Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense.

90+5'

Chapecoense

Corner, Chapecoense.

90+4'

Marçal

Attempt missed. Marçal (Botafogo), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

90+3'

Botafogo

Corner, Botafogo.

90+2'

K. Toledo

Attempt saved. K. Toledo (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90+1'

Max

Attempt missed. Max (Chapecoense), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

88'

Chapecoense

Corner, Chapecoense.

88'

Camilo

Substitution, Chapecoense: F. Rossi comes on for Camilo.

87'

B. Pacheco

Attempt missed. B. Pacheco (Chapecoense), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

86'

Marçal

Off the woodwork! Marçal (Botafogo), header. xG 0.03.

86'

Botafogo

Offside, Botafogo.

82'

B. Tubarão

Substitution, Chapecoense: Dudu comes on for B. Tubarão.

80'

K. Toledo

Attempt saved. K. Toledo (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

79'

Botafogo

Corner, Botafogo.

79'

C. Medina

Attempt saved. C. Medina (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.54.

77'

D. Pereira

Attempt blocked. D. Pereira (Botafogo), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

76'

M. Martins

Substitution, Botafogo: J. Santos comes on for M. Martins.

76'

Á. Montoro

Substitution, Botafogo: K. Toledo comes on for Á. Montoro.

71'

N. Ferraresi

Attempt missed. N. Ferraresi (Botafogo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

70'

Botafogo

Corner, Botafogo.

70'

D. Pereira

Attempt blocked. D. Pereira (Botafogo), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

66'

T. Soares

Substitution, Botafogo: D. Pereira comes on for T. Soares.

65'

Allan

Substitution, Botafogo: D. Andrade comes on for Allan.

62'

T. E. S. d. Oliveira

Substitution, Chapecoense: R. Endrio comes on for T. E. S. d. Oliveira.

62'

G. Augusto

Substitution, Chapecoense: Max comes on for G. Augusto.

60'

D. Santos

Attempt missed. D. Santos (Botafogo), header. xG 0.37.

59'

Y. Bolasie

Attempt blocked. Y. Bolasie (Chapecoense), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

55'

H. Ziyech

Substitution, Botafogo: C. Medina comes on for H. Ziyech.

54'

M. Martins

Attempt saved. M. Martins (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

53'

T. E. S. d. Oliveira

Attempt missed. T. E. S. d. Oliveira (Chapecoense), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

50'

T. Soares

Attempt saved. T. Soares (Botafogo), header. xG 0.07.

50'

Camilo

Attempt missed. Camilo (Chapecoense), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

46'

Fernando

Substitution, Chapecoense: Y. Bolasie comes on for Fernando.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense.

45+2'

H. Ziyech

Attempt saved. H. Ziyech (Botafogo), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

45+1'

M. Martins

Attempt saved. M. Martins (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.68.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

43'

H. Ziyech

Attempt missed. H. Ziyech (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

42'

Chapecoense

Corner, Chapecoense.

41'

T. E. S. d. Oliveira

Attempt blocked. T. E. S. d. Oliveira (Chapecoense), header. xG 0.03.

38'

Camilo

Attempt blocked. Camilo (Chapecoense), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

36'

Chapecoense

Offside, Chapecoense.

35'

H. Ziyech

Attempt saved. H. Ziyech (Botafogo), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

31'

T. E. S. d. Oliveira

Attempt missed. T. E. S. d. Oliveira (Chapecoense), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

30'

Chapecoense

Corner, Chapecoense.

30'

Maurício Garcez

Attempt missed. Maurício Garcez (Chapecoense), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

27'

H. Ziyech

Attempt saved. H. Ziyech (Botafogo), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

24'

Botafogo

Corner, Botafogo.

24'

T. Soares

Attempt blocked. T. Soares (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

21'

M. Martins

Attempt saved. M. Martins (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

14'

Kauan

Yellow card for Kauan (Chapecoense) for foul.

7'

T. Soares

Goal! Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense. T. Soares (Botafogo) scores, assisted by M. Martins.

5'

M. Martins

Attempt blocked. M. Martins (Botafogo), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

3'

Botafogo

Offside, Botafogo.

1'

Kick-off: Botafogo vs Chapecoense.

Where the money is

428388 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 151790 EUR · live

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

91.2%

-5.0 vs price

Draw 26.0 · implied 3.8%

5.3%

+1.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.5%

+3.4 vs price

Half time 1791 EUR · live

Home 1.15 · implied 87.0%

69.7%

-17.3 vs price

Draw 8.2 · implied 12.2%

18.2%

+6.0 vs price

Away 7.8 · implied 12.8%

12.1%

-0.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 49673 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

73.3%

-25.7 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

26.7%

+26.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 5090 EUR · live

Under 1.23 · implied 81.3%

76.8%

-4.5 vs price

Over 4.9 · implied 20.4%

23.2%

+2.8 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

7' ⚽ T. Soares · assist M. Martins1–0

14' Kauan · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 Y. Bolasie ◂ Fernando

