Corinthians 1-3 Fluminense: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Corinthians 1-3 Fluminense.

90+3'

K. Serna

Goal! Corinthians 1-3 Fluminense. K. Serna (Fluminense) scores, assisted by Martinelli.

90+2'

Raniele

Attempt blocked. Raniele (Corinthians), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

90+2'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

90+1'

R. Garro

Attempt saved. R. Garro (Corinthians), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

90'

Hércules

Attempt missed. Hércules (Fluminense), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.09.

89'

K. Serna

Attempt saved. K. Serna (Fluminense), left-footed shot. xG 0.44.

88'

B. Bidon

Substitution, Corinthians: M. Pereira comes on for B. Bidon.

87'

G. Negão

Attempt missed. G. Negão (Corinthians), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.12.

87'

Hulk

Substitution, Fluminense: R. Castillo comes on for Hulk.

86'

Corinthians

Offside, Corinthians.

85'

Corinthians

Offside, Corinthians.

84'

R. Garro

Attempt blocked. R. Garro (Corinthians), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

81'

M. Depay

Substitution, Corinthians: P. Raul comes on for M. Depay.

81'

Fluminense

Offside, Fluminense.

80'

Raniele

Attempt missed. Raniele (Corinthians), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

80'

A. Luiz

Substitution, Corinthians: J. Lingard comes on for A. Luiz.

76'

Hulk

Goal! Corinthians 1-2 Fluminense. Hulk (Fluminense) scores, assisted by Ganso.

76'

A. Canobbio

Substitution, Fluminense: R. Felipe comes on for A. Canobbio.

76'

Nonato

Substitution, Fluminense: Hércules comes on for Nonato.

72'

Matheuzinho

Attempt missed. Matheuzinho (Corinthians), header. xG 0.03.

71'

Nonato

Yellow card for Nonato (Fluminense) for foul.

65'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

65'

M. Depay

Attempt saved. M. Depay (Corinthians), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

64'

J. Fidelis

Yellow card for J. Fidelis (Fluminense) for foul.

62'

A. Canobbio

Yellow card for A. Canobbio (Fluminense) for foul.

61'

A. Luiz

Yellow card for A. Luiz (Corinthians) for foul.

59'

S. Xavier

Substitution, Fluminense: J. Fidelis comes on for S. Xavier.

59'

L. Acosta

Substitution, Fluminense: Ganso comes on for L. Acosta.

56'

G. Henrique

Goal! Corinthians 1-1 Fluminense. G. Henrique (Corinthians) scores.

56'

G. Negão

Attempt saved. G. Negão (Corinthians), header from a throw-in. xG 0.33.

56'

M. Depay

Attempt saved. M. Depay (Corinthians), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.14.

56'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

54'

Matheuzinho

Attempt missed. Matheuzinho (Corinthians), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

53'

G. Henrique

Attempt saved. G. Henrique (Corinthians), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.60.

53'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

52'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

52'

Kaio César

Attempt blocked. Kaio César (Corinthians), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

52'

G. Henrique

Attempt blocked. G. Henrique (Corinthians), header from a corner. xG 0.13.

52'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

51'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

50'

R. Garro

Attempt blocked. R. Garro (Corinthians), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

48'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

46'

I. Machado

Substitution, Corinthians: G. Negão comes on for I. Machado.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Corinthians 0-1 Fluminense.

45+6'

Martinelli

Yellow card for Martinelli (Fluminense) for foul.

45+4'

Fluminense

Corner, Fluminense.

45+4'

Hulk

Attempt saved. Hulk (Fluminense), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.24.

45+2'

A. Luiz

Attempt missed. A. Luiz (Corinthians), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45+1'

M. Bidu

Attempt blocked. M. Bidu (Corinthians), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

6 minutes of added time.

44'

S. Xavier

Yellow card for S. Xavier (Fluminense) for time wasting.

43'

Kaio César

Attempt blocked. Kaio César (Corinthians), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

37'

A. Canobbio

Attempt blocked. A. Canobbio (Fluminense), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

35'

Matheuzinho

Yellow card for Matheuzinho (Corinthians) for foul.

