Athletico 2-2 Atlético Mineiro: Stats, xG & Lineups

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Brasileirão Serie A ·Thu 08 Oct

Athletico

2–2

HT 1–1

Full time

Atlético Mineiro

Arena da Baixada, Curitiba · Ref: Ramon Abatti Abel

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Athletico 2-2 Atlético Mineiro.

90+10'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

90+7'

Lyanco

Goal! Athletico 2-2 Atlético Mineiro. Lyanco (Atlético Mineiro) scores, assisted by T. Borbas.

90+6'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

90+3'

K. Viveros

Goal! Athletico 2-1 Atlético Mineiro. K. Viveros (Athletico) scores.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

90'

L. Esquivel

Substitution, Athletico: G. Junior comes on for L. Esquivel.

89'

Leozinho

Attempt missed. Leozinho (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

86'

J. Rivaldo

Attempt missed. J. Rivaldo (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

86'

Atlético Mineiro

Offside, Atlético Mineiro.

84'

A. Dias

Attempt missed. A. Dias (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

83'

Bruno Zapelli

Attempt missed. Bruno Zapelli (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

81'

L. Gustavo

Substitution, Athletico: Bruno Zapelli comes on for L. Gustavo.

81'

C. Terán

Substitution, Athletico: J. Rivaldo comes on for C. Terán.

80'

Claudinho

Attempt blocked. Claudinho (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

80'

L. Gustavo

Attempt blocked. L. Gustavo (Athletico), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

80'

A. Dias

Attempt missed. A. Dias (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.28.

80'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

78'

S. Mendoza

Attempt saved. S. Mendoza (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

77'

Claudinho

Attempt missed. Claudinho (Athletico), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

77'

Leozinho

Attempt saved. Leozinho (Athletico), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

77'

A. Dias

Attempt missed. A. Dias (Athletico), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

77'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

76'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

76'

L. Esquivel

Attempt blocked. L. Esquivel (Athletico), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

76'

Reinier

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: T. Borbas comes on for Reinier.

76'

Bernard

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: I. Gomes comes on for Bernard.

74'

K. Castaño

Yellow card for K. Castaño (Atlético Mineiro) for foul.

73'

T. Pérez

Red card! T. Pérez (Atlético Mineiro) is sent off for professional foul last man.

72'

T. Pérez

VAR: card upgraded for T. Pérez (Atlético Mineiro).

70'

V. Hugo

Attempt saved. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

69'

Bernard

Attempt missed. Bernard (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

68'

M. Cissé

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: K. Castaño comes on for M. Cissé.

67'

Maycon

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: T. Pérez comes on for Maycon.

67'

T. Cuello

Yellow card for T. Cuello (Atlético Mineiro) for foul.

66'

Leozinho

Attempt saved. Leozinho (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

65'

T. Cuello

Attempt saved. T. Cuello (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

64'

Claudinho

VAR check complete: the goal for Athletico stands.

61'

Gilberto

Substitution, Athletico: Claudinho comes on for Gilberto.

61'

J. Cruz

Substitution, Athletico: Leozinho comes on for J. Cruz.

60'

V. Hugo

Attempt blocked. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

59'

Maycon

Attempt saved. Maycon (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

58'

C. Terán

Attempt missed. C. Terán (Athletico), header from a set piece. xG 0.50.

56'

Bernard

Attempt missed. Bernard (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

55'

L. Gustavo

Attempt missed. L. Gustavo (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

53'

L. Gustavo

Attempt saved. L. Gustavo (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

52'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

51'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

49'

V. Hugo

Attempt missed. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.56.

48'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Athletico 1-1 Atlético Mineiro.

45+4'

C. Terán

Attempt missed. C. Terán (Athletico), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

45+3'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

45+2'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

45+1'

L. Gustavo

Attempt blocked. L. Gustavo (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45+1'

V. Hugo

Attempt missed. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

43'

R. Lodi

Attempt saved. R. Lodi (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

43'

T. Cuello

Attempt missed. T. Cuello (Atlético Mineiro), header. xG 0.31.

39'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

39'

Bernard

Attempt saved. Bernard (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

38'

Fred

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: V. Hugo comes on for Fred.

36'

J. Cruz

Attempt saved. J. Cruz (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

36'

Natanael

Attempt saved. Natanael (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

34'

Jádson

Attempt missed. Jádson (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

31'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

30'

K. C. Vargas

Attempt blocked. K. C. Vargas (Athletico), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

30'

Gilberto

Attempt saved. Gilberto (Athletico), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

27'

Bernard

Goal! Athletico 1-1 Atlético Mineiro. Bernard (Atlético Mineiro) scores.

24'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

24'

J. Cruz

Attempt saved. J. Cruz (Athletico), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.25.

24'

K. C. Vargas

Attempt missed. K. C. Vargas (Athletico), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

24'

L. Esquivel

Attempt blocked. L. Esquivel (Athletico), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

20'

J. Cruz

Attempt missed. J. Cruz (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

20'

Jádson

Attempt saved. Jádson (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

15'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

15'

J. Cruz

Attempt blocked. J. Cruz (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

12'

K. Viveros

Attempt blocked. K. Viveros (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

K. C. Vargas

Goal! Athletico 1-0 Atlético Mineiro. K. C. Vargas (Athletico) scores, assisted by Gilberto.

Kick-off: Athletico vs Atlético Mineiro.

