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Vagner Mancini
Red Bull Bragantino
Bahia
Red Bull Bragantino
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Bahia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
262774 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
69.0%
-28.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
26.2%
+26.1 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
4.8%
+2.0 vs price
Half time
6344 EUR · live
Home
1.26 · implied 79.4%
94.8%
+15.4 vs price
Draw
5.6 · implied 17.9%
2.7%
-15.2 vs price
Away
38.0 · implied 2.6%
2.5%
-0.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
31054 EUR · live
Over
1.12 · implied 89.3%
75.7%
-13.6 vs price
Under
9.4 · implied 10.6%
24.3%
+13.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2965 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
92.4%
+6.2 vs price
Over
6.2 · implied 16.1%
7.5%
-8.6 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
14'
⚽
L. Barbosa · assist Wallace1–0
34'
⚽
L. Juba (pen)1–1
38'
⚽
A. Véliz · assist R. Nestor1–2
43'
Fernando · Argument
Half-time · 2–2
45'+1
⚽
S. R. Mingo2–2
50'
⚽
Erick · assist R. Nestor2–3
51'
Erick · Foul
62'
L. Juba · Foul
68'
🔁
H. Mosquera ◂ J. Herrera
68'
🔁
Ademir ◂ E. Pulga
68'
🔁
J. Lucas ◂ Erick
78'
🔁
C. Alexandre ◂ N. Acevedo
78'
🔁
M. Araújo ◂ R. Nestor
82'
🔁
Vinicinho ◂ Wallace
82'
🔁
R. Augusto ◂ J. A. Hurtado
82'
🔁
J. N. Coelho ◂ L. Barbosa
82'
🔁
W. José ◂ A. Véliz
Full-time · 2–3
90'+4
🔁
G. Neves ◂ Rodriguinho
90'+12
A. Vinicius · Argument
Coaches
Vagner ManciniRogério Ceni 
Recent form
Red Bull BragantinoLASão Paulo1-2
WHGrêmio1-0
DAAtlético Mineiro2-2
DAAthletico1-1
LHAtlético Mineiro0-1
BahiaWHInternacional3-2
WAVitória2-0
DAChapecoense3-3
DHVasco da Gama0-0
DAFluminense0-0
Where to watch
PremiereSportv
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
City
Bragança Paulista
Kickoff
05 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Red Bull Bragantino
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Bahia
18
T. Volpi
6.9
52
R. Augusto
6.9
↑ 82'
4
A. Vinicius
6.4
16
G. Marques
6.6
29
J. Capixaba
6.9
5
Fabinho
7.0
22
G. Neves
6.6
↑ 90'
30
H. Mosquera
7.3
↑ 68'
17
Vinicinho
6.7
↑ 82'
67
J. N. Coelho
6.6
↑ 82'
11
Fernando
6.7
1
Ronaldo
8.8
31
R. Gómez
5.9
33
D. Duarte
6.7
21
S. R. Mingo
6.0
46
L. Juba
7.6
6
J. Lucas
6.6
↑ 68'
15
M. Araújo
6.2
↑ 78'
8
C. Alexandre
6.8
↑ 78'
99
C. Olivera
6.1
12
W. José
6.6
↑ 82'
7
Ademir
6.6
↑ 68'
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.65Expected goals (xG)2.36
24Total shots11
10Shots on target5
3Big chances6
10Corners8
Shots
8Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box10
12Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored3
2Big chances missed3
0.14Goals prevented0.12
Attack
35Touches in box19
50Final third entries46
1Offsides0
17Free kicks10
6Fouled in final third2
Passing
392Passes383
326Accurate passes315
30/43 (70%)Long balls20/55 (36%)
7/33 (21%)Crosses9/25 (36%)
28Throw-ins21
Duels
56Duels44
43/76 (57%)Ground duels33/76 (43%)
22/40 (55%)Aerial duels18/40 (45%)
9/19 (47%)Dribbles9/23 (39%)
4Dispossessed4
Defending
18Tackles14
72Tackles won57
8Interceptions2
21Clearances48
43Recoveries43
Discipline
11Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves9
1Big saves2
7Goal kicks11
1Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69%
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.67 @ Bet365
Who winsRB Bragantino to win (DNB) 63% · 1.50 @ Betano
1X2Draw 27% · 2.25 @ Bet365
1X2RB Bragantino to win 46% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.85 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.36 @ Bet365
1X2Bahia to win 27% · 4.00 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.05
Red Bull Bragantino
3.50
Draw
3.50
Bahia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw
1.29
Red Bull Bragantino or Bahia
1.70
Draw or Bahia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.63
Yes
2.15
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
4.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50
1.95
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.20
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Red Bull Bragantino
2.50
Bahia
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.73
Under 10.50
Total Cards 4.50consensus
1.67
Over 4.50
2.10
Under 4.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.62
Red Bull Bragantino
2.25
Draw
4.00
Bahia
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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