34'

Raniele

Attempt saved. Raniele (Corinthians), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

33'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

29'

K. Serna

Attempt missed. K. Serna (Fluminense), right-footed shot. xG 0.54.

24'

Hulk

VAR: goal for Fluminense ruled out.

24'

Hulk

Goal! Corinthians 0-1 Fluminense. Hulk (Fluminense) scores, assisted by L. Acosta.

20'

M. Depay

Yellow card for M. Depay (Corinthians) for foul.

17'

K. Serna

Attempt saved. K. Serna (Fluminense), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

11'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

4'

A. Canobbio

Attempt blocked. A. Canobbio (Fluminense), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

2'

B. Bidon

Attempt missed. B. Bidon (Corinthians), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: Corinthians vs Fluminense.

Where the money is

769592 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 385906 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

55.6%

-43.4 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

32.2%

+32.1 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

12.2%

+12.1 vs price

Half time 2950 EUR · live

Draw 4.1 · implied 24.4%

62.9%

+38.5 vs price

Away 1.38 · implied 72.5%

23.4%

-49.1 vs price

Home 28.0 · implied 3.6%

13.6%

+10.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 87900 EUR · live

Under 1.8 · implied 55.6%

51.0%

-4.6 vs price

Over 2.22 · implied 45.0%

49.1%

+4.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 48361 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

98.0%

-1.0 vs price

Over 50.0 · implied 2.0%

2.0%

0.0 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

20' M. Depay · Foul

24' ⚽ Hulk · assist L. Acosta0–1

24' VAR Goal check · Hulk

35' Matheuzinho · Foul

44' S. Xavier · Time wasting

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺⁶ Martinelli · Foul

46' 🔁 G. Negão ◂ I. Machado

56' ⚽ G. Henrique1–1

59' 🔁 Ganso ◂ L. Acosta

59' 🔁 J. Fidelis ◂ S. Xavier

61' A. Luiz · Foul

62' A. Canobbio · Foul

64' J. Fidelis · Foul

71' Nonato · Foul

76' 🔁 Hércules ◂ Nonato

76' 🔁 R. Felipe ◂ A. Canobbio

76' ⚽ Hulk · assist Ganso1–2

80' 🔁 J. Lingard ◂ A. Luiz

81' 🔁 P. Raul ◂ M. Depay

87' 🔁 R. Castillo ◂ Hulk

88' 🔁 M. Pereira ◂ B. Bidon

Full-time · 1–3

90'⁺³ ⚽ K. Serna · assist Martinelli1–3

Coaches

Fernando Diniz

Marcão

Recent form

Corinthians

LHEstudiantes de La Plata0-1

LAFlamengo1-2

DAEstudiantes de La Plata1-1

LHChapecoense1-2

LHSantos0-1

Fluminense

LAClub Atlético Platense1-2

LAAtlético Mineiro1-3

WHClub Atlético Platense2-0

WHVasco da Gama1-0

DAAthletico3-3

About this match

**Corinthians are limping badly, but Fluminense's away form is even scarier** — this is a clash of two teams running on fumes, and the home crowd might just tip it. 🔴⚪

Corinthians have won just once in five, while Fluminense sit 2–2–1 in their last stretch. The H2H is dead even over 54 games, so don't expect a clear pattern here. Both squads are battered by injuries, but **Depay and Hulk** remain dangerous wildcards.

Key storylines:

- **Corinthians' attacking depth** takes a hit without Kayke and Alberto, leaving M. Depay as the focal point upfront
- **Fluminense's midfield** (Martinelli, Ganso, Soteldo) has creative juice but the defense (Nonato, J. Freytes) is stretched thin
- **Neo Química Arena** usually favors the hosts — Corinthians need that spark badly after four defeats in five

Expected lineups:

- **Corinthians**: H. Souza, M. Bidu, G. Henrique, J. Pedro, Matheuzinho, Allan, Raniele, P. Raul, R. Garro, Kaio César, M. Depay
- **Fluminense**: Fábio, Renê, Nonato, J. Freytes, Guga, Martinelli, Y. Soteldo, Hulk, Ganso, A. Canobbio, R. Castillo