Where the money is

229305 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 129847 EUR · live

Home 2.44 · implied 41.0%

75.7%

+34.7 vs price

Draw 2.74 · implied 36.5%

15.8%

-20.7 vs price

Away 4.3 · implied 23.3%

8.5%

-14.8 vs price

Half time 9396 EUR · live

Home 1.22 · implied 82.0%

84.0%

+2.1 vs price

Away 26.0 · implied 3.8%

10.8%

+7.0 vs price

Draw 5.4 · implied 18.5%

5.1%

-13.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 21135 EUR · live

Over 1.27 · implied 78.7%

53.8%

-25.0 vs price

Under 4.7 · implied 21.3%

46.2%

+24.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 23245 EUR · live

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

98.0%

+11.1 vs price

Over 7.6 · implied 13.2%

2.0%

-11.2 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 5 clips

Match events

8' ⚽ K. C. Vargas · assist Gilberto1–0

27' ⚽ Bernard1–1

38' 🔁 V. Hugo ◂ Fred

Half-time · 1–1

61' 🔁 Leozinho ◂ J. Cruz

61' 🔁 Claudinho ◂ Gilberto

64' VAR Goal not given after review · Claudinho

67' 🔁 T. Pérez ◂ Maycon

67' T. Cuello · Foul

68' 🔁 K. Castaño ◂ M. Cissé

72' VAR Card check · T. Pérez

73' T. Pérez · Professional foul last man

74' K. Castaño · Foul

76' 🔁 I. Gomes ◂ Bernard

76' 🔁 T. Borbas ◂ Reinier

81' 🔁 J. Rivaldo ◂ C. Terán

81' 🔁 Bruno Zapelli ◂ L. Gustavo

Full-time · 2–2

90' 🔁 G. Junior ◂ L. Esquivel

90'⁺³ ⚽ K. Viveros2–1

90'⁺⁷ ⚽ Lyanco · assist T. Borbas2–2

Coaches

Odair Hellmann

Eduardo Dominguez

Recent form

Athletico

WHBahia2-1

DACoritiba3-3

LACruzeiro1-3

DHFluminense3-3

WABotafogo3-2

Atlético Mineiro

WHRed Bull Bragantino1-0

DHChapecoense1-1

WHSantos4-2

WHFluminense3-1

LASantos0-2

About this match

**Athletico and Atlético Mineiro clash in a dead-even historical matchup** — these sides have basically split wins over 46 meetings, and Thursday's home advantage for Athletico could be the deciding factor. 🔥

Athletico's form is patchy (2W-2D-1L), but they'll host a Mineiro side that's been sharper lately with three wins in five. However, Atlético Mineiro arrive battered — five players out through injury, including keeper Everson — which tips the scales back Athletico's way.

Key storylines:

- **Santos and G. Delfim** will anchor their respective defenses in what should be a tight, grinding affair
- **Reinier and Bernard** are Mineiro's creative lifeline despite the injury crisis; Athletico's midfield trio of Jádson, S. Mendoza, and L. Gustavo need to disrupt early
- **Claudinho and J. F. Aguirre** unavailable for Athletico; bench depth tested on both sides

Expected lineups:

- **Athletico**: Santos, L. Esquivel, A. Dias, Dantas, Gilberto, S. Mendoza, Jádson, L. Gustavo, J. Cruz, K. Viveros, K. C. Vargas
- **Atlético Mineiro**: G. Delfim, R. Lodi, V. F. C. Teixeira, Lyanco, Natanael, Fred, K. Castaño, T. Cuello, Bernard, Reinier, M. Cassierra

Prediction:

**Athletico 2–1 Atlético Mineiro**. Home turf and a healthier squad give Athletico the slight edge. 💪

Where to watch

Globoplay

Match facts

Stadium

Arena da Baixada

City

Curitiba

Referee

Ramon Abatti Abel

4.81 yellows/match · 53 matches

Kickoff

08 Oct, 23:00 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie A

Top stats

51%Possession49%

2.59Expected goals (xG)1.68

31Total shots15

10Shots on target9

3Big chances2

10Corners3

Shots

13Shots off target5

8Blocked shots1

17Shots inside box7

14Shots outside box8

0Hit woodwork1

3Big chances missed2

-0.84Goals prevented0.42

Attack

35Touches in box11

59Final third entries52

0Offsides1

11Free kicks13

1Fouled in final third1

Passing

501Passes489

440Accurate passes427

25/47 (53%)Long balls19/37 (51%)

9/27 (33%)Crosses3/9 (33%)

18Throw-ins17

Duels

48Duels52

25/51 (49%)Ground duels26/51 (51%)

6/14 (43%)Aerial duels8/14 (57%)

3/9 (33%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)

3Dispossessed5

Defending

12Tackles9

67Tackles won33

7Interceptions12

12Clearances27

53Recoveries51

Discipline

13Fouls11

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

7Saves8

2Big saves1

6Goal kicks13

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 1 bookmaker

Athletico 46%

28%

Atlético-MG 26%

Who winsAthletico to win (DNB) 70% · 1.44 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.10 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ Bet365

1X2Athletico to win 46% · 2.75 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.80 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365

1X2Atlético-MG to win 26% · 4.33 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.01

Athletico

3.25

Draw

3.60

Atlético Mineiro

Double Chanceconsensus

1.29

Athletico or Draw

1.33

Athletico or Atlético Mineiro

1.73

Draw or Atlético Mineiro

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.95

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

10.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.00

Over 2.50

1.80

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.50

Over 3.50

1.30

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.00

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.44

Athletico

2.62

Atlético Mineiro

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.00

Over 10.50

1.73

Under 10.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.75

Athletico

2.10

Draw

4.33

Atlético Mineiro

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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