Palmeiras 4-1 Corinthians: Stats, xG & Lineups

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Brasileirão Serie A ·Sun 11 Oct

Palmeiras

4–1

HT 2–0

Full time

Corinthians

Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo · Ref: Anderson Daronco

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Palmeiras 4-1 Corinthians.

90+1'

G. Henrique

Goal! Palmeiras 4-1 Corinthians. G. Henrique (Corinthians) scores, assisted by Vitinho.

90'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

86'

Mauricio

Attempt missed. Mauricio (Palmeiras), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

83'

Paulinho

Attempt blocked. Paulinho (Palmeiras), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

83'

Raniele

Substitution, Corinthians: Dieguinho comes on for Raniele.

83'

G. Gómez

Substitution, Palmeiras: B. Fuchs comes on for G. Gómez.

81'

Paulinho

Penalty missed! Paulinho (Palmeiras), saved.

78'

Palmeiras

Corner, Palmeiras.

78'

Palmeiras

Corner, Palmeiras.

77'

Palmeiras

Corner, Palmeiras.

77'

J. Arias

Attempt blocked. J. Arias (Palmeiras), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

77'

R. Sosa

Substitution, Palmeiras: Paulinho comes on for R. Sosa.

76'

M. Depay

Attempt missed. M. Depay (Corinthians), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

75'

Vitinho

Attempt blocked. Vitinho (Corinthians), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

75'

Raniele

Attempt missed. Raniele (Corinthians), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

75'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

73'

M. Bidu

Attempt missed. M. Bidu (Corinthians), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

72'

G. Gómez

Yellow card for G. Gómez (Palmeiras) for time wasting.

70'

Palmeiras

Offside, Palmeiras.

69'

J. López

Substitution, Palmeiras: Mauricio comes on for J. López.

69'

L. Evangelista

Substitution, Palmeiras: E. Martínez comes on for L. Evangelista.

69'

V. Roque

Substitution, Palmeiras: R. Sosa comes on for V. Roque.

69'

A. Luiz

Substitution, Corinthians: A. Ramalho comes on for A. Luiz.

69'

Y. Alberto

Substitution, Corinthians: P. Raul comes on for Y. Alberto.

68'

J. López

Attempt blocked. J. López (Palmeiras), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

67'

Y. Alberto

Attempt saved. Y. Alberto (Corinthians), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

65'

Vitinho

Yellow card for Vitinho (Corinthians) for off the ball foul.

61'

J. López

Attempt missed. J. López (Palmeiras), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

59'

G. Paulista

Yellow card for G. Paulista (Corinthians) for foul.

58'

Y. Alberto

Attempt blocked. Y. Alberto (Corinthians), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

58'

Matheuzinho

Attempt missed. Matheuzinho (Corinthians), header on the counter. xG 0.16.

57'

A. Carrillo

Substitution, Corinthians: Allan comes on for A. Carrillo.

57'

B. Bidon

Substitution, Corinthians: Vitinho comes on for B. Bidon.

56'

Matheuzinho

Attempt missed. Matheuzinho (Corinthians), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

55'

J. Arias

Attempt blocked. J. Arias (Palmeiras), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

55'

G. Gómez

Attempt missed. G. Gómez (Palmeiras), header. xG 0.07.

54'

Palmeiras

Corner, Palmeiras.

54'

A. Pereira

Attempt missed. A. Pereira (Palmeiras), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

54'

J. Arias

Attempt saved. J. Arias (Palmeiras), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

51'

A. Giay

Goal! Palmeiras 4-0 Corinthians. A. Giay (Palmeiras) scores.

51'

J. Arias

Attempt saved. J. Arias (Palmeiras), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

50'

A. Carrillo

Attempt blocked. A. Carrillo (Corinthians), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

49'

A. Giay

Yellow card for A. Giay (Palmeiras) for foul.

48'

M. Depay

Yellow card for M. Depay (Corinthians) for foul.

46'

M. Bidu

Goal! Palmeiras 3-0 Corinthians. Own goal by M. Bidu.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians.

45+2'

Palmeiras

Offside, Palmeiras.

45+1'

A. Giay

Goal! Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians. A. Giay (Palmeiras) scores, assisted by J. Arias.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

40'

Y. Alberto

Attempt saved. Y. Alberto (Corinthians), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

35'

Corinthians

Corner, Corinthians.

31'

V. Roque

Attempt missed. V. Roque (Palmeiras), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

24'

A. Pereira

Attempt missed. A. Pereira (Palmeiras), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

16'

A. Barboza

Goal! Palmeiras 1-0 Corinthians. A. Barboza (Palmeiras) scores, assisted by L. Evangelista.

16'

A. Barboza

Attempt saved. A. Barboza (Palmeiras), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

16'

Palmeiras

Corner, Palmeiras.

15'

L. Evangelista

Attempt blocked. L. Evangelista (Palmeiras), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

15'

Raniele

Yellow card for Raniele (Corinthians) for foul.

13'

Palmeiras

Corner, Palmeiras.

12'

V. Roque

Attempt missed. V. Roque (Palmeiras), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

J. Arias

Yellow card for J. Arias (Palmeiras) for foul.

J. Arias

Attempt saved. J. Arias (Palmeiras), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

V. Roque

Attempt blocked. V. Roque (Palmeiras), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.10.

Palmeiras

Corner, Palmeiras.

Matheuzinho

Attempt missed. Matheuzinho (Corinthians), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

J. López

Attempt missed. J. López (Palmeiras), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

Kick-off: Palmeiras vs Corinthians.