Prediction:

**Corinthians 1–1 Fluminense**. Home advantage keeps it close, but neither team has the ruthlessness to pull away. 🤝

Where to watch

Globo Internacional

Match facts

Stadium

Neo Química Arena

City

Sao Paulo

Referee

Ramon Abatti Abel

4.81 yellows/match · 53 matches

Kickoff

20 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie A

Highlights & clips

Corinthians 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Fluminense

1 H. Souza 5.9 2 Matheuzinho 6.7 56 G. Negão 6.4 ↑ 46' 13 G. Henrique 6.4 21 M. Bidu 6.4 14 Raniele 6.9 77 J. Lingard 6.3 ↑ 80' 37 Kaio César 6.7 8 R. Garro 7.6 23 M. Pereira 6.6 ↑ 88' 18 P. Raul 6.4 ↑ 81' 1 Fábio 8.7 46 J. Fidelis 6.9 ↑ 59' 3 T. Silva 7.4 29 J. Millán 7.0 6 Renê 7.2 28 R. Felipe 6.9 ↑ 76' 8 Martinelli 7.2 35 Hércules 6.4 ↑ 76' 10 Ganso 6.7 ↑ 59' 90 K. Serna 7.7 19 R. Castillo 6.6 ↑ 87'

Substitutes

51GKauê 55DI. Machado↓ 46'6.5 4DJ. Pedro 20DP. Milans 26DF. Angileri 49MA. Luiz↓ 80'7.6 7MB. Bidon↓ 88'6.6 29MAllan 61MDieguinho 35MCharles 10FM. Depay↓ 81'6.7 11FVitinho

Coach: Fernando Diniz

Substitutes

98GVitor Eudes 2DS. Xavier↓ 59'6.3 22DJ. Freytes 44DJemmes 21DI. Rabello 13DG. Arana 32ML. Acosta↓ 59'7.0 16MNonato↓ 76'6.6 17MA. Canobbio↓ 76'6.4 11MJ. Savarino 94MOtávio 7FHulk↓ 87'9.4

Coach: Marcão

Top stats

57%Possession43%

2.44Expected goals (xG)2.38

20Total shots10

7Shots on target6

3Big chances4

11Corners1

Shots

6Shots off target2

7Blocked shots2

11Shots inside box8

9Shots outside box2

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed3

-0.44Goals prevented1.21

Attack

38Touches in box14

98Final third entries28

1Offsides1

21Free kicks16

8Fouled in final third1

Passing

513Passes417

452Accurate passes349

29/50 (58%)Long balls14/39 (36%)

9/40 (23%)Crosses0/3 (0%)

23Throw-ins15

Duels

44Duels56

34/71 (48%)Ground duels37/71 (52%)

7/23 (30%)Aerial duels16/23 (70%)

5/12 (42%)Dribbles9/13 (69%)

7Dispossessed5

Defending

9Tackles14

78Tackles won71

7Interceptions9

12Clearances46

48Recoveries46

Discipline

16Fouls21

3Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves6

1Big saves2

4Goal kicks14

0Punches3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Corinthians 44%

30%

Fluminense 26%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 61% · 1.53 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 80% · 1.20 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.81 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 30% · 2.00 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61%

Who winsCorinthians to win (DNB) 62% · 1.50 @ Betano

1X2Corinthians to win 44% · 2.88 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 2.00 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50%

1X2Fluminense to win 26% · 4.33 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.15

Corinthians

3.10

Draw

3.70

Fluminense

Double Chanceconsensus

1.29

Corinthians or Draw

1.36

Corinthians or Fluminense

1.67

Draw or Fluminense

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.05

Yes

1.70

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.10

Over 0.50

7.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.50

Over 1.50

2.62

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.40

Over 2.50

1.53

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.50

Over 3.50

1.20

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

11.00

Over 4.50

1.05

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.46

Corinthians

2.55

Fluminense

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.73

Over 10.50

2.00

Under 10.50

Total Cards 5.50consensus

1.80

Over 5.50

1.91

Under 5.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.88

Corinthians

2.00

Draw

4.33

Fluminense

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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