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Marcão
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
Fluminense
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Vasco da Gama
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
431775 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
60.7%
-37.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
31.4%
+31.3 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
7.8%
+5.1 vs price
Half time
6672 EUR · live
Draw
1.65 · implied 60.6%
59.9%
-0.7 vs price
Away
4.6 · implied 21.7%
29.8%
+8.1 vs price
Home
5.7 · implied 17.5%
10.3%
-7.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
102659 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.0%
-13.0 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.0%
+13.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8302 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.5%
-6.5 vs price
Over
65.0 · implied 1.5%
7.5%
+6.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
9'
A. Gómez · Foul
21'
D. Fuzato · Argument
21'
J. Freytes · Argument
40'
P. Henrique · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
45'+5
Ignácio · Foul
45'+6
Y. Soteldo · Argument
45'+6
Hulk · Argument
54'
F. Colidio · Foul
58'
🔁
L. Acosta ◂ Ganso
60'
🔁
Adson ◂ B. Duarte
61'
⚽
L. Acosta · assist Y. Soteldo1–0
74'
🔁
P. Rodríguez ◂ P. Henrique
74'
🔁
C. Spinelli ◂ Tchê Tchê
74'
🔁
K. Serna ◂ Y. Soteldo
84'
🔁
M. Hinestroza ◂ Adson
84'
🔁
R. Rique ◂ C. Cuesta
85'
🔁
J. Fidelis ◂ Guga
85'
🔁
G. Arana ◂ Hulk
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Pedro Emanuel 
Recent form
DAAthletico3-3
WHRemo2-1
DAIndependiente Rivadavia1-1
WHPalmeiras3-2
DHIndependiente Rivadavia0-0
WAVitória2-0
WHCruzeiro3-1
WHVitória1-0
LAPalmeiras1-4
WAOlimpia4-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 1Arena Sport Premium 3
GloboplayPremiereSportv
Canal 11
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Maracanã
City
Rio de Janeiro
Kickoff
06 Sep, 00:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
1
Fábio
7.8
13
G. Arana
6.6
↑ 85'
4
Ignácio
7.0
29
J. Millán
7.4
6
Renê
7.4
16
Nonato
7.4
8
Martinelli
7.4
17
A. Canobbio
7.2
32
L. Acosta
7.7
↑ 58'
90
K. Serna
6.6
↑ 74'
46
J. Fidelis
6.7
↑ 85'
1
L. Jardim
7.2
2
P. Rodríguez
6.9
↑ 74'
18
M. Hinestroza
6.8
↑ 84'
30
R. Renan
6.9
6
L. Piton
6.8
77
C. Spinelli
6.4
↑ 74'
5
S. Sosa
7.6
23
T. Mendes
7.3
9
F. Colidio
6.8
28
Adson
6.6
↑ 60'
11
A. Gómez
6.0
Top stats
45%Possession55%
1.68Expected goals (xG)0.69
7Total shots14
4Shots on target4
4Big chances1
6Corners6
Shots
2Shots off target7
1Blocked shots3
6Shots inside box7
1Shots outside box7
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
0.59Goals prevented0.22
Attack
11Touches in box39
37Final third entries78
1Offsides1
20Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
427Passes510
355Accurate passes445
12/41 (29%)Long balls25/37 (68%)
2/14 (14%)Crosses6/36 (17%)
10Throw-ins22
Duels
54Duels46
46/80 (57%)Ground duels34/80 (43%)
9/21 (43%)Aerial duels12/21 (57%)
7/12 (58%)Dribbles10/22 (45%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
20Tackles13
60Tackles won54
8Interceptions12
46Clearances17
52Recoveries50
Discipline
11Fouls20
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
11Goal kicks3
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsFluminense to win (DNB) 69% · 1.73 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.70 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.10 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58%
1X2Fluminense to win 46% · 2.75 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.91 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 1.95 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ Bet365
1X2Vasco to win 26% · 4.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.05
Fluminense
3.30
Draw
3.60
Vasco da Gama
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Fluminense or Draw
1.33
Fluminense or Vasco da Gama
1.70
Draw or Vasco da Gama
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.00
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.65
Fluminense
2.10
Vasco da Gama
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.80
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Total Cards 5.50consensus
1.73
Over 5.50
2.00
Under 5.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.75
Fluminense
2.10
Draw
4.00
Vasco da Gama
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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