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Rogério Ceni
Bahia
Internacional
Bahia
4-3-3 · 5-3-2
Internacional
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
374204 EUR · live
Home
1.28 · implied 78.1%
80.1%
+2.0 vs price
Away
30.0 · implied 3.3%
16.1%
+12.8 vs price
Draw
5.4 · implied 18.5%
3.8%
-14.8 vs price
Half time
313 EUR
Home
2.52 · implied 39.7%
43.2%
+3.5 vs price
Away
5.3 · implied 18.9%
31.7%
+12.8 vs price
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
24.6%
-17.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
38469 EUR · live
Over
1.23 · implied 81.3%
61.6%
-19.7 vs price
Under
5.3 · implied 18.9%
38.7%
+19.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1942 EUR
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
95.5%
+7.8 vs price
Over
8.4 · implied 11.9%
4.5%
-7.4 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
16'
⚽
A. Patrick · assist T. Maia0–1
19'
P. Pezzolano · Argument
23'
⚽
E. Pulga · assist N. Acevedo1–1
39'
C. Olivera · Argument
39'
A. Bernabei · Argument
42'
⚽
E. Pulga · assist A. Véliz2–1
Half-time · 3–1
45'+4
⚽
Erick3–1
52'
⚽
Vitinho · assist A. Patrick3–2
54'
G. Maripán · Argument
56'
🔁
M. Araújo ◂ Erick
56'
🔁
Ademir ◂ C. Olivera
64'
🔁
A. Sanabria ◂ A. Bernabei
64'
🔁
Calebe ◂ T. Maia
66'
R. Gómez · Foul
72'
M. Araújo · Foul
76'
🔁
J. Juninho ◂ M. Bahia
76'
🔁
J. Carbonero ◂ A. Patrick
76'
🔁
M. Victor ◂ R. Gómez
84'
🔁
C. Alexandre ◂ R. Nestor
84'
🔁
R. Pablo ◂ E. Pulga
87'
🔁
N. Eliasson ◂ Vitinho
Full-time · 3–2
90'+1
D. Duarte · Foul
Coaches
Paulo Pezzolano 
Recent form
WAVitória2-0
DAChapecoense3-3
DHVasco da Gama0-0
DAFluminense0-0
DHCorinthians1-1
DHGrêmio0-0
DHAtlético Mineiro0-0
DHRemo1-1
DAPalmeiras0-0
LACorinthians1-2
Where to watch
PremiereSportv
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
City
Salvador
Kickoff
30 Aug, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
1
Ronaldo
6.5
44
M. Victor
7.0
↑ 76'
33
D. Duarte
6.7
21
S. R. Mingo
6.4
46
L. Juba
7.2
15
M. Araújo
6.8
↑ 56'
5
N. Acevedo
7.5
77
R. Pablo
6.6
↑ 84'
7
Ademir
7.1
↑ 56'
9
A. Véliz
6.6
8
C. Alexandre
6.7
↑ 84'
23
M. Cunha
5.8
35
B. Aguirre
5.5
4
F. Torres
6.3
3
G. Maripán
6.6
18
J. Juninho
7.2
↑ 76'
30
Calebe
6.8
↑ 64'
8
B. Henrique
6.5
16
Ronaldo
6.5
19
A. Sanabria
6.4
↑ 64'
17
N. Eliasson
6.7
↑ 87'
7
J. Carbonero
6.7
↑ 76'
Top stats
57%Possession43%
2.41Expected goals (xG)1.9
13Total shots12
6Shots on target3
4Big chances2
3Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target8
3Blocked shots1
9Shots inside box9
4Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed1
-0.54Goals prevented-0.73
Attack
25Touches in box19
53Final third entries58
2Offsides1
17Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
540Passes409
471Accurate passes342
36/62 (58%)Long balls27/53 (51%)
6/19 (32%)Crosses5/17 (29%)
21Throw-ins22
Duels
51Duels49
40/75 (53%)Ground duels35/75 (47%)
9/21 (43%)Aerial duels12/21 (57%)
11/17 (65%)Dribbles9/14 (64%)
11Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles17
86Tackles won35
13Interceptions15
29Clearances24
47Recoveries49
Discipline
10Fouls17
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
10Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsBahia to win (DNB) 68% · 1.36 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65%
1X2Bahia to win 49% · 2.50 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.80 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.85 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.36 @ Bet365
1X2Internacional to win 24% · 4.33 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.86
Bahia
3.40
Draw
3.90
Internacional
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Bahia or Draw
1.30
Bahia or Internacional
1.91
Draw or Internacional
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.96
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
4.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50
1.95
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.20
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.34
Bahia
3.08
Internacional
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.91
Over 10.50
1.80
Under 10.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.50
Bahia
2.25
Draw
4.33
Internacional
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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