Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Corinthians have the home crowd and the head-to-head record to lean on here** — but both teams are genuinely struggling form-wise, limping through the same 1W-1D-3L slog. 🏟️
Chapecoense are badly depleted in the injury department (five players out, including key defenders), while Corinthians have suspended absences to manage. That gap in available squad depth could be the deciding factor in this one.
Key storylines:
- **Corinthians' defense** leans on G. Henrique and J. Pedro after suspensions bite into their backline options
- **Chapecoense's thin squad** faces a trip to Neo Química Arena without Max, B. Tubarão, and a cascade of other absentees
- **Home-turf edge**: Corinthians have dominated the head-to-head (12 wins in 19), though recent form is shaky for both sides
Expected lineups:
- **Corinthians**: H. Souza, M. Bidu, G. Henrique, J. Pedro, Matheuzinho, B. Bidon, Allan, G. Negão, R. Garro, Kaio César, P. Raul
- **Chapecoense**: Anderson, Fernando, E. Doma, Kauan, Everton, Camilo, Y. Felipe, Maurício Garcez, G. Augusto, R. Tadeu, Marcinho
Prediction:
**Corinthians 2-0 Chapecoense** — home advantage and Chapecoense's injury crisis tip the scales. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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