55' 🔁 C. Medina ◂ H. Ziyech

62' 🔁 Max ◂ G. Augusto

62' 🔁 R. Endrio ◂ T. E. S. d. Oliveira

65' 🔁 D. Andrade ◂ Allan

66' 🔁 D. Pereira ◂ T. Soares

76' 🔁 K. Toledo ◂ Á. Montoro

76' 🔁 J. Santos ◂ M. Martins

82' 🔁 Dudu ◂ B. Tubarão

88' 🔁 F. Rossi ◂ Camilo

Full-time · 1–0

Coaches

Tite

Rafael Lacerda

Recent form

Botafogo

DACoritiba1-1

LHVasco da Gama1-2

LAMirassol0-2

WHGrêmio3-2

DHRed Bull Bragantino1-1

Chapecoense

LHAthletico1-4

LAVitória0-4

DAAtlético Nacional1-1

DAAtlético Mineiro1-1

LHInternacional1-2

About this match

**Botafogo should be licking their lips here** — they've got a massive H2H edge and Chapecoense is basically drifting in the relegation scrap. 🔫

Botafogo are inconsistent (1W from their last 5) but still leagues ahead, while Chapecoense haven't won in five and got absolutely hammered by Vitória and Athletico recently. This is a classic mismatch on paper.

Key storylines:

- **Botafogo's home fortress** at Estádio Nilton Santos should be enough to exploit Chapecoense's defensive fragility
- **Chapecoense's attack** with **G. Augusto** and **Marcinho** faces a stern test against **N. Ferraresi** and **G. Justino** in a reshaped backline
- **Injuries bite both sides** but Botafogo's depth looks stronger despite missing **A. Chaves** and **Edenilson**

Expected lineups:

- **Botafogo**: G. Batista, A. Telles, N. Ferraresi, G. Justino, Vitinho, D. Santos, Huguinho, Á. Montoro, C. Medina, J. Santos, A. Cabral
- **Chapecoense**: Anderson, Fernando, Kauan, Camilo, Everton, Y. Felipe, B. Matias, E. Doma, M. Carvalho, Marcinho, G. Augusto

Prediction:

**Botafogo 2–0 Chapecoense**

The hosts have the edge everywhere and should capitalize on a visiting side in freefall. Lean Botafogo.

Where to watch

CazéTVPremiereRecordRecord SPYouTube - CazéTV

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio Nilton Santos

City

Rio de Janeiro

Referee

Raphael Claus

3.84 yellows/match · 76 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 21:00 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie A

Highlights & clips

Botafogo 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 Chapecoense

12 G. Batista 6.7 2 Vitinho 7.4 5 N. Ferraresi 7.6 21 Marçal 7.3 13 A. Telles 8.7 91 D. Andrade 7.0 ↑ 65' 8 D. Santos 7.0 6 C. Medina 6.9 ↑ 55' 59 K. Toledo 7.2 ↑ 76' 7 J. Santos 6.6 ↑ 76' 90 D. Pereira 6.4 ↑ 66' 98 Anderson 9.5 23 Dudu 6.6 ↑ 82' 21 Kauan 6.6 3 E. Doma 6.8 91 B. Pacheco 7.3 31 Maurício Garcez 6.8 88 Y. Felipe 6.7 29 F. Rossi 6.5 ↑ 88' 11 Y. Bolasie 7.0 ↑ 46' 22 Max 6.5 ↑ 62' 39 R. Endrio 6.5 ↑ 62'

Top stats

52%Possession48%

2.36Expected goals (xG)0.21

20Total shots9

11Shots on target0

3Big chances0

4Corners4

Shots

5Shots off target6

4Blocked shots3

12Shots inside box4

8Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed0

0.0Goals prevented1.59

Attack

27Touches in box9

55Final third entries51

2Offsides1

12Free kicks9

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

529Passes490

473Accurate passes425

22/42 (52%)Long balls30/53 (57%)

9/19 (47%)Crosses3/24 (13%)

22Throw-ins18

Duels

49Duels51

34/69 (49%)Ground duels35/69 (51%)

13/26 (50%)Aerial duels13/26 (50%)

7/15 (47%)Dribbles12/20 (60%)

7Dispossessed7

Defending

15Tackles15

60Tackles won67

12Interceptions8

25Clearances18

51Recoveries57

Discipline

9Fouls12

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves10

0Big saves2

7Goal kicks6

2Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Botafogo 70%

18%

Chapecoense 12%

1X2Botafogo to win 70% · 1.67 @ William Hill

Who winsBotafogo to win (DNB) 84% · 1.13 @ Betway

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 3.25 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.32 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.10 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 18% · 3.22 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.68 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.78 @ 1xBet

1X2Chapecoense to win 12% · 6.50 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.35

Botafogo

5.25

Draw

7.55

Chapecoense

Double Chanceconsensus

1.08

Botafogo or Draw

1.15

Botafogo or Chapecoense

3.10

Draw or Chapecoense

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.70

Yes

2.08

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.45

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

15.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

16.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.14

Over 1.50

5.31

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.44

Over 2.50

2.66

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.25

Over 3.50

1.67

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.75

Over 4.50

1.24

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.12

Botafogo

5.72

Chapecoense

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.15

Over 7.50

3.70

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.32

Over 8.50

2.85

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.64

Over 9.50

2.10

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.00

Over 10.50

1.73

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.44

Over 11.50

1.46

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Botafogo to win or draw

✓

88% confidence

Botafogo to avoid defeat

✓

84% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✗

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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