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Botafogo
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Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
Botafogo
Tite
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Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
Botafogo
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Tite
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Vasco da Gama
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Botafogo 1-2 Vasco da Gama.
90+9'
Botafogo
Offside, Botafogo.
90+8'
Attempt missed. P. Rodríguez (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
90+5'
Botafogo
Offside, Botafogo.
90+4'
Attempt blocked. P. Rodríguez (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.
90+4'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
90+3'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
90+3'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
90'
9 minutes of added time.
89'
Botafogo
Corner, Botafogo.
86'
Botafogo
Offside, Botafogo.
85'
Tite
Red card! Tite (Botafogo) is sent off for argument.
79'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
76'
Vasco da Gama
Offside, Vasco da Gama.
70'
Botafogo
Corner, Botafogo.
64'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
63'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
63'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
56'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
56'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
50'
Botafogo
Corner, Botafogo.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Botafogo 0-1 Vasco da Gama.
45'
5 minutes of added time.
43'
Botafogo
Corner, Botafogo.
34'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
31'
Botafogo
Corner, Botafogo.
28'
Goal! Botafogo 0-1 Vasco da Gama. A. Lescano (Vasco da Gama) scores, assisted by B. Duarte.
27'
Botafogo
Corner, Botafogo.
20'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
12'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
10'
Attempt saved. F. Colidio (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
3'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
2'
Botafogo
Corner, Botafogo.
1'
Kick-off: Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
187776 EUR · live
Away
1.49 · implied 67.1%
62.4%
-4.7 vs price
Home
8.4 · implied 11.9%
26.9%
+15.0 vs price
Draw
4.5 · implied 22.2%
10.6%
-11.6 vs price
Half time
65 EUR
Home
3.6 · implied 27.8%
58.8%
+31.1 vs price
Away
2.96 · implied 33.8%
40.3%
+6.5 vs price
Draw
2.52 · implied 39.7%
0.0%
-39.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
12592 EUR · live
Under
2.98 · implied 33.6%
52.8%
+19.2 vs price
Over
1.51 · implied 66.2%
47.2%
-19.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
243 EUR
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
99.7%
+14.2 vs price
Over
0.0%
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
28'
⚽
A. Lescano · assist B. Duarte0–1
42'
🔁
David ◂ B. Duarte
Half-time · 0–1
51'
⚽
David · assist F. Colidio0–2
57'
🔁
J. Santos ◂ C. Medina
60'
⚽
A. Telles1–2
65'
🔁
Adson ◂ M. Hinestroza
65'
🔁
Tchê Tchê ◂ A. Lescano
69'
🔁
K. Toledo ◂ M. Martins
74'
VAR
Goal not given after review · T. Mendes
80'
🔁
T. Soares ◂ A. Cabral
80'
🔁
K. Barría ◂ H. Ziyech
80'
🔁
M. Ponte ◂ Vitinho
84'
VAR
Goal not given after review · T. Soares
85'
Tite · Argument
88'
🔁
N. Moreira ◂ F. Colidio
88'
🔁
P. Rodríguez ◂ P. Henrique
Full-time · 1–2
90'+1
🔁
◂ A. Chaves
90'+7
N. Ferraresi · Foul
Coaches
TitePedro Emanuel 
Recent form
BotafogoLAMirassol0-2
WHGrêmio3-2
DHRed Bull Bragantino1-1
DHPalmeiras0-0
LAFlamengo0-3
Vasco da GamaWHCoritiba5-0
WHIndependiente Santa Fe2-0
WAGrêmio2-1
DAIndependiente Santa Fe0-0
LAFluminense0-1
About this match
**Botafogo and Vasco collide in a Clássico with wildly different momentum**. The hosts are sputtering 1W–2D–2L, while Vasco rolls in hot off three straight wins — this is a statement opportunity for the visitors. 🔥
Botafogo's been leaky and inconsistent at home; Vasco's fired up and carrying form into the derby. The head-to-head leans Botafogo's way historically (16–11), but that doesn't account for **right now**.
