFelipinho
21FLeozinho↓ 71'8.6
70FR. P. Nepomuceno
Coach: Odair Hellmann
Top stats
47%Possession53%
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.56
17Total shots12
8Shots on target6
2Big chances1
8Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target3
6Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box7
4Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
-2.01Goals prevented0.51
Attack
33Touches in box13
63Final third entries52
4Offsides0
11Free kicks15
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
444Passes526
392Accurate passes458
24/43 (56%)Long balls19/44 (43%)
4/25 (16%)Crosses3/10 (30%)
18Throw-ins21
Duels
48Duels52
33/65 (51%)Ground duels32/65 (49%)
5/14 (36%)Aerial duels9/14 (64%)
9/12 (75%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)
11Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles14
75Tackles won43
14Interceptions12
9Clearances22
43Recoveries45
Discipline
15Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 37 bookmakers
1X2Fluminense to win 43% · 3.65 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.02 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 30% · 2.34 @ forbet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.54 @ Unibet
Who winsAthletico to win (DNB) 59% · 1.61 @ forbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.02 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 2.45 @ 888Sport
1X2Athletico to win 27% · 3.75 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.24
Athletico
3.08
Draw ▼
3.26
Fluminense
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
Athletico or Draw
1.34
Athletico or Fluminense
1.58
Draw or Fluminense
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.02
Yes
1.72
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.50
YES
1.48
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.30
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.45
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
7.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.43
Over 1.50
2.61
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.39
Over 2.50 ▲
1.53
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.49
Over 3.50
1.17
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.57
Athletico
2.25
Fluminense
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.29
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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