Where the money is

271617 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 107270 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.9%

-11.1 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.4%

+6.3 vs price

Draw 900.0 · implied 0.1%

5.7%

+5.6 vs price

Half time 6488 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

91.8%

-7.2 vs price

Away 10.0 · implied 10.0%

6.1%

-3.9 vs price

Draw 18.5 · implied 5.4%

2.1%

-3.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 34225 EUR · live

Under 3.8 · implied 26.3%

50.6%

+24.3 vs price

Over 1.36 · implied 73.5%

49.4%

-24.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 13129 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

96.0%

+0.7 vs price

Over 21.0 · implied 4.8%

4.0%

-0.8 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 7 clips

Player of the match

Match events

9' J. Arias · Foul

15' Raniele · Foul

16' ⚽ A. Barboza · assist L. Evangelista1–0

Half-time · 2–0

45'⁺¹ ⚽ A. Giay · assist J. Arias2–0

46' ⚽ M. Bidu3–0

48' M. Depay · Foul

49' A. Giay · Foul

51' ⚽ A. Giay4–0

57' 🔁 Vitinho ◂ B. Bidon

57' 🔁 Allan ◂ A. Carrillo

59' G. Paulista · Foul

65' Vitinho · Off the ball foul

69' 🔁 P. Raul ◂ Y. Alberto

69' 🔁 A. Ramalho ◂ A. Luiz

69' 🔁 R. Sosa ◂ V. Roque

69' 🔁 E. Martínez ◂ L. Evangelista

69' 🔁 Mauricio ◂ J. López

72' G. Gómez · Time wasting

77' 🔁 Paulinho ◂ R. Sosa

81' 🚫 Penalty missed · Paulinho

83' 🔁 B. Fuchs ◂ G. Gómez

83' 🔁 Dieguinho ◂ Raniele

Full-time · 4–1

90'⁺¹ ⚽ G. Henrique · assist Vitinho4–1

Coaches

Abel Ferreira

William Almeida

Recent form

Palmeiras

WHBahia1-0

DAGrêmio0-0

LALDU2-3

WHSão Paulo2-0

WHLDU1-0

Corinthians

LAInternacional1-2

LHFluminense1-3

LHEstudiantes de La Plata0-1

LAFlamengo1-2

DAEstudiantes de La Plata1-1

About this match

**Palmeiras are heavy favorites in this Clássico — Corinthians are in freefall and the home side smells blood.** 📊 The green machine has dropped just one loss in five, while their cross-town rivals are winless in four and limping badly.

Palmeiras click at home and have the edge in head-to-head history. Corinthians are down to scraps with key absences piling up — no Carrillo, no Garro, no Labyad — and their leaky defense looks ready to concede again.

Key storylines:

- **Palmeiras' midfield control** with L. Evangelista and M. Freitas holding firm against a Corinthians side missing Kaio César and Raniele's usual partners
- **F. Anderson and J. López leading the press** — Corinthians' makeshift back line of G. Paulista and G. Henrique will struggle under sustained pressure
- **Corinthians desperately need M. Depay to spark something** in a dead setup; one bright note in a dark week

Expected lineups:

- **Palmeiras**: C. Miguel, G. Gómez, Murilo, J. Piquerez, A. Giay, L. Evangelista, M. Freitas, A. Pereira, F. Anderson, J. López, J. Arias
- **Corinthians**: H. Souza, M. Bidu, G. Paulista, G. Henrique, Matheuzinho, Allan, Raniele, Vitinho, B. Bidon, Dieguinho, M. Depay

Prediction:

**Palmeiras 3-1 Corinthians** — home dominance in a wounded derby. 🔥

Where to watch

Arena Sport Premium 2

Match facts

Stadium

Nubank Parque

City

Sao Paulo

Referee

Anderson Daronco

4.91 yellows/match · 76 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 20:30 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie A

Top stats

55%Possession45%

2.6Expected goals (xG)0.71

22Total shots12

8Shots on target3

3Big chances0

7Corners3

Shots

8Shots off target6

6Blocked shots3

14Shots inside box10

8Shots outside box2

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed0

-0.12Goals prevented0.32

Attack

27Touches in box19

47Final third entries39

2Offsides1

10Free kicks17

4Fouled in final third5

Passing

455Passes376

394Accurate passes314

18/48 (38%)Long balls20/42 (48%)

5/16 (31%)Crosses3/15 (20%)

18Throw-ins23

Duels

51Duels49

29/60 (48%)Ground duels31/60 (52%)

10/16 (63%)Aerial duels6/16 (38%)

3/7 (43%)Dribbles5/16 (31%)

6Dispossessed4

Defending

15Tackles10

67Tackles won50

11Interceptions7

23Clearances17

51Recoveries40

Discipline

17Fouls11

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

0Big saves3

4Goal kicks11

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Palmeiras 57%

26%

Corinthians 17%

Who winsPalmeiras to win (DNB) 83% · 1.21 @ Betano

CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.60 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.36 @ betfair

1X2Palmeiras to win 57% · 2.00 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.14 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.22 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 26% · 2.45 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ William Hill

1X2Corinthians to win 17% · 5.40 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 50% · 1.89 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.65

Palmeiras

3.70

Draw

5.50

Corinthians

Double Chanceconsensus

1.13

Palmeiras or Draw

1.25

Palmeiras or Corinthians

2.25

Draw or Corinthians

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.20

Yes

1.60

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.45

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

9.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.19

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.12

Over 2.50

1.71

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.80

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.58

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.19

Palmeiras

4.34

Corinthians

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.15

Over 7.50

4.54

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.31

Over 8.50

3.00

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.52

Over 9.50

2.34

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.86

Over 10.50

1.84

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.34

Over 11.50

1.50

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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