Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Vasco's on a roll, and Coritiba's got more bodies on the sideline than a med tent.** This feels like a home-team shakedown in Rio. 🔴
Vasco are clicking — three wins in their last five, including a shutout on the road. Coritiba can score (3-3 with Athletico, 3-2 over Remo), but they're bleeding injuries and discipline bans, missing five players including key defender Tinga.
Key storylines:
- **Vasco's midfield engine** — T. Mendes anchoring a setup that's been compact and efficient lately
- **Coritiba's reshuffled backline** — T. Cóser and T. Santos have to hold it together against **S. Sosa** and **A. Lescano** pressing high
- **Head-to-head equilibrium** — 10-9-9 in Vasco's favor over 28 games, but this fixture stays tight
Expected lineups:
- **Vasco da Gama**: L. Jardim, R. A. d. S. Fortes, R. Renan, C. Cuesta, L. Piton, T. Mendes, A. Gómez, C. Barros, A. Lescano, S. Sosa, F. Colidio
- **Coritiba**: Pedro Morisco, Bruno Melo, T. Cóser, T. Santos, J.P. Chermont, S. Gomez, R. Moledo
Prediction:
**Vasco da Gama 2–1 Coritiba** — Home advantage, form, and Coritiba's injury list all point to a Vasco edge. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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