Mirassol 2-0 Botafogo: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 19, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Mirassol 2-0 Botafogo.

90+3'

D. Borges

Attempt saved. D. Borges (Mirassol), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+3'

Z. Roberto

Attempt saved. Z. Roberto (Mirassol), header from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

90+1'

K. Toledo

Attempt saved. K. Toledo (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.47.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

Igor Formiga

Substitution, Mirassol: D. Borges comes on for Igor Formiga.

89'

B. Santos

Substitution, Mirassol: Z. Roberto comes on for B. Santos.

89'

Botafogo

Corner, Botafogo.

82'

W. Machado

Attempt saved. W. Machado (Mirassol), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

81'

Mirassol

Corner, Mirassol.

79'

Shaylon

Attempt blocked. Shaylon (Mirassol), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

77'

C. Medina

Substitution, Botafogo: K. Toledo comes on for C. Medina.

76'

E. Carioca

Substitution, Mirassol: C. Eduardo comes on for E. Carioca.

76'

Denilson

Substitution, Mirassol: Wallisson Luiz comes on for Denilson.

70'

B. Santos

Attempt missed. B. Santos (Mirassol), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.38.

67'

Eduardo

Substitution, Mirassol: Shaylon comes on for Eduardo.

64'

H. Ziyech

Attempt saved. H. Ziyech (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

64'

D. Santos

Attempt missed. D. Santos (Botafogo), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

64'

Botafogo

Corner, Botafogo.

62'

Botafogo

Corner, Botafogo.

61'

A. Cabral

Substitution, Botafogo: L. Villalba comes on for A. Cabral.

55'

C. Medina

Attempt saved. C. Medina (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.31.

53'

Mirassol

Corner, Mirassol.

48'

Botafogo

Offside, Botafogo.

46'

H. Ziyech

Attempt blocked. H. Ziyech (Botafogo), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

46'

Á. Montoro

Substitution, Botafogo: Edenilson comes on for Á. Montoro.

46'

D. Pereira

Substitution, Botafogo: H. Ziyech comes on for D. Pereira.

46'

Huguinho

Substitution, Botafogo: J. Santos comes on for Huguinho.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Mirassol 2-0 Botafogo.

45+2'

Eduardo

Goal! Mirassol 2-0 Botafogo. Eduardo (Mirassol) scores.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

38'

A. Cabral

Attempt saved. A. Cabral (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

37'

C. Medina

Attempt missed. C. Medina (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

35'

Huguinho

Yellow card for Huguinho (Botafogo) for foul.

27'

Igor Formiga

Attempt missed. Igor Formiga (Mirassol), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

25'

E. Carioca

Attempt saved. E. Carioca (Mirassol), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

25'

Mirassol

Corner, Mirassol.

24'

Chico

Attempt missed. Chico (Mirassol), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

22'

Á. Montoro

Attempt blocked. Á. Montoro (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

16'

Eduardo

Goal! Mirassol 1-0 Botafogo. Eduardo (Mirassol) scores, assisted by Igor Formiga.

16'

C. Medina

Attempt missed. C. Medina (Botafogo), header. xG 0.03.

16'

Igor Formiga

Attempt saved. Igor Formiga (Mirassol), header. xG 0.19.

14'

A. Cabral

Attempt saved. A. Cabral (Botafogo), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

11'

A. Cabral

Attempt missed. A. Cabral (Botafogo), header. xG 0.06.

10'

Igor Formiga

Attempt missed. Igor Formiga (Mirassol), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

8'

Botafogo

Corner, Botafogo.

6'

A. Cabral

Attempt blocked. A. Cabral (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: Mirassol vs Botafogo.

Where the money is

847965 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 392098 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

91.1%

-7.9 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.3%

+5.2 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.6%

+3.5 vs price

Half time 692 EUR · live

Draw 5.1 · implied 19.6%

43.4%

+23.7 vs price

Home 1.27 · implied 78.7%

32.4%

-46.4 vs price

Away 27.0 · implied 3.7%

24.1%

+20.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 234313 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

81.1%

-15.1 vs price

Over 22.0 · implied 4.5%

19.0%

+14.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2717 EUR · live

Under 1.19 · implied 84.0%

77.9%

-6.2 vs price

Over 6.8 · implied 14.7%

22.1%

+7.4 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

16' ⚽ Eduardo · assist Igor Formiga1–0

35' Huguinho · Foul

Half-time · 2–0

45'⁺² ⚽ Eduardo2–0

46' 🔁 J. Santos ◂ Huguinho

46' 🔁 H. Ziyech ◂ D. Pereira

46' 🔁 Edenilson ◂ Á. Montoro

61' 🔁 L. Villalba ◂ A. Cabral

67' 🔁 Shaylon ◂ Eduardo

76' 🔁 Wallisson Luiz ◂ Denilson

76' 🔁 C. Eduardo ◂ E. Carioca

77' 🔁 K. Toledo ◂ C. Medina

89' 🔁 Z. Roberto ◂ B. Santos

Full-time · 2–0

90' 🔁 D. Borges ◂ Igor Formiga

Coaches

Rafael Guanaes

Tite

Recent form

Mirassol

DHVitória2-2

WACoritiba2-1

LAFlamengo0-2

DHPalmeiras1-1

DASantos1-1

Botafogo

WHGrêmio3-2

DHRed Bull Bragantino1-1

DHPalmeiras0-0

LAFlamengo0-3

LHAthletico2-3

About this match

**Mirassol host a struggling Botafogo side that's been leaking goals left and right.** This is the kind of matchup where the home team should fancy their chances. 🏠

