Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Chapecoense hosting a Internacional side in absolute freefall** — the visitors haven't won in five and are leaking goals like a sieve. 🔴
Chapecoense just beat Corinthians away and grabbed three points at home vs São Paulo; they're clicking. Internacional, meanwhile, is hemorrhaging matches — three losses in their last five with a -2 goal differential that screams defensive chaos. The hosts have a real edge here.
Key storylines:
- **Chapecoense's home form** has flipped the script this season; they're dangerous in Chapecó and Internacional's makeshift backline won't fancy the trip
- **Internacional's injury crisis** is brutal — multiple key players out, including B. Aguirre (suspension) and M. Bahia (red card), gutting their midfield and attack
- **G. Augusto and Marcinho** will be Chapecoense's attacking focal points against a defensive unit that's conceding at will
Expected lineups:
- **Chapecoense**: Anderson, B. Pacheco, E. Doma, Fernando, B. Tubarão, Camilo, Y. Felipe, K. Ramírez, B. Matias, G. Augusto, Marcinho
- **Internacional**: M. Cunha, A. Bernabei, B. Gomes, G. Maripán, G. Mercado, G. Mercado, A. Patrick, Vitinho, B. Henrique, J. Carbonero, A. Sanabria, Calebe
Prediction:
**Chapecoense 2–0 Internacional** — home form and visitor turmoil point to a clear advantage. Lean Chapecoense. ✌️
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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