Key storylines:
- **Vasco's attack versus Botafogo's defense**: Vasco just dropped a 5-0 on Coritiba. Botafogo's missing Edenilson at midfield and will need **D. Santos** and **C. Medina** to do heavy lifting.
- **Botafogo's home struggles**: 3-2 over Grêmio looked good, but losses to Mirassol and draws to Bragantino show inconsistency in front of the Nilton Santos crowd.
- **Vasco's balance with suspensions**: A. Gómez out to yellows is a mild blow, but **T. Mendes** and **Tchê Tchê** give them midfield steel to control tempo.
Expected lineups:
- **Botafogo**: G. Batista, A. Telles, N. Ferraresi, L. Monzón, Vitinho, D. Santos, C. Medina, Á. Montoro, Huguinho, J. Santos, A. Cabral
- **Vasco da Gama**: L. Jardim, L. Piton, R. Renan, S. Sosa, P. Rodríguez, C. Cuesta, T. Mendes, Tchê Tchê, David, F. Colidio, Adson
Prediction:
**Vasco 2–1 Botafogo**. Form is king in derbies, and Vasco's three-game streak gives them a slight edge in a tight affair. 🎯
Where to watch
Prime Video
Prime Video
Prime VideoYouTube - CazéTV
Prime Video
Canal 11
Fanatiz USAPrime Video
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
City
Rio de Janeiro
Kickoff
07 Oct, 23:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Botafogo
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Vasco da Gama
12
G. Batista
7.0
4
M. Ponte
6.7
↑ 80'
5
N. Ferraresi
6.5
3
A. Chaves
7.0
13
A. Telles
8.3
75
Huguinho
6.5
8
D. Santos
7.2
7
J. Santos
6.3
↑ 57'
37
K. Barría
6.6
↑ 80'
59
K. Toledo
6.5
↑ 69'
9
T. Soares
6.6
↑ 80'
1
L. Jardim
6.3
2
P. Rodríguez
6.6
↑ 88'
4
A. Saldivia
6.5
30
R. Renan
7.0
66
Cuiabano
6.6
5
S. Sosa
6.9
3
Tchê Tchê
6.5
↑ 65'
28
Adson
6.6
↑ 65'
23
T. Mendes
7.4
17
N. Moreira
7.0
↑ 88'
7
David
7.4
↑ 42'
Top stats
46%Possession54%
0.59Expected goals (xG)1.74
11Total shots17
2Shots on target8
1Big chances3
7Corners14
Shots
6Shots off target6
3Blocked shots3
6Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork2
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed1
0.07Goals prevented-0.53
Attack
15Touches in box24
44Final third entries48
3Offsides2
12Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
368Passes430
298Accurate passes364
24/47 (51%)Long balls18/35 (51%)
6/21 (29%)Crosses7/27 (26%)
22Throw-ins13
Duels
53Duels47
30/53 (57%)Ground duels23/53 (43%)
13/28 (46%)Aerial duels15/28 (54%)
2/10 (20%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)
2Dispossessed7
Defending
16Tackles10
75Tackles won80
10Interceptions16
34Clearances23
40Recoveries39
Discipline
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
4Big saves1
5Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Vasco to win 42% · 2.62 @ Bet365
Who winsBotafogo to win (DNB) 67% · 2.15 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.60 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.30 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.85 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.63 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 2.00 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.30 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Botafogo to win 32% · 3.12 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.95
Botafogo
3.50
Draw
2.26
Vasco da Gama
Double Chanceconsensus
1.58
Botafogo or Draw
1.29
Botafogo or Vasco da Gama
1.36
Draw or Vasco da Gama
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.45
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.65
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.17
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.64
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.83
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.10
Botafogo
1.65
Vasco da Gama
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.11
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
2.98
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.54
Over 9.50
2.20
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.90
Over 10.50
1.81
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.38
Over 11.50
1.49
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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