Mirassol are building something solid with 1W and 3D in their last five, while Botafogo just shipped three to Flamengo and look vulnerable. The away side's missing a bunch of defensive bodies too, which doesn't help their cause.

Key storylines:

- **Mirassol's midfield** (Denilson, Wallisson Luiz) will need to control tempo against a Botafogo side missing defensive depth
- **B. Santos upfront** carries the weight of Mirassol's attack with several injuries limiting creativity elsewhere
- **Botafogo's backline** (G. Batista, A. Telles, G. Justino, L. Monzón) faces a stiff test with key defenders sidelined

Expected lineups:

- **Mirassol**: A. Muralha, Reinaldo, W. Machado, J. Victor, Igor Formiga, Denilson, Wallisson Luiz, Fernandinho, Eduardo, G. Silva, B. Santos
- **Botafogo**: G. Batista, A. Telles, G. Justino, L. Monzón, Vitinho, D. Santos, C. Medina, Á. Montoro, Edenilson, J. Santos, A. Cabral

Prediction:

**Mirassol 2-0 Botafogo** — Home side's stability edges out a patched-up visitor. 📊

Where to watch

BetanoPremiereRecordYouTube - CazéTV

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

City

Mirassol

Referee

Felipe Fernandes de Lima

5.08 yellows/match · 51 matches

Kickoff

19 Sep, 20:00 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie A

Highlights & clips

Mirassol 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 Botafogo

22 Walter 8.5 20 D. Borges ↑ 90' 34 J. Victor 7.8 3 W. Machado 8.1 6 Reinaldo 8.1 80 Wallisson Luiz 6.6 ↑ 76' 25 N. Moura 7.6 96 C. Eduardo 6.7 ↑ 76' 7 Shaylon 6.8 ↑ 67' 10 Chico 7.1 99 Z. Roberto ↑ 89' 12 G. Batista 7.1 2 Vitinho 6.5 5 N. Ferraresi 7.2 33 L. Monzón 6.0 13 A. Telles 6.8 59 K. Toledo 6.6 ↑ 77' 22 H. Ziyech 7.1 ↑ 46' 8 D. Santos 6.7 88 Edenilson 6.5 ↑ 46' 7 J. Santos 6.2 ↑ 46' 77 L. Villalba 7.0 ↑ 61'

Top stats

50%Possession50%

1.22Expected goals (xG)1.35

12Total shots12

7Shots on target5

2Big chances2

3Corners4

Shots

4Shots off target4

1Blocked shots3

7Shots inside box11

5Shots outside box1

1Big chances scored0

1Big chances missed2

1.18Goals prevented-0.22

Attack

20Touches in box20

64Final third entries71

0Offsides1

7Free kicks8

0Fouled in final third1

Passing

580Passes556

526Accurate passes500

56/71 (79%)Long balls29/46 (63%)

2/10 (20%)Crosses9/30 (30%)

19Throw-ins23

Duels

50Duels50

24/55 (44%)Ground duels31/55 (56%)

10/13 (77%)Aerial duels3/13 (23%)

3/8 (38%)Dribbles12/21 (57%)

6Dispossessed6

Defending

15Tackles11

87Tackles won91

8Interceptions4

37Clearances11

50Recoveries39

Discipline

8Fouls7

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves5

4Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Mirassol 45%

27%

Botafogo 28%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.33 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.20 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 27% · 2.54 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ William Hill

1X2Mirassol to win 45% · 2.50 @ William Hill

Who winsMirassol to win (DNB) 57% · 1.53 @ 888Sport

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.40 @ betfair

1X2Botafogo to win 28% · 3.44 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.08

Mirassol

3.54

Draw

3.40

Botafogo

Double Chanceconsensus

1.30

Mirassol or Draw

1.25

Mirassol or Botafogo

1.68

Draw or Botafogo

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.60

Yes

2.20

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

10.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.21

Over 1.50

3.98

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.79

Over 2.50

2.03

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.89

Over 3.50

1.38

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.60

Over 4.50

1.12

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.50

Mirassol

2.45

Botafogo

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.16

Over 7.50

3.60

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.33

Over 8.50

2.77

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.64

Over 9.50

2.14

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.00

Over 10.50

1.72

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.45

Over 11.50

1.42

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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