Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Atlético Mineiro rolls into this one with serious momentum**, while Coritiba's in free fall — this is a mismatch waiting to happen. 🔴⚪
Atlético are unbeaten in five (3W 2D) and have the home crowd at Arena MRV behind them. Coritiba, meanwhile, have won zero of their last five and just took a 5-0 shoeing from Vasco da Gama. The visitors' injury woes aren't helping either.
Key storylines:
- **Atlético's depth test**: Missing Everson, Fred, and Scarpa is real, but the squad's form trumps the absences — **G. Delfim** steps in at keeper and the back line holds.
- **Coritiba's defensive fragility**: Shipping four and five goals in consecutive away games — **T. Cóser** and the back four are wide open for exploitation.
- **Bernard and Minda's creativity**: Atlético's attacking spine will feast on a struggling Coritiba midfield anchored by **S. Gomez** and **J. Lavega**.
Expected lineups:
- **Atlético Mineiro**: G. Delfim, R. Lodi, V. F. C. Teixeira, Lyanco, Natanael, A. Franco, K. Castaño, Bernard, A. Minda, T. Borbas
- **Coritiba**: Pedro Morisco, Bruno Melo, T. Cóser, J. Maranhão, R. Moledo, S. Gomez, J. Lavega, Keno, Josué, Fabinho, P. Rocha
Prediction:
**Atlético Mineiro 3–0 Coritiba** — home side's form and opponent's collapse make this a lean-heavy favorite. ⚽
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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